The next focusIR Investor Webinar takes places on 14th May with guest speakers from Blue Whale Growth Fund, Taseko Mines, Kavango Resources and CQS Natural Resources fund. Please register here.
If you base your decisions on what the director said, you are living in a fantasy world.
Try answering this question
If you had no idea what the share price was, and somebody asked you whait it should be, you would have no idea whatsoever.
Why ? Because you are not inputting the balance sheet, p and l and forecasts into a model and working out the discounted cash flow and other parameters.
Why not admit you have not a clue, instead of pretending you are a director.
Sorroy i am indeed being a bit rude. But I feel strongly you are wasting your time and deluding yourselves/
'And Gillespie avoided saying how long Maxcroft's husband & wife owners would stay on as consultants. But for now, I'm happy to give them the benefit of the doubt,'
What do you mean ? What is the risk ? Is there a hint of dodgy practice ? I certainly dont want relatives vaguely floating in and out. Problematic for management competence, but more importantly, dodgy practices.
I keep getting accused of having a secret agenda. I think i should clarify i don't really care much about HAT, even tho i have a few shares. Essentially, i am trying to establish whether in holding a specific share, things are loaded against you. I am inclined to buy ETFs rather than individual shares, especially having seen most of the comments here, which to me have no logic / analytical basis , and to me show people are speculating
En passant, I note that at 11 30 the price has spiked 3.3% , yet I thought the presentation is at 12 00. So what is going on ? Maybe presentation earlier, but not reported yet - I have carefully checked the internet. Of is it insider trading, or a leak ? Sad that retail investors are effectively getting ripped off , but I think that is the situation.
Thanks. I probably need to think about it. I still don't really see why there are not hedge funds and city traders with mega computers who can feed the results into a model in 30 minutes, and are then prepared to buy up to a certain price, so that it is all settled in one day. But if you are saying this is not the case and it takes days or weeks for brokers and professionals to come to a conclusion, then I accept your explanation. Anyhow I gather some presentation tomorrow so interesting to see if that changes things. Of course it is not purely numbers it is confidence in management and so forth. But I would have thought a good computer model could factorise that in. Anyhow if AI hits, presumably things are gonna change
Thanks about brokers. Yes I can't see anybody buying simply because a broker says 'buy'. It needs an explanation according to his model of what the price should be.
Tradeable - i thought about it - I think it means there is a mean or avergae price somebody has calculated. The stock is small and seldom traded, so the price paid is often way out from the mean or average. So it is possible for somebody to buy when it is inexplicably and meaninglessly low, and vice versa. The theory, anyway.
I suppose I do similar but with ETFs. For example, Japanese bonds are at a multi year low, for no reason except faffing around by the central bank. It seems obvious they will rise over time ( in my view ) . But it is not some massively intelligent analysis of what a japanerse bond is worth, it is essentially a form of chartism.
Somebody said this is eminently tradeable. I think reference charts. Well the charts were terrible, as he agreed. Then 14 percent rise in 2 days. I do not really know whether his idea of tradeable was purely on charts or more complex. If he cares to explain what he means by tradeable I would be interested
Anyhow another 4 percent this morning so infers takes time for reaction. That infers a retail investor has an opportunity on day 1. But not convinced a retail investor can analyse a p and l and balance sheet and understand it in one day. In short, I think there is no trading opportunity. Only the long term view counts
Hardboy : You say professionals 'give their verdict'. So is there a easy source on the internet of all broker's recommendations ? You seem to be suggesting these are visible after a few days. Where ? Or do you just mean that following the trades you can see bigger trades that denote they are buying ? Is it possible to detect WHO is buying ? In terms of institutions. I realise us retail investors can not be identified.
Don't remind me
I'm mindin' my own damn business
Don't try to find me
I'm better left alone than in this
It doesn't surprise me
Do you really think that I could care
If you really don't like me?
Find somebody else
It could be anyone else out there
Don't fret
I don't ever wanna see you
And I never wanna miss you again
One thing
When you're angry, you're a jerk
And then you treat me like I'm worth nothin'
Don't fret
Look, it is a serious question. And I expect a serious answer, not a load of xxxx. ( not sure i will get it ) I have noticed that a 'good' share will increase on a steady gradient, not in steps ( up or down ) when news is released. So there must be some type of 'delayed reaction', it is not instant. This could be due to the big boys trying to buy in, but discreetly in small packets, as they slowly realise what it all means. Maybe it is that the computers in the city take time to decide what the results mean.
I can understand it might take one day for the results to be analysed, but not why the share should , as the guy below infers' soar past 400' over a few months. Why not today ? Nothing will have changed and there will be no news. Does it just take time for the pension funds etc to rebalance their books to favour , say, this share ?