RE: Observation30 Aug 2025 12:29
bubble, over the years, there's been alot of issues with the business and probably 3 years ago we were promised £50m fcf under previous ceo which never happened and its been very long time since dividend was stopped. bab**** went through dividend being stopped, selling non core business, a transformation and its risen by 300% ish and now dividend paying.
issue we had was:
1. debt being over a billion, some was saying this was going to be the next carillon. imagine what the interest payment would have been and how much cash it would have swallowed up to service the debt. business today is of lower debt, financial debt of below 90m?
2. we had loss making contract which was eating our margin a businesses which needed cash to be injected to reach their full potential but were non core to capita. all sold and have stopped bidding for low margin contract
3. we were low margin business with plenty of fat that needed trimming, words uses by analyst were, 'complex'. things looks more simplified , cost trimmed, and margin improved. releasing hopefully fcf
4. the cost of the above is at the expense of revenue. surprisingly growth increase and upgraded in public sector leaving issue with experience
summary :
1. we have low debt
2. we have higher margin
3. higher margin leading to higher profitability
4. the fcf to follow to be used to reinvest to grow revenue. when revenue starts growing in experience. the companies transformation is complete.
imho