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Broker tips: BAE Systems, Pace, Partygaming

Fri, 30th Jul 2010 13:17

Strong results and upgraded full year profits guidance has not been enough to overcome investor concerns about future prospects for BAE Systems, a situation acknowledged by Nomura Securities' decision to slice its price target for the defence systems firm.The broker is sticking with its "buy" recommendation despite chopping the price target from 450p to 410p "to account for a higher risk premium investors are likely to demand given the increased long-term budget uncertainty in the US and Europe.""Macro concerns about budgetary pressures have kept investors from focusing on the company's structural growth outlook and strong cash generation," argues Nomura analyst Jason Adams. Having met with the management of digital set-top box maker Pace in the wake of the company's interim results finnCap has nudged up its fiscal 2010 earnings estimates.The broker is now expecting full year profit before tax of £1,270m from £1,176m previously after the stronger than expected first half performance. "We are however broadly maintaining our FY11 forecasts at this point until further information is released on the proposed acquisition of 2Wire," finnCap said.On the subject of the proposed acquisition of the US networking gateway maker, the broker believes it makes strategic sense, despite the obvious cross-over with the Bewan acquisition completed during the first half of the year. "The proposed EV [enterprise value] cost of $425m, puts the acquisition on 0.9x EV/Sales but we suspect the estimated $30m of cost synergies can be exceeded. We estimate this acquisition will be up to 10% earnings accretive to FY11 and significantly higher thereafter," the broker said.The broker has a "buy" recommendation on the shares and a fair value estimate of 153p per share.Scale matters in online gaming which is why Peel Hunt is a fan of Partygaming's proposed merger with Austrian rival Bwin, describing it as potentially 'a match made in heaven.'The broker rates the shares a 'buy' and has its price target under review following Thursday's merger announcement.'After much rumour and on-off speculation, bwin and PartyGaming have at last announced their engagement, with the marriage due to take place early next year. On paper, this looks like a match made in heaven, but beautiful couples do not always make the best marriages. Joint- CEOs and differing cultures are just some of the challenges. That said, it is hard not to get excited by the most significant deal in the online industry to date,' analyst Nick Batram enthused.'If there is a hint of caution, beyond execution risk, it is that the percentage of revenues generated from unregulated markets will increase significantly from a PartyGaming perspective,' the broker continued.Batram thinks that Partygaming's estimate of €55m in potential synergies, at less than 10% of costs, could be conservative and suggests that the final figure could be at least €75m.'A counter offer for either company is unlikely, given the potential synergy benefits and compelling proposition of the enlarged group. The merger was also announced a day after Barney Frank's proposed online gaming bill was voted through the House Financial Services Committee; management was keen to highlight the view that they foresaw no impediment to the enlarged group entering the US, should the market open up. The shares may drift back a bit following yesterday's excitement, but as appreciation of the scale of the deal grows, the potential for a re-rating increases. We therefore remain buyers,' Peel Hunt concluded.
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25 Mar 2011 17:19

London close: Footsie back at 5,900

Blue chips closed the week just above 5,900 with decent gains across a range of sectors helped by a smattering of broker recommendations. Reckitt Benckiser is wanted after Bank of America Merrill Lynch upgraded the stock of the Cillit Bang maker to "buy" from "neutral", while Autonomy is in the red

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25 Mar 2011 15:28

FTSE 250 movers: African Barrick rises on Tanzanian success

African Barrick Gold is a top performer after having further successes with its drilling programme on the Nyanzaga project in Tanzania. Euromoney Institutional Investor, the business publisher and exhibitions organiser, is among the fallers after its pre-close trading update underwhelmed investors.

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25 Mar 2011 14:07

London afternoon: Gaming firms in demand

Leading shares are mixed after the strong opening prompted traders to bank some profits at the end of a week which has seen the top share index advance by around 170 points. Broker commentary is behind the share price movements of the Footsie's best and worst performers. Reckitt Benckiser is wante

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4 Mar 2011 06:43

Friday tips round-up: Cobham, Aviva, Amec...

Yesterday's full-year figures from Cobham have much to recommend them. Underlying pre-tax profits were up by a healthy 4% to £306m, on revenues broadly flat at £1.9bn, thanks to an improvement in margins to 18.3%. Cobham is also working hard to insulate itself from the ructions over defence spendin

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3 Mar 2011 16:39

London close: Shares soar on Libya deal hopes

Reports that the Libyan situation might be resolved through mediation rather than violence sent UK shares sharply higher. The Arab League is said to be considering a proposal to end the fighting in Libya sending oil prices higher. Heavy oil users such as airline International Consolidated Airlines

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3 Mar 2011 15:28

FTSE 250 movers: PartyGaming surges as sales rise

Online gambling firm PartyGaming is the best performer on the FTSE 250 after 2010 revenues rose by 15%, after casino games, bingo and sports betting offset weakness from the company's poker operations. Cobham was also higher despite statutory pre-tax profits for 2010 falling to £189m, from £245m, h

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3 Mar 2011 14:33

Revenues soar at PartyGaming

Casino games, bingo and sports betting drove revenues higher at PartyGaming in the year to 31 December, offsetting weakness from the company's poker operations. Revenues rose by 15% from the previous year to €357.3m (£300m) to €310.1m, with casino revenues jumping to €151.4m from €136.3m, bingo rev

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3 Mar 2011 14:13

London afternoon: Footsie cruises towards 6,000

Footsie has 6,000 within its sights once more as stocks bounce back strongly on hopes that the Libyan situation might be resolved. Reports that the Arab League is considering a proposal to end the fighting in Libya have boosted sentiment, and has sent the price of oil into reverse. Heavy oil users

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28 Jan 2011 15:56

FTSE 250 movers: BTG and IG Group on the decline

BTG is on of the heaviest fallers despite yesterday's announcement that the speciality pharmaceuticals developer expects its recurring revenues will grow by £5m following the Biocompatibles acquisition. IG Group is following suit after the its was reported yesterday that the spreadbet firm has one

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17 Dec 2010 08:12

PartyGaming's casino keeps year on track

PartyGaming, the internet gambling firm that's merging with rival bwin, has traded in line with expectations during the fourth quarter, with a stronger casino business offsetting weakness in poker and bingo. The company said trading since the end of September has been "solid" overall, thanks mainly

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15 Nov 2010 08:04

Sportingbet confirms talks

Online bookmaker Sportingbet has confirmed it is in talks about 'potential opportunities', rumoured to be with Swedish rival Unibet in a deal that could be worth up to £600m. "The company confirms that it has had and will continue to have discussions with different parties in relation to a variety

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22 Oct 2010 16:24

London close:Dull end to the week

London has closed lower as Wall Street failed to arouse much enthusiasm and miners fell back with a weak dollar. Talks about currency tensions at this weekend's G20 meeting in Korea are also making traders cautious. Lonmin, Eurasian Natural Resources Corp, Vedanta and Anglo American are lower. Tw

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22 Oct 2010 15:25

London afternoon: Gloomy mood continues

Blue chips are stuck in the red as Wall Street failed to arouse much enthusiasm and miners continue to wallow in negative territory as dollar strength trims commodity prices. US company earnings have been largely well-received, but talks about currency tensions at this weekend's G20 meeting in Kore

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22 Oct 2010 12:54

Broker tips: GSK, PartyGaming, Debenhams

Panmure Gordon has not changed its forecasts for GlaxoSmithKline following third quarter results that failed to rouse much excitement. The drugs firm's results were broadly in line with the broker's expectations reporting revenues of £6.81bn and earnings per share of 28.2p. The broker recently dow

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22 Oct 2010 12:44

Broker snap: Exciting future ahead for PartyGaming

KBC Peel Hunt expects that the completion of PartyGaming's merger with bwin Interactive Entertainment to be one "well worth waiting for". The internet gambling firm's third quarter results were in line with forecasts with revenues at €85.3m. This represented a 6% decline compared with the last quar

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