RE: MATAD STRONG BUY28 Jan 2025 14:09
Stockmaid, as requested, see below.
Chances of export license hold ups ? = slim, i believe we will have go ahead in February.
Chances of H2 being plugged = slim, its already marginally commercial in winter, only marginal as the waxy oil has to be kept warm in winter so it pumps easily, if not kept warm its viscosity becomes high meaning it will not pump, it costs to keep it warm hence marginal commercial in winter, every chance the 30 bbl/d can be increased, chance of being plugged slim.
Chances of a placing? = Unknown, certainly possible if loan option or DQE / JV not agreed but we have the option of limited placing, ie enough cash to cover easily fixed H1, to allow H1 to produce at 200%, 300 % maybe even 400% of its current 200 bbl/d.
being conservative.
500 bbl/d x 365 days = 182,500 bbl/d @ $75 = $13,687,500 over 12 months.
post costs
500 bbl/d x 365 days = 182,500 bbl/d @ $46 = $8,395,000 over 12 months.
So more than adequate for our needs and enough for a few no frills drills @ $1.5 million, more if well test and completion required but if well test and completion required its because they are commercial.
Does chatGPT concur ?