RE: A conservative calculation ( >23p )9 Dec 2019 21:02
Just to be devil's advocate, I want to point out that 40moz is for the whole area. We are automatically entitled to 21moz, as I understand. Not that you have used your 40moz in your calculation.
Another set of figures, following a different approach:
First Equity value us at 12.7p, of which WK is ~2.5p (from memory). Make MT 10p.
This includes 20% country risk discount that, just for example, NN won't have. That's 12p over 15 years.
15 years assumption is used for a company our size utilising Sinosteel contract. I don't think that it would be too unreasonable to assume that a major player, just for example, NN, won't mine it out in half of the assumed time, effectively, doubling the NPV to them. Remember, they have facilities down the road from us.
That's a rough fag packet calc of 24p boys and girls.