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UPDATE 2-Statoil takes hit as cuts long-term oil price view

Tue, 07th Feb 2017 09:38

* Takes $2.3 bln impairment as cuts long-term oil price view

* Q4 net operating loss $1.9 bln vs forecast $2.1 bln profit

* Break-even price is $27 on projects vs $41 last year

* Shares down 1.2 percent, off earlier lows (Adds detail on output, analysts)

By Nerijus Adomaitis and Gwladys Fouche

LONDON/OSLO, Feb 7 (Reuters) - Norway's Statoil plunged to an unexpected loss in the fourth quarter of lastyear, as it cut its long-term assumptions for the price of oiland took a $2.3 billion impairment charge on the value of itsassets as a result.

But the state-controlled company cheered some analysts witha higher than expected production forecast for 2017, with plansto cut another $1 billion in costs and by saying the averagebreak-even price for its new projects had fallen sharply.

"We guess the market will like Statoil's 2017 guidance andprobably forgive the major Q4 earnings miss," said TeodorSveen-Nilsen at Swedbank.

At 0910 GMT, Statoil shares were down 1.2 percent at 154.7Norwegian crowns, off an earlier low of 153.4 crowns.

Though oil prices have recovered in recent months, helped byoutput cuts by major producers, they remain well below levels ofmore than $100 a barrel earlier in the decade.

Statoil said on Tuesday it now expected benchmark Brentcrude to reach $75 a barrel in 2020, compared with a previousforecast of $83, and $80 in 2030, compared with $100 before.

Britain's BP said on Tuesday it expected oil pricesto remain above $50 a barrel this year, as it also missedfourth-quarter earnings forecasts.

Statoil said it made a net operating loss of $1.9 billionfor the quarter, versus an operating profit of $152 million inthe same period of 2015 and analysts' average forecast of a $2.1billion profit.

The company's adjusted operating profit fell to $1.66billion from $1.78 billion a year earlier, missing analysts'forecast for a rise to $2.27 billion as its international unit'sperformance fell short of expectations.

However, Swedbank's Sveen-Nilsen said Statoil's guidancesuggested its 2017 production would rise 4-5 percent from 2016,compared with his own expectations for flat to up 1 percent.

The company also estimated its average break-even price fornew projects by 2022 had fall to $27 a barrel from $41 this timelast year.

"This is impressive and a sign that investment activity isrising again," said Carnegie analyst Kjetil Bakken.

Statoil forecast its capital expenditure would rise to $11billion this year from a downwardly revised $10 billion in 2016,with spending on oil and gas exploration steady at $1.5 billion.

The company added it would cut another $1 billion in coststhis year on top of the $3.2 billion it has already cut. Itmaintained its dividend policy and said it may buy back shares,subject to approval from shareholders.

Statoil shares have gained 31 percent over the past year,outperforming a 24 percent rise in the Stoxx Europe 600 oil andgas sector index. (Additional reporting by Camilla Knudsen and Terje Solsvik inOslo; Editing by Mark Potter)

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