Member Info for _Mr_Big

So, say £100 a dose, we need 14, so £1,400 per treatment.
That puts our next year's revenue at only £1.6bn.
Where does that leave our share price? £10ish perhaps.

6.99 ;)

So, about £30 on the first of Jan?

Who would have thought. Totally unexpected.

kettle - this is just scary.

Code 1 is never wrong, you schmucks just don't know what you're talking about.

The yanks are waking up and will buy up all the stock on the back of that code 1.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rY0WxgSXdEE&ab_channel=QueenOfficial

Economically, we will become the next Pyongyang...

It was published a month ago and still no P3 trial.

NIHR support they said... National Priority they said...

Val takes over both SNG and Novacyt by end of Feb.

psml.

Not me.
I can't come up with that sort of cash just out of syn air.

15:50:10

I pity the fool who wants to be out of this over the weekend.

BG - depends on how you define life-changing. This will be different for every individual, but needs to be judged against the general economic backdrop, including thinking about how much things cost and other ways of earning this amount of cash.

I define life-changing as leading to a significant change of one's lifestyle. In my humble opinion, £100k is nowhere near enough to significantly change one's life in the UK or Europe. It's not coming from my personal wealth point of view (how valuable is £100k to me), but rather UK/EU prices and salaries.
If somebody thinks it is, there are easier ways of accumulating that amount within a few years by changing your spending patterns/changing jobs/getting a second source of income, etc. I think most people will burn through £100k before they realised what happened. It's not enough to live off the interest, not enough to quit working, not enough to safely start your own business venture and it's less than the price of an average house in the UK. There might be a very limited number of people to whom this will be life-changing, but I reckon most folks who think £100k will significantly change their lives will actually be the ones who burn through it faster.

I could never understand people playing with their daily income - if you are grinding it out at 5-10% annual gain, you are getting jack sh.t in absolute terms (treat the Mrs to a nice dinner). Even if you hit a once-in-a-lifetime multibagger, that's not even enough to buy yourself a new car, never mind change your life. It's very easy to double-bag your daily income - just work an extra day. Completely risk-free too.

As far as UK average personal wealth goes, UK household debt is simply scary, and in many cases is driven by very loose spending patterns, fuelled by very aggressive finance sales (FCA should know better than allow the current practices, but what do they care) and complete lack of financial education, and often, common sense. Fools and their money are easily parted and throwing £100k into a bottomless pit won't fill that pit.

So we'll have to agree to disagree.

I'm thinking of an average person actually. £100k won't buy you a house, won't let you quit your job and will have a very small impact on your life in the long run. It's only a few years of average UK salary (whatever it might be these days). You'll be back gambling with that cash, albeit you can diversify into several companies.

Expected return of holding in this example is about £650k, so it is profitable to hold and it is the correct decision, regardless of the outcome. If losing £98k is catastrophic, then you shouldn't put that much on a high risk gamble and need to do a better job of managing your bankroll.

Expected return is not always the only way to make a decision. e.g. buying a lottery ticket costs you almost the entire £2 you pay for the ticket, but expense is trivial and if you do win, the reward is life-changing, so one can justify playing the lottery despite negative ER.

Worst absolute downside is sub 10p in 12 months on failed P3, burned cash and multiple placings to keep the lights on. I don't think this will happen, but the risk is always there.

Good to know that Polar are supporting us - hopefully, a strong message to shorters to feck off in the short term.

On no news, this will probably edge towards £3-4 in 3 months if Covid January is going to be as bad, as many of us expect.
On very negative news - all of the vax working like magic, many cheaper competitors getting EUA, we might hit 60s.
On fantastic developments - orders, EUA, takeover, I don't think £8-£10 is unrealistic. Perhaps a couple £ more driven by sentiment.

But that's guessing.

Just for entertainment purposes, for a regular Joe:

£100k is not a life changing amount and cashing out will mean that you'll just have to gamble the same cash on the next AIM company anyway. Chances of great P3 are higher than 10%, so positive expectation to hold.

Now, if you are sitting on £1m, that's a whole different story, but the answer would be pretty obvious to me - cash out 30-70% and gamble the rest with hopes of printing another couple of £m.

A sad state of affairs, but the bigger the f.ck up with the vaccines, the more £££ we are going to make on SNG. Unfortunately at the cost of thousands of lives, but it's not us making these decisions and we are not the bad guys here...

Just you wait 'till the yanks wake up!

#Miaowtoo

Do I smell burning shorters?..