RE: Reality25 Jan 2025 07:01
The simple facts are that no poster on here can give exact details of the following points raised by Unnd, however as an experienced oilfield engineer i can say the following.
Unnd points and my replies below.
1. If Heron 1 production can be increased or if it can by how much and at what time and cost.
(98% certain production can be increased, November 14th RNS mentions 800 bbl/d, the possible remedial works mentioned (wellhead & sandscreen) are low cost and simple to fit, timescale a matter of days).
2. If Heron 2 is commercial over 12 months and if production can be increased. If so at what time and cost.
(90% certain production can be increased however upto what is guess work, could be anything from 70 to several hundred barrels a day, we need to wait see which remedial works MATAD use before estimating costs and time scales, however unlikely costs will be huge for the re-perforation MB mentioned though my guess is it will be fracked )
3. Gobi - the company has no clues at this stage if it is a producer or abandoned.
(MB states in last LSE interview the drilling logs/data points to oil in present, could well be a candidate for fracking, again not huge cost but case wait see what the company decide)
4. Renewable energy - we have scant details about this and no guidance on time, cost or returns.
( i prefer not to comment as i have no experience of renewables)
5. New Blocks - we have a commitment to spend around $1m over 2 years and possibly up to $15m over 8 years.
(assuming this year goes to plan with higher production at H1 and H2 made commercial i do not see an issues with a spend of $980,000 over the first 2 years, option to walk away still in place).
Many posters (The NEGS) who have little (if any) oilfield experience try and make H1 & H2 into a big issue, its not, these are quite typical new wells that need quite simple and straight forward remedial works to get the best from them, this is not uncommon.
Question is why do the NEGS keep jumping on these NON issues, is it lack of knowledge, is it an effort to trash MATAD, who knows but i can 100% say they speak bullshxt.
The REALITY is that 2025 will be the year of MATAD.