RE: Are Hainan (Fo Sun) big enough?15 Aug 2024 13:45
When Spodumene SC prices were clearly higher in 2022, Hainan valued the Bougouni Lithium (21.3Mt) project at +/- $190M. They now own 51% of that project after investing +/- $100M directly into the project and SC prices are currently much lower than in 2022. How much would they be willing to offer now for the remaining 49% of the JV?
If we look at the buyout of LLL by Ganfeng and the new acquisition of LRS by PLS, and then look at valuations of the known and even short-term expected resources at the acquired party, I do not see a Hainan bid coming now of +$150M for the remaining 49% of KMUK with a MRE 31.9Mt (possible update coming to 50Mt)
Hopefully I am wrong but time will tell.
Therefore it is certainly to be hoped that there will be no bid now. Better for Kodal (and shareholders)to receive a bid from Hainan only when the SC price is higher, the MRE has been upgraded several times and we are in production.
But Hainan Mining surely is big enough to buy us out.
DYOR
GLA