* Trump says cuts of 10-15 mln barrels per day possible
* Saudi Arabia calls emergency OPEC meeting
* Oil prices surge, give back some gains
* Fuel demand has slumped on coronavirus outbreak
(Adds comments, Mexico reaction, tweet from Texas oil regulator
about cuts, Trump's call to Putin, Saudi crown prince)
By Rania El Gamal, Vladimir Soldatkin and Jeff Mason
DUBAI/MOSCOW/WASHINGTON, April 2 (Reuters) - U.S President
Donald Trump said on Thursday he had brokered a deal with top
crude producers Russia and Saudi Arabia to cut output and arrest
an oil price rout amid the global coronavirus pandemic, though
details of how the cut would work were unclear.
Trump said the two nations could cut output by 10 to 15
million barrels per day (bpd) - an unprecedented amount
representing 10% to 15% of global supply, and one that would
require the participation of nations outside of OPEC and its
allies.
A senior U.S. administration official familiar with the
matter said Trump would not formally ask U.S. oil companies to
contribute to the production cuts, a move forbidden by U.S.
antitrust legislation.
Russia and Saudi Arabia have been at odds since early March,
when the two nations failed to agree on a deal curbing output as
the coronavirus spread around the globe. The pandemic has
worsened since, freezing economic activity and sending oil
prices into a tailspin as producers confronted the prospect of a
dramatic fall in demand with a flood of unwanted oil supply.
Saudi Arabia, the de facto head of OPEC, called on Thursday
for an emergency meeting of OPEC and non-OPEC oil producers, an
informal grouping known as OPEC+, state media reported, saying
it aimed to reach a fair agreement to stabilize oil markets.
Trump is separately set to meet with U.S. oil industry
executives on Friday.
Trump said he spoke with both Russian President Vladimir
Putin and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman on Thursday. "I
expect & hope that they will be cutting back approximately 10
Million Barrels, and maybe substantially more which, if it
happens, will be GREAT for the oil & gas industry!" Trump wrote.
“Trump’s call to Putin has changed everything,” one OPEC+
source said, adding that initial talk among the group was about
how other large producers such as Canada and Brazil would need
to join in any coordinated output cuts.
Global oil demand is expected to fall by about 30 million
bpd in April, or about one-third of daily consumption. Some 3
billion people have been put on lockdown to slow the spread of
coronavirus, which has sickened 1 million people worldwide and
killed nearly 50,000.
The immense decline in demand sent oil prices to their
lowest levels since 2002, close to $20 per barrel, hitting
budgets of oil producing nations and dealing a huge blow to the
U.S. shale oil industry, which cannot compete at low prices.
The downward pressure has been exacerbated by the battle for
market share between Russia and Saudi Arabia. Russia rejected
the Saudi proposal to take supply off the market in part because
it has cut its own output for years while U.S. production grew
to a record 13 million bpd, gobbling up more market share.
Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said on Thursday
that Moscow was no longer planning to raise output and was ready
to cooperate with the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries and other producers to stabilize the market.
It was not clear when Saudi Arabia's proposed emergency OPEC
meeting could be held.
A meeting could represent a thaw in Saudi-Russia tensions. A
senior Gulf source familiar with Saudi thinking told Reuters
that Russia's opposition to its proposal to deepen output cuts
was the cause of market turmoil.
At the time of the deal's collapse, OPEC and its allies were
collectively cutting output by about 1.7 million bpd - making a
10-to-15 million-bpd cut a big hurdle unless it brought in other
major worldwide producers.
The swift and aggressive Saudi response to the collapse of
the OPEC+ deal shocked the oil industry. The kingdom slashed
export prices, opened the taps to pump at maximum production and
tried to sell cheaper oil to refiners that buy Russian crude.
OUTPUT CUTS
Major global oil producers including Chevron Corp,
Brazil's Petrobras and BP Plc, have already scaled back
production estimates as fuel demand has dropped precipitously
and storage is rapidly filling. Storage is expected to be full
by May, analysts said, which would force oil producers to cut
output anyway.
"I don't think this does anything in the near term. Our
pipelines have told us they don't have room for our barrels,"
said Bob Watson, chief executive of U.S. shale producer Abraxas
Petroleum, based in San Antonio, Texas.
The free-fall in prices has spurred regulators in the U.S.
state of Texas, the heart of the country's oil production, to
consider regulating output for the first time in nearly 50
years.
Ryan Sitton, one of three elected oil-and-gas regulators in
Texas, tweeted on Thursday that he had spoken with Russia's
Novak about a cut of 10 million bpd in global supply.
"While we normally compete, we agreed that #COVID19 requires
unprecedented level of int'l cooperation," Sitton wrote.
Brent oil prices rose 21% to $29.94 per barrel, having
earlier risen to as high as $36.29. U.S. benchmark WTI crude
settled up 25% to $25.32 a barrel.
Even with Thursday's surge, Brent is still less than half
its $66 closing level at the end of 2019.
(Reporting by Rania El Gamal in Dubai, Vladimir Soldatkin in
Moscow and Jeff Mason in Washington; additional reporting by
Jessica Resnick Ault and Laila Kearney in New York; Writing by
Dmitry Zhdannikov and David Gaffen; Editing by Edmund Blair and
Tom Brown)
BP (BP.)
