RE: Interesting....3 May 2021 17:30
Albie,
"Have CA Fund been caught seriously off guard here by the BOD's actions, or did the fund see this coming and have an action plan in place? Thoughts please."
My own gut feeling is that Mr Bernstein and CA, via 'the grapevine' may quite possibly have seen Friday's RNS coming, and might even be using the opportunity to be shovelling up as many more shares as they can. Remember, Berstein's offices are in London, even if the company is registered in Guernsey. And central London is a village.
"Loose lips sink ships', and in this instance, the ship in question is the ratification by a court judge in the near future of the BoD's proposed restructuring plan. And as a very major shareholder and CA's CEO, I can see no alternative for Bernstein, on behalf of his own shareholders and investors, but to go in with all guns blazing and firing torpedoes at that ship. Or at least, ensuring that he has some legal representaion at the hearing, arguing such a case.
And even if the proposition is actually ratified, and essentially 95% control of the comany is handed to bondholders, it appears axiomatic that the bondholders will immediately rally themselves together and force an EGM, sacking most of the evidently incompetent and negatively-thinking BoD, and instead installing so proactively-thinking people who might be able to turn things around, to their own and to shareholders advantage.
No judge in their right mind will sanction a company essentially (as is the case right now) still producing, and making cash profit, to be 'bankrupt', no matter what future (not due for a year) debt overhang may be. Instead, a judge with the least of common sense will tell the BoD to go back to doing some real work instead of prevaricating and wasting his own precious time, and make good on their various previous promises.
Or at least, I very much hope so. I myself have taken a huge gamble, by seriously buying back in on Friday, and I'm aware that now, it's a gamble, and nothing else. But what I'm gambling on now is justice being seen to be done, via the UK's judicial system.
If such justice isn't (in the shareholders' minds) seen to be done, there will be an absolute sh**storm of protest and cries of 'scandal !' hitting the media, and plenty of mud-slinging, and I'm not sure the wimpish current BoD have the strength to stand up against that.