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J.P. Morgan bullish on Energy, says Q3 favours Shell over BP

Thu, 13th Oct 2022 12:57

(Sharecast News) - Analysts at J.P.Morgan reiterated their 'bullish' stance for Energy equities, highlighting the expected "pivotal" role that European Union oil majors would play in solving energy security.

On their estimates, they were expected to deliver or sell approximately 10% of the world's energy demand through 2025.

Regarding recent trends, companies' third quarter updates on the rate of change in demand were expected to be in focus, although recent indications were that it was holding firm into autumn with only "isolated pockets" of weakness.

Furthermore, valuations across the space were deemed "attractive", particularly after OPEC+ announced its intention to cut its combined production quotas by two million barrels a day, thus "putting a firmer floor" under crude prices.

They also estimated that share prices in the sector were only discounting a long-term price for a barrel of Brent oil of no more than $60.

"While recent 3Q trading statements revealed mixed operational/trading datapoints, we ultimately expect reporting season to underline that accretive backdrop with 12M rolling [cash flow from operations pre-working capital] set to reach record levels >$250bn."

Nonetheless, they expressed a preference for advantaged upstream/liquid natural gas majors versus shares of more downstream biased midcap outfits.

They also believed the third quarter would favour Shell over BP, while placing Shell and Eni on 'positive catalyst watch'.

Their recommendation for Shell was unchanged at 'overweight', although they trimmed their target price from 3,000.0p to 2,900.0p.

BP on the other hand was unchanged at 'neutral' but they bumped up their target price from 520.0p to 530.0p.

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30 Sep 2020 09:21

Berenberg retains rating on Shell, flags 'challenging' quarter

(Sharecast News) - Berenberg has retained its 'hold' rating on Royal Dutch Shell, but warned downgrades to earnings forecasts were likely.

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29 Sep 2020 12:25

Shell set to unveil job losses - report

(Sharecast News) - Royal Dutch Shell is reportedly close to announcing potentially thousands of job cuts as it responds to the global slump in oil prices and looks to reposition itself as a green energy provider.

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25 Sep 2020 14:57

Citi says all not well at Shell, reiterates 'sell' rating

(Sharecast News) - All is not well at Royal Dutch Shell, Citi said as the bank reiterated its 'sell' rating on Britain's biggest oil company.

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21 Sep 2020 13:41

Libyan oil exports may be set to restart as warring factions agree deal

(Sharecast News) - Libyan oil production and exports from the east of the country are set to restart following a conditional lifting of the blockade imposed by the Libyan National Army under the command of Khalifa Haftar.

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15 Sep 2020 12:38

IEA cuts forecast for global oil demand growth in backhalf 2020

(Sharecast News) - The International Energy Agency took an axe to its forecasts for global oil demand growth in the backhalf of 2020, even as it warned that the world's thirst for oil had, at 91.7m barrels a day, only recovered to its levels from 2013 due to the pandemic.

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8 Sep 2020 16:19

Sector movers: Oil stocks slip as risk aversion sweeps across energy space

(Sharecast News) - Oil related stocks were the main drag on London listed stocks on Tuesday, as the sell-off in technology shares Stateside fed into other risk assets, including commodities.

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4 Sep 2020 08:27

Oil companies to ramp up plastic supply to counter shift to renewable energy

(Sharecast News) - Oil companies are set to ramp up their plastic production in a move to offset the shift towards renewable energy sources.

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9 Aug 2020 18:24

Sunday newspaper round-up: NatWest, Rolls Royce, Coronavirus

(Sharecast News) - NatWest is to push out several top bankers as part of a dramatic overhaul of its investment bank, as new boss Alison Rose attempts to cut ties with its past. The lender formerly known as Royal Bank of Scotland, 62%-owned by taxpayers, is expected to tell staff this week that at least three of its most senior investment bankers will stand down. - Sunday Times

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13 Jul 2020 13:44

Libya set to restart oil exports

(Sharecast News) - Libya is set to resume crude oil exports in the wake of successful talks between the country's two warring factions following talks led by the United Nations and the United States.

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7 Jul 2020 09:27

Multibillion-dollar gas projects at risk as fossil fuel market set for collapse

(Sharecast News) - A multibillion-dollar set of gas projects around the world could be at risk due to the collapse of the fossil fuel markets, said a report by Global Energy Monitor.

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30 Jun 2020 14:20

Tuesday broker round-up

(Sharecast News) - Paragon: Canaccord upgrades to buy with a target price of 454.0p.

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30 Jun 2020 10:32

Europe open: Upbeat economic data offset Covid-19 worries at quarter's end

(Sharecast News) - Stocks across the Continent are little changed at the end of the quarter despite the release of some significantly better-than-expected readings on the economy in Europe and from overseas.

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18 Jun 2020 13:55

Thursday broker round-up

(Sharecast News) - Carnival: Berenberg downgrades to sell with a target price of 800p.

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17 Jun 2020 18:36

Growth in US oil stockpiles slowed last week, DoE says

(Sharecast News) - Oil stockpiles in the US rose during the preceding week despite a sharp fall in domestic output, linked to tropical storm Cristobal, and a reduction in net imports.

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