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LONDON BRIEFING: UK cost-of-living crisis deepens as pay lags prices

Tue, 15th Feb 2022 08:23

(Alliance News) - The UK unemployment rate was unchanged at the end of last year, but pay failed to keep up with inflation, providing further evidence of a building cost-of-living crisis in the country, figures from the Office for National Statistics showed on Tuesday.

In the three months to December, the UK unemployment rate was steady at 4.1%, in line with market expectations. The jobless rate in the three months to November also was 4.1%.

On a quarter-on-quarter basis, the unemployment rate declined from 4.3%. Compared to the three months to February 2020, so before the onset of the pandemic, the UK unemployment rate was 0.1 percentage point higher.

Annual growth in total pay - so including bonuses - was 4.3%. Regular pay, which excludes bonuses, was up 3.7%. Both failed to keep pace with the UK's annual consumer price inflation rate in December of 5.4%. Faring the worst were public sector employees whose total pay rose 2.6%, compared to 4.6% in the public sector.

Payrolled employees climbed 108,000 monthly in December, sitting 436,000 above pre-virus levels.

"We have been here before," commented Sarah Coles at Hargreaves Lansdown. "We suffered 12 years of falling wages after the financial crisis, and pay only got back to its pre-crisis levels on the eve of the pandemic in February 2020.

"However, at least at that time inflation was far lower, and energy bills weren't set to rise by hundreds of pounds overnight. This time round, it's going to be incredibly difficult for anyone left behind."

Here is what you need to know at the London market open:

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MARKETS

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FTSE 100: up 0.5% at 7,571.69

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Hang Seng: down 0.8% at 24,355.71

Nikkei 225: closed down 0.8% at 26,865.19

S&P/ASX 200: closed down 0.5% at 7,206.90

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DJIA: closed down 171.89 points, or 0.5%, at 34,566.17

S&P 500: closed down 16.97 points, or 0.4%, at 4,401.67

Nasdaq Composite: closed marginally lower, down 0.24 point at 13,790.92

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EUR: firm at USD1.1310 (USD1.1300)

GBP: firm at USD1.3529 (USD1.3520)

USD: down at JPY115.38 (JPY115.58)

Gold: up at USD1,876.92 per ounce (USD1,865.30)

Oil (Brent): up at USD95.54 a barrel (USD94.70)

(changes since previous London equities close)

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ECONOMICS AND GENERAL

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Tuesday's key economic events still to come

1100 CET EU gross domestic product

1100 CET EU flash estimate employment EU and euro area

1100 CET Germany ZEW indicator

0830 EST US producer price index

1630 EST US API weekly statistical bulletin

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The German government is reiterating its demand for Russian troop withdrawals from Ukraine's borders, shortly before talks get under way between Chancellor Olaf Scholz and Russian President Vladimir Putin. The responsibility for a de-escalation lies "clearly with Russia," German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock said on Tuesday morning. "The fate of an entire country and its population is at stake at the moment due to the Russian troop build-up. The situation is extremely dangerous and can escalate at any time," she warned. Baerbock stressed the West must make it clear with "all consistency" that it stands united behind a peaceful and secure Europe. Scholz and Putin are set to meet Tuesday afternoon in Moscow.

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BROKER RATING CHANGES

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RBC cuts BAT to 'sector perform' (outperform) - price target 3,300 pence

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Barclays raises BAT price target to 4,200 (3,400) pence - 'overweight'

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RBC raises Unilever to 'sector perform' (underperform) - price target 3,600 (3,400) pence

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COMPANIES - FTSE 100

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Glencore said revenue jumped 43% to USD203.75 billion in 2021 from USD142.34 billion the year earlier. The miner and commodities trader swung to a pretax profit of USD7.38 billion from a loss of USD5.12 billion in 2020. Adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation leapt 84% to a record USD21.32 billion. Glencore set out plans for USD4.0 billion worth of shareholder returns. Of this, USD3.4 billion will come from a USD0.26 per share base distribution in respect to 2021 cash flow, and USD550 million through a share buyback. Glencore did not pay a dividend in 2020. The miner, however, had to set aside a USD1.50 billion provision for probes involving the US Department of Justice, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the UK Serious Fraud Office, and the Brazilian Federal Prosecutor's Office. The US DoJ is investigating Glencore's compliance with various criminal statutes, including money laundering and fraud laws. The CFTC's probe is in connection with charges of market manipulation in commodities trading, while the UK and Brazil probes both are in connection with alleged bribery, the latter concerning Petrobras. Petrobras is a Brazilian state-owned petroleum company.

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Separately, Glencore has supported a GBP200 million funding round by low-carbon batteries firm Britishvolt, the Financial Times reported. Britishvolt said Glencore will be the cornerstone investor in its Series C financing. The miner has committed GBP40 million at a significantly higher valuation than its previous investment in Britishvolt, the FT said. The launch of the funding round comes weeks after Britishvolt raised GBP1.7 billion in sales and leaseback funding from warehouse provider Tritax and investment manager abrdn to construct its factory in Northumberland. Britishvolt's gigafactory, which at its peak aims to produce enough cells for 300,000 electric car batteries a year, will be the UK's fourth-largest building. To help finance the project, which could cost as much as GBP3.8 billion, the FT said Britishvolt has been mulling a London listing.

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AstraZeneca and Merck & Co reported positive trial results for Lynparza in combination with abiraterone in patients with prostate cancer. Results from the PROpel phase three trial showed Lynparza in combination with abiraterone reduced the risk of disease progression or death by 34% in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer versus just abiraterone alone. Results also showed a favourable trend towards improved overall survival, however the difference did not reach statistical significance at the time of the data cut-off. The trial will continue to assess overall survival as a key secondary endpoint.

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COMPANIES - FTSE 250

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Contracts-for-difference trading platform Plus500 posted an annual earnings decline. Pretax profit fell 26% to USD386.4 million in 2021 from USD523.3 million in 2020, as revenue fell 18% to USD718.7 million from USD872.5 million. In the fourth quarter alone, however, revenue was 75% higher annually at USD161.1 million. Annual revenue, meanwhile, was more than double 2019's USD354.5 million. Plus500 lifted its annual payout by a third to USD1.1916 per share, from USD1.7823. In addition, it plans to conduct a new USD55.0 million share buyback in 2022. This includes a USD25.2 million new buyback and a USD29.8 million special share repurchase programme. "The purpose of the new programme is to further emphasise the board's confidence in the prospects of Plus500 and reflects the robust financial position of the group, as highlighted by the group's operational and financial performance in FY 2021," Plus500 said.

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COMPANIES - MAIN MARKET AND AIM

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MySale, an Australia, New Zealand and south east Asia-focused online retailer, said it is taking a "cautious approach" to its full-year outlook in light of recent trading trends. The company said inventory built up in the half year that ended December 31 to AUD6.2 million from AUD2.6 million, as demand was hit by the spread of the Omicron variant of Covid-19. As a result, underlying earnings and cash reserves took big hits, while revenue declined by 6.4% to AUD59.7 million from AUD63.8 million a year before. Shares were down 39% early Tuesday in London.

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Tuesday's shareholder meetings

Dewhurst PLC - GM re name change to Dewhurst Group PLC

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By Tom Waite; thomaslwaite@alliancenews.com

Copyright 2022 Alliance News Limited. All Rights Reserved.

More News
7 Nov 2022 15:54

UK earnings, trading statements calendar - next 7 days

Tuesday 8 November 
3i Infrastructure PLCHalf Year Results
Argentex Group PLCHalf Year Results
Associated British Foods PLCFull Year Results
Aveva Group PLCHalf Year Results
Beximco Pharmaceuticals LtdFull Year Results
CNH Industrial NVQ3 Results
Coca-Cola HBC AGTrading Statement
DCC PLCHalf Year Results
Direct Line Insurance Group PLCTrading Statement
Egdon Resources PLCFull Year Results
Hilton Food Group PLCTrading Statement
IMI PLCTrading Statement
Marks Electrical Group PLCHalf Year Results
Oxford Instruments PLCHalf Year Results
Persimmon PLCTrading Statement
Vaalco Energy Inc Q3 Results
Warehouse REIT PLCHalf Year Results
YouGov PLCFull Year Results
Zoo Digital Group PLCHalf Year Results
Wednesday 9 November 
Aviva PLCTrading Statement
Bank of Ireland Group PLCTrading Statement
Biffa PLCHalf Year Results
Conduit Holdings LtdTrading Statement
Dignity PLCTrading Statement
Esken LtdHalf Year Results
FirstGroup PLCHalf Year Results
Flutter Entertainment PLCTrading Statement
Gelion PLCFull Year Results
Georgia Capital PLCQ3 Results
Gym Group PLCTrading Statement
JD Wetherspoon PLCTrading Statement
ITV PLCTrading Statement
Marks & Spencer Group PLCHalf Year Results
MaxCyte IncQ3 Results
Norcros PLCHalf Year Results
Picton Property Income LtdHalf Year Results
Smiths Group PLCTrading Statement
Smiths News PLCFull Year Results
Taylor Wimpey PLCTrading Statement
Tracsis PLCFull Year Results
Volex PLCHalf Year Results
Watches of Switzerland Group PLCHalf Year Results
Thursday 10 November 
3i Group PLCHalf Year Results
Allianz Technology Trust PLCQ3 Results
AstraZeneca PLCQ3 Results
Auto Trader Group PLCHalf Year Results
B&M European Value Retail SAHalf Year Results
Bank of Georgia Group PLCQ3 Results
ConvaTec Group PLCTrading Statement
Domino's Pizza Group PLCTrading Statement
Endeavour Mining PLCQ3 Results
Grafton Group PLCTrading Statement
Haleon PLCQ3 Results
Manolete Partners PLCHalf Year Results
National Grid PLCHalf Year Results
Nightcap PLCFull Year Results
Qinetiq Group PLCHalf Year Results
Regional REIT LtdTrading Statement
Renewi PLCHalf Year Results
Spirent Communications PLCTrading Statement
Smoove PLCHalf Year Results
Tate & Lyle PLCHalf Year Results
TT Electronics PLCTrading Statement
Vistry Group PLCTrading Statement
Young & Co's Brewery PLCHalf Year Results
WH Smith PLCFull Year Results
Friday 11 November 
Beazley PLCHalf Year Results
Permanent TSB Group Holdings PLCTrading Statement
TheWorks.co.uk PLCTrading Statement
Urban Logistics REIT PLCHalf Year Results
Monday 14 November 
Atalaya Mining PLCQ3 Results
Biome Technologies PLCTrading Statement
Cake Box Holdings PLCHalf Year Results
Diversified Energy Co PLCTrading Statement
HgCapital Trust PLCQ3 Results
Informa PLCTrading Statement
Kainos Group PLCHalf Year Results
MySale Group PLCFull Year Results
S4 Capital PLCQ3 Results
Totally PLCHalf Year Results
  
Copyright 2022 Alliance News Limited. All Rights Reserved.

Read more
2 Nov 2022 09:19

IN BRIEF: Frasers to acquire remaining MySale shares after offer close

Frasers Group PLC - Derbyshire, England-based retail and intellectual property group - Will compulsorily acquire remaining MySale Group PLC shares, after its offer for the company closed in London on Tuesday. It now owns or has acceptances for its takeover offer for 95.4% of MySale shares.

Read more
24 Oct 2022 10:24

UPDATE: Frasers ups investment in Hugo Boss to 33%; buys 5% Asos stake

(Alliance News) - Frasers Group PLC on Monday said it increased its investment in German fashion designer Hugo Boss AG to just under a third, while also confirming it has bought a 5% stake in UK online clothing retailer Asos PLC.

Read more
24 Oct 2022 09:01

TOP NEWS: Frasers increases investment in German designer Hugo Boss

(Alliance News) - Frasers Group PLC on Monday said its investment in the shares of German fashion designer Hugo Boss AG is now 4.3%, while it additionally has a 28.5% interest via put options that it has sold.

Read more
24 Oct 2022 07:45

LONDON BRIEFING: Shell seals Qatar gas stake; Pearson trading strong

(Alliance News) - Stocks in London were called to start the new week flat on Monday, while the Hang Seng in Hong Kong slumped after Xi Jinping secured a rare third term as leader of China.

Read more
18 Oct 2022 12:23

Frasers up stake in fashion marketplace MySale to majority holding

(Alliance News) - Frasers Group PLC on Tuesday said its MySale Group PLC offer is now unconditional, as it ups its stake in the Australian-based fashion marketplace to 51%.

Read more
17 Oct 2022 10:19

Frasers boosts stake in MySale target

(Sharecast News) - Frasers Group urged MySale shareholders to accept its £14m takeover offer on Monday, after the British retailer bolstered its stake in the Australian firm.

Read more
12 Oct 2022 15:43

TOP NEWS: MySale board gives up fight against Frasers takeover offer

(Alliance News) - MySale PLC on Wednesday reluctantly recommended Frasers Group PLC's takeover offer to shareholders, after Frasers disclosed a blocking shareholding in MySale on Monday.

Read more
12 Oct 2022 15:07

MySale recommends shareholders accept Frasers bid

(Sharecast News) - Australian fashion marketplace MySale said on Wednesday that it now recommends shareholders accept a takeover offer from Frasers Group, even though it undervalues the business.

Read more
26 Sep 2022 09:46

TOP NEWS: Frasers to make mandatory takeover bid for MySale

(Alliance News) - Frasers Group PLC on Monday said it was making a "mandatory cash offer" for the remaining shares in MySale Group PLC.

Read more
26 Sep 2022 07:47

LONDON BRIEFING: Unilever CEO to step down; RPS backs new takeover bid

(Alliance News) - All eyes will be on the pound when traders in Europe return to desks on Monday, after the UK currency fell to an all-time low during the Asian session.

Read more
16 Sep 2022 17:02

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: Stocks in red; pound plunges on retail sales data

(Alliance News) - Stocks in London ended a difficult week in the red on Friday, as disappointing UK retail sales data sent the pound plunging and painted a gloomy picture about the nation's economy ahead of a major interest decision from the Bank of England next week.

Read more
16 Sep 2022 11:09

AIM WINNERS & LOSERS: MySale up as slams Frasers bid; AfriTin placing

(Alliance News) - The following stocks are the leading risers and fallers on AIM in London on Friday.

Read more
16 Sep 2022 09:16

MySale chairman stands down with immediate effect

(Sharecast News) - Online retailer MySale has rejected a takeover bid from Mike Ashley's Frasers Group, stating it does not consider the terms of the deal to be "fair" or "reasonable".

Read more
16 Sep 2022 08:37

MySale hits out at Frasers takeover bid as chair steps down

(Alliance News) - Frasers Group PLC's bid to take full ownership of online retailer MySale Group PLC received a blow on Friday, after the AIM listing said a GBP14 million bid is too low.

Read more

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