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J.P. Morgan bullish on Energy, says Q3 favours Shell over BP

Thu, 13th Oct 2022 12:57

(Sharecast News) - Analysts at J.P.Morgan reiterated their 'bullish' stance for Energy equities, highlighting the expected "pivotal" role that European Union oil majors would play in solving energy security.

On their estimates, they were expected to deliver or sell approximately 10% of the world's energy demand through 2025.

Regarding recent trends, companies' third quarter updates on the rate of change in demand were expected to be in focus, although recent indications were that it was holding firm into autumn with only "isolated pockets" of weakness.

Furthermore, valuations across the space were deemed "attractive", particularly after OPEC+ announced its intention to cut its combined production quotas by two million barrels a day, thus "putting a firmer floor" under crude prices.

They also estimated that share prices in the sector were only discounting a long-term price for a barrel of Brent oil of no more than $60.

"While recent 3Q trading statements revealed mixed operational/trading datapoints, we ultimately expect reporting season to underline that accretive backdrop with 12M rolling [cash flow from operations pre-working capital] set to reach record levels >$250bn."

Nonetheless, they expressed a preference for advantaged upstream/liquid natural gas majors versus shares of more downstream biased midcap outfits.

They also believed the third quarter would favour Shell over BP, while placing Shell and Eni on 'positive catalyst watch'.

Their recommendation for Shell was unchanged at 'overweight', although they trimmed their target price from 3,000.0p to 2,900.0p.

BP on the other hand was unchanged at 'neutral' but they bumped up their target price from 520.0p to 530.0p.

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Europe midday: Stocks move lower as WTI oil futures crater

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Shell steps up net-zero emissions actions

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US import prices drop as energy price crash like in 2008

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12 Apr 2020 21:27

OPEC+ clinches output deal, Russia and Saudi end price war

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9 Apr 2020 16:57

Saudi and Russian Federation agree on oil output cuts, Journal says

(Sharecast News) - Moscow and Riyadh have reached an agreement in principle to cut their crude oil output.

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5 Apr 2020 21:20

Norway may join OPEC+ in cutting output, Canada will dial into summit

(Sharecast News) - Norway may cut its oil production alongside other major producers if an agreement for a significant combined reduction can be reached.

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3 Apr 2020 14:08

Brent futures jump again after report Russian firms ready to cut

(Sharecast News) - Crude oil futures extended the previous day's rally following reports that Russian oil producers were prepared to reduce their own output to help stem the rout in prices.

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2 Apr 2020 16:12

Brent oil spikes higher after Trump says Russia and Saudi will cut output

(Sharecast News) - Traders in Brent crude oil endured a roller coaster-like session after the US President said Russia and Saudi had agreed to restrain their combined output, but Russian officials quickly appeared to call that into doubt, at least in part.

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FTSE 100 movers: Shell and BP pace gains as Brent surges 24%

(Sharecast News) - US President Donald Trump triggered a sharp rally in crude oil futures on Thursday after doubling-down on his optimism regarding a detente between Russia and Saudi in their oil price war.

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2 Apr 2020 13:29

Europe midday: Stocks buoyed by rally in crude oil futures

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Thursday broker round-up

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Chinese Covid-19 statistics intentionally incomplete, US intelligence says

(Sharecast News) - US intelligence has concluded that China did not reveal the true extent of the Covid-19 coronavirus pandemic in the country on purpose.

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