RE: Nick Mather Interview BRM media8 Apr 2020 10:24
As Jerry says, Newcrest are currently being pulled in many directions and have a difficult situation to deal with at Telfer. But of even greater concern for them is the fact they are a prime takeover candidate. Many pundits reckon it will not be long before Rio take them out.
We are at the early stages (in mining terms) of the new strategy of majors investing in explorers in order to mitigate their own risk profile. We haven't yet seen how this will all play out and what their intentions really are. But I find it very difficult to believe that any major plc will wish to have a whole bunch of minority, or even majority stakes in a raft of independent companies...the world simply isn't like that. It's not what being a FTSE 100 company, or any other index, is about.
NM is obviously ploughing on with the search for interim funding (which can't be easy in the current situation) and he'll either be consulting our main shareholders on this, or he'll run the risk of seriously pishing them off...as I believe he already has done with Biswas. He's doing it to fulfil his own ambitions, which in any other circumstance and company, would be admirable. However, BHP couldn't give a toss about his ambitions. They want ownership of this (perhaps only Alpala at this stage) and I'm convinced they'll pounce when the timing suits them. The question for me is, will that be pre-interim funding, or not? Or will they take part in the interim package, cement their position even further and then act before the full package is progressed? On the basis this would make their position unassailable, NM will want to avoid this. So we could find ourselves in a wonderful ****hing contest. Either way, all parties here find themselves in an interesting position and I'd lay money on the fact that when BHP fIrst got involved they didn't envisage NM making so much noise about wanting to remain independent; it simply isn't what their new strategy is about.