Where are we?1 Jul 2025 07:12
The plan was to release details of the Cascabel 're-set' at the same time as an announcement telling us the tranche 2 conditions had been met. Details of ExCo were also to be tabled.
DV has told several shareholders that the team is working 'flat-out' to finalise the plan. We have no idea how close we are to satisfying Franco, and differing opinions have been voiced. The company has also said that the levy issue has delayed the work towards ExCo, which is hardly surprising.
We have also been told how little had be achieved since the announcement of the Franco deal and the new team are almost having to start from the beginning. (this may be a bit of kitchen-sinking)
We probably have about $10m, maybe less, in the bank and Tranche 1 has been spent (as recorded in the last financial report). The proceeds of the placing must be being spent of both Cascabel (Tam) and general working capital.
DV has said an announcement will be made 'soon'.
If we don't get tranche 2 in short order, how will we fund the business? The Franco monies are hypothecated and we will need cash for general working capital, the levy and ExCo. A placing seems the most likely option, but we need a more stable and clearer background before we can do so at a reasonable price.
The summary is that the team are dealing with a highly complex and challenging situation and, in my opinion, the fact they missed a so-called 'deadline' should not be held against them.
The final point relates to the government. Their rhetoric has been encouraging; their actions are anything but. If they are serious about encouraging mining, and they should be, they need to ensure the two are aligned. Noboa needs to intervene, and he needs to do so now. He's on the cusp of destroying the central plank of his economic growth strategy for the sake of of a couple of hundred million dollars, which they won't receive anyway.