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J.P. Morgan bullish on Energy, says Q3 favours Shell over BP

Thu, 13th Oct 2022 12:57

(Sharecast News) - Analysts at J.P.Morgan reiterated their 'bullish' stance for Energy equities, highlighting the expected "pivotal" role that European Union oil majors would play in solving energy security.

On their estimates, they were expected to deliver or sell approximately 10% of the world's energy demand through 2025.

Regarding recent trends, companies' third quarter updates on the rate of change in demand were expected to be in focus, although recent indications were that it was holding firm into autumn with only "isolated pockets" of weakness.

Furthermore, valuations across the space were deemed "attractive", particularly after OPEC+ announced its intention to cut its combined production quotas by two million barrels a day, thus "putting a firmer floor" under crude prices.

They also estimated that share prices in the sector were only discounting a long-term price for a barrel of Brent oil of no more than $60.

"While recent 3Q trading statements revealed mixed operational/trading datapoints, we ultimately expect reporting season to underline that accretive backdrop with 12M rolling [cash flow from operations pre-working capital] set to reach record levels >$250bn."

Nonetheless, they expressed a preference for advantaged upstream/liquid natural gas majors versus shares of more downstream biased midcap outfits.

They also believed the third quarter would favour Shell over BP, while placing Shell and Eni on 'positive catalyst watch'.

Their recommendation for Shell was unchanged at 'overweight', although they trimmed their target price from 3,000.0p to 2,900.0p.

BP on the other hand was unchanged at 'neutral' but they bumped up their target price from 520.0p to 530.0p.

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BP boss says crisis could be 'peak oil' moment

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29 Apr 2020 11:46

WTI oil futures bounce as API reports smaller than expected stockpile build

(Sharecast News) - Crude oil futures were trading higher on Wednesday on either side of the Atlantic following the release of data showing a slightly smaller than expected build in US stockpiles.

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24 Apr 2020 12:13

Share buybacks face resistance in post-Covid world

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22 Apr 2020 18:03

Weekly US oil inventories jump, imports slip

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WTI higher as Trump threatens to destroy Iranian gunboats

(Sharecast News) - President Trump threatened on Wednesday to destroy any Iranian gunboats that harassed US ships at sea, triggering a so-called 'short squeeze' in US oil futures according to analysts.

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Wednesday preview: US oil inventories, Fevertree in focus

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Europe midday: Oil patch weakness offsets news Italy to 'significantly' ease lockdown

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Europe open: Stocks caught in downdraft from oil price collapse

(Sharecast News) - Stocks on the Continent are trading lower, dragged down by the oil patch as markets price-in the reality of several months of exceedingly weak global oil demand.

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