RE: Looking at the charts.....31 Aug 2025 08:38
Short Positions
jan-march 2.3-5.9M
mar-may 6-7.7M
mid June to early July 6-7.7M
End July 2.76M
Easing short interest in July reflects positive price momentum, reducing bearish bets.
• Earlier spike captured extreme liquidity risk and investor caution amid leadership changes, financial targets being pushed out, and macroeconomic pressures.
• UK positioning shows selective fund-level hedging rather than aggressive shorting, consistent with a prudent risk stance.
Is Ellison Likely to Bid?
• Uncertain, but possible. Ellison’s steadily increasing stake—now over 15–16%—combined with the lapsed anti-takeover defense, certainly heightens the likelihood of a potential bid.
• However, prevailing sentiment among analysts and insiders suggests that his position may be more strategic—intended to ward off opportunistic bids rather than pursue a full acquisition himself.
• With several strong shareholders (top 10 holding ≈ 58%) and Ellison aligned with other major backers like Novo Holdings and Tencent, any takeover scenario would require significant coordination .
Taken from Chatgpt.
Let’s see what Tuesday brings. 🤞