The Facts.13 Dec 2024 16:26
Be Wise - Be Well Researched and informed !
Our resident NEGS keep telling us MATAD has failed, MATAD is finished, they say SELL SELL SELL, I have no idea why (I do really but they lie), H1 should prove up better than we could ever have hoped, very possible these gas pressure spikes will stabilize and we can open the choke for more production or worst case we need to fit a higher rated wellhead, either or we are looking at around 800 bbl/d production (see 14th November RNS), possibly even higher than that according to MB,
800 x 365 @ circa $66 = circa $20,000,000 per year, less costs, but remember we have 60 million dollars in previous drilling costs we can claim back, albeit over time but claim back we will over the coming years.
You can bet your last dollar PCs ears pricked up when they heard H1s production potential.
Also very likely that in Herons 214 sq/km better and more productive wells await, no wonder so much effort and man hours are being expended on nipping our success in the bud however they are already too late, they might hold us down for a few weeks or months but they cannot hold us back forever.
Now we wait to hear how the company will fund 2025 drilling season, DQE deal, soft loan, share issue etc. Loan of 15 million would be my preferred option, enough to allow remedial works to H2 and drill more Heron wells, creating revenue must be our prime objective.
H2 was disappointing flowing at 30 bbl/d, but its not dead, its suspended over winter until remedial work can be carried out in spring 2025, every likelihood it will be commercial though not as “enthusiastic” as H1, but a cash generator no less, costs should be minimal, its already drilled and cased, MB has said it will be re-perforated, be great news if that’s all it needs, case of wait see.
Gobi, no positive result there, however no matter how the data is analysed it says oil in place so certainly worth another look and further investigation but ONLY when we have the cash to do so, by that I mean more Heron wells to generate revenue must take priority.
MPRAM sign off needed for our PC oil sales agreement, bureaucracy moves slowly in Mongolia, cant be too much longer before we hear this has been done, once formalities complete we can sell the oil from H1 which is currently stored at PC facility, H1 has been in production for 50 days, averaging 250 bbl/d so just over $800,000 of oil ready to be sold, thankfully we have enough working cash in bank for at least the next 4 months, by then MPRAM sales agreement will be signed (expected anyday) and we will be selling our H1 oil and have a steady source of income, once these gas pressure surges are defeated production can increase by 3 fold plus.
Ignore the noise, ignore the NEGS: adw, espen, gusto, stas, xxproinvestor (aka Mr Microsoft Co Pilot) etc etc etc who post outrageous mis-information such as each Heron well will have 40 days downtime per year, another good one is their claim we will only get $30 per barre