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Oil prices jump on latest US-Iran peace process impasse

Tue, 12th May 2026 11:30

* Iran demands compensation for war damage

* Reiterates sovereignty over Strait of ​Hormuz

* U.S. crude ⁠inventories likely to have fallen, poll shows

* Trump meeting ​with China's Xi in focus (Updates prices, adds analyst comment and changes dateline to LONDON)

LONDON, May 12 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose by ​about ‌3% on Tuesday as stark differences between the U.S. and Iran on a proposal to end the war in the Middle ⁠East pushed supply concerns back into the spotlight.

Brent crude futures gained $2.85, ⁠or 2.7%, to $107.06 a barrel by 0931 GMT ​and U.S. West Texas Intermediate was up $3.13, or 3.2%, at $101.20. Both benchmarks climbed nearly 3% on Monday.

Oil prices moved higher after President Trump cast doubt on the durability of the ceasefire with Iran, prolonging uncertainty around the Strait of Hormuz ​and global ‌energy supplies, said MUFG analyst Soojin Kim.

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Monday that the ceasefire was on "life support", pointing to disagreements over demands such as the cessation of hostilities on all fronts, the removal of a U.S. naval blockade, the resumption of Iranian oil sales and compensation for war damage.

Iran also emphasised its sovereignty over ​the Strait of Hormuz, through which about a fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas flows.

Disruptions linked to the ‌near-closure of the strait have prompted producers to curtail exports, with a Reuters survey on Monday showing OPEC oil output in April fell to its lowest level in ‌more than two decades.

"A genuine breakthrough towards a peace deal could trigger a sharp $8 to $12 correction, while any escalation or renewed blockade threats would quickly push Brent back toward $115-plus," said KCM Trade analyst Tim Waterer.

Saudi Aramco CEO ​Amin Nasser had warned on Monday that disruptions to oil exports through the strait could delay a return to market stability until ‌2027, with the loss of about 100 million barrels of oil per week.

Elsewhere on the supply front, U.S. crude stocks were estimated to have dropped by about 1.7 million barrels last week, a Reuters poll of analysts showed.

Walt Chancellor, ⁠energy strategist ⁠at Macquarie Group, said that strong waterborne export flows of crude and products ‌are likely for the next several weeks.

Market participants were also keeping a close eye on President Trump's planned meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping ​on Thursday and Friday after ​Washington imposed sanctions on three individuals and nine companies for facilitating Iranian oil shipments ‌to China.

Tariffs imposed during the U.S.-China trade war have halted most Chinese imports of U.S. oil and LNG, which were worth $8.4 billion in 2024, the year before Trump began his second term.

Commodities Market News Oil & Gas Government & Politics

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