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LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: Oil majors lift FTSE 100 but banks fall

Fri, 27th Oct 2023 12:06

(Alliance News) - Stock prices in London were up at midday on Friday, as the FTSE 100 was led higher by oil majors, tracking a rise in the Brent price.

The large-cap index recovered from a tepid start, following falls in banking stocks after NatWest cut guidance and admitted to "serious failings" in the handling of Nigel Farage's Coutts account.

The FTSE 100 index was up 11.45 points, or 0.2% at 7,366.02. The FTSE 250 was up 84.77 points, 0.5%, at 16,867.86, and the AIM All-Share was up 3.53 points, 0.5%, at 673.37.

The Cboe UK 100 was up 0.1% at 734.75, the Cboe UK 250 was up 0.6% at 14,608.94 and the Cboe Small Companies was up 0.1% at 12,564.48.

Oil prices climbed on Friday, though so far not by enough to stave off a weekly loss. Brent oil was quoted at USD88.71 a barrel at midday in London on Friday, up from USD87.74 late Thursday. Gold was quoted at USD1,983.52 an ounce, higher against USD1,978.13.

This time last week, a barrel of Brent fetched USD93.37.

Latest developments in the Middle East ensured oil be "bid" going into the week, SPI Asset Management analyst Stephen Innes said.

Innes commented: "Reports of Israeli tanks carrying out raids Into Gaza should see gold and oil hold a bid into the weekend, even if the right side tail looks thin( on gold) against the backdrop of higher real rates.

"The current conflict in the Middle East has not significantly impacted the oil supply. And while there has been a limited reduction in natural gas volumes, such as the shutdown of the Tamar natural gas field in Israel, this has only slightly affected global [liquefied natural gas] exports in October."

In London's Shell gained 2.0% while BP rose 1.8%. Gold miners Fresnillo and Endeavour Mining added 2.8% and 1.6%.

NatWest was by far the worst performing FTSE 100 stock, losing 10%.

NatWest reported that in the third quarter of 2023, total income rose to GBP3.49 billion from GBP3.23 billion a year earlier. Operating pretax profit rose to GBP1.33 billion from GBP1.09 billion.

The firm cut its margin outlook for the year, however. It now expects a full-year bank net interest margin "to be greater than 3%". It had previously predicted an outcome below 3.20% "with a current view of around 3.15%".

Eyes were also on the Travers Smith review, which oversaw of the controversial closure of Nigel Farage's Coutts account.

It said the decision to close Farage's bank account was "lawful". However, it identified a "number" of shortcomings in how the decision was reached, how the bank communicated with Farage and how it treated his confidential information.

"Investors didn't take long to turn their attention to an equally damaging profit downgrade. Guidance on the net interest margin has been lowered as any benefit from higher interest rates seems to be evaporating," said AJ Bell analyst Russ Mould.

"Higher interest rates have not been the panacea for the sector that some might have hoped, with NatWest shares notably trading below the level they traded at before the current rate hiking cycle began."

In a negative read across, Lloyds lost 2.1%, Barclays fell 1.4% and Virgin Money gave back 1.3%. OSB Group bucked the trend, adding 1.8%, however.

International Consolidated Airlines Group fell 0.8%.

IAG reported that revenue in the third quarter of 2023 rose to EUR8.65 billion from EUR7.33 billion a year earlier. Pretax profit climbed 57% to EUR1.58 billion from EUR1.01 billion.

Looking ahead, IAG said it expects "2023 to be a year of strong recovery." It added that overall customer bookings for the fourth quarter are as expected.

In the FTSE 250, Digital 9 Infrastructure rose 5.9%, after it said it is assessing a divestment of its entire stake in the Verne Global group of companies.

It said it has received indicative offers from interested parties to syndicate a majority stake in Verne Global to an unnamed "strategic capital partner", with executed terms expected to be announced in the fourth quarter of 2023.

Compared with the syndication, the board believes the proposed transaction would enable the company to "accelerate its balance sheet deleveraging, deliver the cash resources necessary for the company and group to strengthen their position, and further maximise shareholder value".

On AIM, FireAngel shares surged to 6.3 pence, from 2.10p.

FireAngel said it has reached an agreement with Intelligent Safety Electronics for its takeover. ISE is a company incorporated in Singapore and wholly-owned by Siterwell Electronics. ISE currently holds about 17.5% of FireAngel's issued shares.

Under the terms of the offer, FireAngel shareholders will receive 7.40p per share in cash. This values the company at about GBP27.7 million.

Elsewhere in London, XP Power gained 8.0%.

The company that designs and manufactures power controllers said that revenue in the third quarter of 2023 was GBP75.1 million down from GBP79.4 million. However, operating profit was slightly ahead of its expectations due to a better outturn in September.

Trading in October was "at least" in line with company expectations, while it said it has undertaken a number of important cost reduction and cash preservation actions that will benefit the remainder of 2023 and 2024.

In European equities, the CAC 40 in Paris was down 0.5%, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt was up 0.5%.

The pound was quoted at USD1.2127 at midday on Friday in London, higher compared to USD1.2105 at the equities close on Thursday. The euro stood at USD1.0563, up against USD1.0527. Against the yen, the dollar was trading at JPY150.02, lower compared to JPY150.48.

Stocks in New York were called higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was called up 0.1%, the S&P 500 index up 0.5%, and the Nasdaq Composite 0.9% higher.

Still to come on Friday is the latest US core personal consumption expenditures at 1330 BST. The annual core PCE reading, the Fed's preferred inflation marker, is to ease to 3.7% in September from 3.9% in August, according to consensus cited by FXStreet.

"The downtrend in inflation and the recent rise in Treasury bond yields add to expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged next week, although strong economic activity as evidenced by yesterday's Q3 GDP report, if maintained, could complicate the policy outlook further out," analysts at LLoyds Bank commented.

The next Federal Reserve decision is on Wednesday.

By Greg Rosenvinge, Alliance News reporter

Comments and questions to newsroom@alliancenews.com

Copyright 2023 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

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