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Sector movers: Banks lead gains as strategists raise US yield forecasts

Mon, 14th Nov 2016 14:40

(ShareCast News) - Shares in banks and life insurance outfits continued to pace gains as Treasury yields kept moving higher in the States on expectations for a fiscal spending boost under the new Administration, pulling interest rates across the globe up with them. For the most part, analysts appeared to be focusing on a measured approach on the part of the new Administration as a likely scenario for policy going forward.However, there were risks should that turn out not to be the case, they admitted.There were also those who were more cautious to begin with, HSBC among them.On 11 November, rates strategists at HSBC upped their first quarter 2017 projection for the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note from 1.50% to 2.50%.Yet their end-2017 forecast was kept at 1.35%, on expectations for a slowdown in the economy if yields rose."There are now widespread expectations of tax cuts and increased spending, particularly on infrastructure, but little clarity on how such programmes will be financed. We cannot afford to wait for more detail before changing our bond yield forecasts."We are cautious about how many of Mr. Trump's pledges can be delivered, including on trade and tariffs. What we do have is analysis of the term premium, inflation expectations, and forward yields, which gives us some insight into how far the Treasury curve could reprice," HSBC's Head of Fixed Income Research, Steven Major, and Lawrence Dyer, the bank's chief US rates strategist, said in a research report dated 11 November.However, it was grocers which were doing best overall after HSBC upgraded Tesco shares from 'hold' to 'buy', hiking its target price from 195p to 250p.The pace of Tesco's recovery was increasing, meaning the company was less exposed to "whatever" ASDA did, the broker said.In a previous report HSBC had downgraded Tesco on expectations that Asda would up the ante in terms of price competition in the run-up to Christmas.The most rate-sensitive segments of the market on the other hand came under pressure as yields shifted higher.Oil producers were tracking crude futures lower as the US dollar jumped once again, propped up by the rise in Treasury yields.As of 1502 GMT, the US dollar spot index was gaining 0.93% to 100.14, while the yield on the benchmark US two-year note was up by eight basis pointgs to 1.0% - near its highest level of the year - and cable down by 1.12% to 1.2457.Top performing sectors so far todayFood & Drug Retailers 3,023.22 +2.73%Banks 3,964.80 +2.13%Life Insurance 7,413.35 +1.65%Automobiles & Parts 7,100.71 +1.37%Aerospace and Defence 4,809.91 +1.36%Bottom performing sectors so far todayElectricity 8,466.53 -2.59%Gas, Water & Multiutilities 5,723.08 -2.51%Tobacco 49,313.32 -0.95%Health Care Equipment & Services 6,671.88 -0.68%Oil & Gas Producers 7,283.93 -0.56%
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29 Feb 2016 11:52

Peel Hunt sees attractions of the 'challenger banks'

(ShareCast News) - Broker Peel Hunt has slapped a 'buy' recommendation on Aldermore, OneSavings Bank and Shawbrook, as it began coverage of the three challenger banks. After some weeks of significant share price weakness in the trio, Peel Hunt said there was now an opportunity to acquire "high-quali

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29 Feb 2016 10:41

WINNERS & LOSERS SUMMARY: Mixed Fortunes For Morrisons And Ocado

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29 Feb 2016 09:34

BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: Goldman Sachs Raises Sky And Cuts ITV

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25 Feb 2016 16:19

Earnings, Trading Statements Calendar - Week Ahead

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21 Jan 2016 08:14

Shawbrook Poaches New Consumer Finance Boss From Lloyds

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20 Jan 2016 13:07

Broker tips: JD Wetherspoon, WH Smith, Shawbrook

(ShareCast News) - JD Wetherspoon was under pressure on Wednesday as Investec cut its target price to 760p from 800p after the pub operator guided full year profits lower. In a trading statement, chairman Tim Martin warned that full year profits "were likely to below the lower end of analysts' expec

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20 Jan 2016 11:14

Credit Suisse picks favourites from UK challenger banks

(ShareCast News) - Credit Suisse initiated coverage of Shawbrook at 'outperform' with a 410p price target, saying the model is attractive, given that it avoids commoditised lending and is diversified across both SME and consumer lending. The Swiss bank prefers Shawbrook to Aldermore, as its stronger

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10 Jan 2016 16:15

Sunday newspaper round-up: BT, Shire, Sainsbury's, Laird

(ShareCast News) - A handful of much-anticipated deals could be announced in the coming week, according to the Sunday newspapers, including BT's acquisition of EE, Shire's takeover of Baxalta and Sainsbury's follow up offer for Home Retail. BT's acquisition of mobile phone network EE will be given f

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15 Dec 2015 09:46

BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: Berenberg Upgrades Meggitt To Buy From Hold

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25 Nov 2015 13:54

Buy-To-Let Properties Face Extra 3.0% In UK Stamp Duty From April 2016

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19 Nov 2015 09:36

BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: Merrill Lynch Downgrades Challenger Banks

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19 Nov 2015 08:26

LONDON BRIEFING: Johnson Matthey Pleases With Special Dividend

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12 Nov 2015 08:00

Pollen Street Sells 10% Stake In Challenger Bank Shawbrook (ALLISS)

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5 Nov 2015 10:35

Shawbrook's profit surges in first nine months of the year

(ShareCast News) - Challenger bank Shawbrook posted a sharp rise in underlying profit in the first three quarters of 2015, boosted by higher demand for loans for small businesses. In the nine months to the end of September, the London-listed group registered a 68% year-on-year increase in underlying

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5 Nov 2015 09:31

Shawbrook Reports Higher Profit Amid Strong Small-Business Loan Demand

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