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J.P. Morgan bullish on Energy, says Q3 favours Shell over BP

Thu, 13th Oct 2022 12:57

(Sharecast News) - Analysts at J.P.Morgan reiterated their 'bullish' stance for Energy equities, highlighting the expected "pivotal" role that European Union oil majors would play in solving energy security.

On their estimates, they were expected to deliver or sell approximately 10% of the world's energy demand through 2025.

Regarding recent trends, companies' third quarter updates on the rate of change in demand were expected to be in focus, although recent indications were that it was holding firm into autumn with only "isolated pockets" of weakness.

Furthermore, valuations across the space were deemed "attractive", particularly after OPEC+ announced its intention to cut its combined production quotas by two million barrels a day, thus "putting a firmer floor" under crude prices.

They also estimated that share prices in the sector were only discounting a long-term price for a barrel of Brent oil of no more than $60.

"While recent 3Q trading statements revealed mixed operational/trading datapoints, we ultimately expect reporting season to underline that accretive backdrop with 12M rolling [cash flow from operations pre-working capital] set to reach record levels >$250bn."

Nonetheless, they expressed a preference for advantaged upstream/liquid natural gas majors versus shares of more downstream biased midcap outfits.

They also believed the third quarter would favour Shell over BP, while placing Shell and Eni on 'positive catalyst watch'.

Their recommendation for Shell was unchanged at 'overweight', although they trimmed their target price from 3,000.0p to 2,900.0p.

BP on the other hand was unchanged at 'neutral' but they bumped up their target price from 520.0p to 530.0p.

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12 Jan 2022 14:55

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4 Jan 2022 14:35

OPEC+ raises oil output by 0.4m b/d, as expected

(Sharecast News) - The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its main allies went ahead and raised their combined output target as planned.

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Oil futures slip after OPEC says it expects Covid-19 impact to be "mild"

(Sharecast News) - The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries revised its forecasts for global crude oil demand in 2021 and 2022, but said it expected the impact of the Omicron variant to be "mild".

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6 Dec 2021 09:46

Saudi raises crude prices for Asia in January in possible sign of confidence

(Sharecast News) - Crude oil futures are trading on the front foot in the early going after Saudi Aramco raised its official selling prices for Asia in January.

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2 Dec 2021 16:00

OPEC+ to raise output, but leaves itself room for manoeuvre

(Sharecast News) - The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies surprised some oil traders with their decision to go ahead with their previously planned output hike in January - despite the appearance of Omicron, the new strain of Covid-19.

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2 Dec 2021 07:03

Shell launches $1.5bn buyback from Permian sale

(Sharecast News) - Royal Dutch Shell has launched a $1.5bn share buyback as the first stage of returning cash to shareholders from the sale of its Permian business in the US.

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29 Nov 2021 08:30

Russian energy minister warns against 'hasty' decisions on oil output

(Sharecast News) - Russia's energy minister cautioned on Monday against hasty decisions in the wake of the discovery of the Omicron variant of Covid-19.

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15 Nov 2021 12:16

Shell to move head office to the UK, drop dual share structure

(Sharecast News) - Royal Dutch Shell is to overhaul its complex corporate structure, including shifting its headquarters to the UK and changing its name.

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27 Oct 2021 18:10

US activist investor calls for break up of Royal Dutch Shell

(Sharecast News) - Activist US investor Daniel Loeb called for the breakup of Royal Dutch Shell.

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26 Oct 2021 08:37

Saudi Aramco boss warns of lack of crude oil production capacity

(Sharecast News) - Saudi Aramco 's boss warned on Tuesday of a lack of crude oil production capacity.

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18 Oct 2021 12:20

Oil majors' cash flows set to double in Q3

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15 Oct 2021 16:40

Brazilian gas demand soars, stoking global energy crisis

(Sharecast News) - The severe drought hitting Brazil has resulted in soaring demand for natural gas to generate electricity, feeding the global gas shortage.

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15 Oct 2021 11:29

Berenberg upgrades BP, Harbour Energy to 'buy'

(Sharecast News) - Berenberg upgrade its stance on a host of oil and gas stocks on Friday - including BP - as it argued that share prices across the oil sector remain cheap, with further consensus upgrades to come as higher commodity prices are reflected in estimates.

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12 Oct 2021 11:23

Morgan Stanley hikes targets for European oil majors, highlights outlook for Shell

(Sharecast News) - Morgan Stanley hiked its target prices for European oil majors' shares, telling clients that they were set to generate "high" levels of free cash flow, deleverage their balance sheets "fast" and in turn to increase their shareholder distributions.

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8 Oct 2021 10:06

European natural gas futures may still be headed higher, Goldman says

(Sharecast News) - You can take Russian officials' remarks on natural gas at face value but prices in Europe may still be headed higher before additional supplies arrive, Goldman Sachs said.

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