Presso comparison... Aug vs Sept ...18 Sep 2019 17:43
Post copied with thanks from MR1 on A D V F N....
Comparing the recently uploaded September presentation with the August one:
hTTps://rockroseenergy.com/investors/reports-presentations/
As expected, no new material information but some changes that suggest we may hear news soon on RRE extracting more value from their current portfolio:
1) All the projected production and expenditure charts include 2C numbers, which they didn't before.
2) The August slides had the comment "East Brae and Braemar continue to produce across the East Brae platform but this will cease by the end of 2021", but this is not included in the September slides. (Note: In the Malcy interview, AA said RRE had submitted a proposal to partners for extending the life of East Brae and Braemar by 3 years)
3) The September slides include these comments on Brae, not included in the August slides "RockRose is targeting over 4 Mmboe (net)of 2C resources in the Brae area" and "Two infill wells will boost production from the Brae complex in 2020"
4) Both the Aug and Sep slides talk about working with BP to get value from Foinaven post 2025, but only the Sep presentation talks about the maintenance done this year "Foinaven will benefit from greater uptime after an extended maintenance shutdown in 2019"
5) Slide 9 of the Sep presentation states that the Blake life extension project will facilitate the Tain development (Tain was not mentioned on the equivalent August slide)
6) Slide 10 talks about potential for additional discoveries to come online in 2020/21 in A/B blocks, and for infill drilling potential on K4b-K5a. There was no mention of these points in the August slides.
7) Slide 13 states "ABEX per boe would fall by ~20% if all 2C resources were converted to reserves". I haven't heard RRE make this point before. As a reminder, there are 24.7 mmboe of 2C resources valued by the house broker H&P as £3 per share risked and £7.37 unrisked. These include Tain, Brae infill, Foinaven life extension, Blake NW, Netherlands 2C. I think (but could be wrong) that H&P have been simplistic in evaluating the 2C resources, saying they are worth $5 per BOE if converted to 2P reserves. I could see the number being higher than that as 1) Any extra oil will be going through existing infrastructure and 2) there will be an extra NPV benefit of pushing decommissioning costs out into the future.
In summary, I don't believe any of the above is new but good to see RockRose emphasising the development opportunities. Maybe we'll hear news in the results tomorrow? If not, then surely in the coming weeks.