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UPDATE 2-Bank of England officials closer to voting for rate rise, minutes show

Wed, 21st May 2014 14:59

* Some on MPC think rate rise decision now "more balanced"

* Easter helps retail sales to fastest growth since 2004

* MPC says low rates could distort housing market

* Pound at 5 1/2-yr high, gilt/Bund spread widest since 1998

* Reuters poll shows economists still see Q2 rate rise (Adds Reuters interest rate poll)

By David Milliken and Ana Nicolaci da Costa

LONDON, May 21 (Reuters) - The Bank of England appears to bea step nearer to raising interest rates, with some of its topofficials starting to say the case for keeping rates on hold isnow more finely balanced.

BoE Governor Mark Carney, who so far has had the backing ofall of the Bank's eight other monetary policymakers in keepinginterest rates at a record low, said last week that the Bank wasonly edging towards an increase in borrowing costs.

Forecasts he presented suggested no hike for around a year,and most economists in a Reuters poll published on Wednesdayshared that view.

But more than a third said rates could rise in the firstthree months of next year or earlier, and some expect one or twoof the nine members of the BoE's Monetary Policy Committee tovote for a rate rise within just a few months.

The prospect of a split on the MPC was backed up by minutesof the its May policy meeting.

"For some members, the monetary policy decision was becomingmore balanced," the minutes said. "It could be argued that themore gradual the intended rise in Bank Rate, the earlier itmight be necessary to start tightening policy."

Sterling hit a five-and-a-half year high on a trade-weightedbasis after the minutes and and a report that showed a surge inBritish retail sales in April.

The gap between British and German 10-year interest ratesrose to its highest in over 15 years as investors added to betsthat the BoE would raise rates well before the euro zone.

"The debate is clearly shifting in favour of moving rates inthe not too distant future," said George Buckley, a UK economistat Deutsche Bank.

The BoE has kept interest rates at a record low 0.5 percentsince March 2009, and the entire MPC want to see the economyrunning at closer to full capacity before they go up.

When rates do start to rise, Carney has stressed thatincreases will be gradual, and to a level much lower than beforethe crisis, when BoE rates were around 5 percent.

But Britain's economy has picked up much more quickly thanexpected over the past year. The BoE now forecasts growth of 3.4percent for 2014, which would be the highest rate since 2007.

Figures on Wednesday showed retail sales jumped 6.9 percent,their biggest rise since May 2004, aided by a late Easter.

"The figures will support the feel-good feeling about theeconomy, but there is little sign of inflationary consumeroverheating that could concern the BoE here," said Lena Komilevaat G+ Economics, a consultancy.

RATE TIMING STILL UNCERTAIN

It remains far from certain that a majority of the MPC wouldback an early rate rise, especially as three of its nine membersare due to replaced over the next three months.

The minutes showed continued disagreement about how muchslack is left in Britain's economy and how rapidly growth willuse it up. Policymakers also noted a premature rate rise couldchoke off growth, and said there was little sign inflation wouldexceed its 2 percent target in the foreseeable future.

Rather than raise rates, the BoE may take steps through itsFinancial Policy Committee to curb the effects of low rates onBritain's housing market. The MPC noted that its commitment tokeep rates low could distort the market and said the FPC mighttake steps to mitigate that when it meets next month.

House prices have risen by around 10 percent over the pastyear, and both Carney and Prime Minister David Cameron havecalled housing the biggest domestic risk to financial stability,possibly paving the way for moves to cool demand.

On Tuesday, Lloyds Banking Group said it would stoplending at multiples above four times a borrower's income formortgages of over 500,000 pounds ($842,400) to reduce itsexposure to London, where prices are rising fastest.

Tighter mortgage rules came into force in April and mortgageapprovals and the number of homes up for sale have fallen inrecent months. The MPC said it was too soon to know if the ruleswere having an impact.

Wednesday's Reuters poll showed that 27 out of 30 economistsbelieved that the BoE is right to use the FPC's tools ratherthan higher interest rates to curb housing market excesses. ($1 = 0.5935 British Pounds) (Additional reporting by Belinda Goldsmith; editing by WilliamSchomberg and Jeremy Gaunt)

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31 Jul 2023 21:47

IN BRIEF: Lloyds corporate affairs chief sells GBP150,350 shares

Lloyds Banking Group PLC - Edinburgh, Scotland-based bank - Chief Corporate Affairs Officer Andrew Walton sells 333,333 shares at 45.105 pence each on Thursday last week. Total aggregate value is GBP150,350.

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31 Jul 2023 11:00

Britain's banks told to justify low savings rates by end of August

LONDON, July 31 (Reuters) - Britain's banks and building societies have until the end of August to justify to regulators why some of their savings rates are low or face sanctions, the markets watchdog said on Monday, as Bank of England rates look set to rise to their highest since 2008.

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28 Jul 2023 14:03

UK's Telegraph and Spectator appoint Goldman Sachs to run sale

LONDON, July 28 (Reuters) - The boards of the Telegraph newspaper and The Spectator magazine, led by recently appointed chair Mike McTighe, have appointed investment bank Goldman Sachs and law firm Linklaters to advise on their sale, they said in a statement on Friday.

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27 Jul 2023 15:44

UK dividends calendar - next 7 days

Friday 28 July 
3i Group PLCdividend payment date
abrdn Private Equity Opportunities Trust PLCdividend payment date
abrdn Smaller Companies Income Trust PLCdividend payment date
Barings Emerging EMEA Opportunities PLCdividend payment date
Big Yellow Group PLCdividend payment date
British Land Co PLCdividend payment date
Edinburgh Investment Trust PLCdividend payment date
Gooch & Housego PLCdividend payment date
Helical PLCdividend payment date
Henderson High Income Trust PLCdividend payment date
Hipgnosis Songs Fund Ltddividend payment date
JPMorgan Global Emerging Markets Income Trust PLCdividend payment date
Martin Currie Global Portfolio Trust PLCdividend payment date
Paragon Banking Group PLCdividend payment date
Personal Assets Trust PLCspecial dividend payment date
Personal Assets Trust PLCdividend payment date
Polar Capital Holdings PLCdividend payment date
Premier Foods PLCdividend payment date
Real Estate Credit Investments Ltddividend payment date
Schroder Income Growth Fund PLCdividend payment date
Shires Income PLCdividend payment date
Troy Income & Growth Trust PLCdividend payment date
Vertu Motors PLCdividend payment date
Monday 31 July 
CT Private Equity Trust PLCdividend payment date
European Assets Trust PLCdividend payment date
Lowland Investment Co PLCdividend payment date
Tuesday 1 August 
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F&C Investment Trust PLCdividend payment date
Johnson Matthey PLCdividend payment date
Mercantile Investment Trust PLCdividend payment date
Next PLCdividend payment date
TR Property Investment Trust PLCdividend payment date
United Utilities Group PLCdividend payment date
Wednesday 2 August 
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Thursday 3 August 
Aberforth Smaller Companies Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
Aptitude Software Group PLCex-dividend payment date
Atrato Onsite Energy PLCex-dividend payment date
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Brunner Investment Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
BT Group PLCex-dividend payment date
Caledonia Investments PLCdividend payment date
CML Microsystems PLCex-dividend payment date
Dunedin Income Growth Investment Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
Foxtons Group PLCex-dividend payment date
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GB Group PLCdividend payment date
Inchcape PLCex-dividend payment date
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JPMorgan Global Core Real Assets Ltdex-dividend payment date
Jupiter Fund Management PLCex-dividend payment date
Jupiter Fund Management PLCspecial ex-dividend payment date
Lloyds Banking Group PLCex-dividend payment date
M&G Credit Income Investment Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
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Nichols PLCex-dividend payment date
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Picton Property Income Ltdex-dividend payment date
Polar Capital Global Financials Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
Polar Capital Global Healthcare Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
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27 Jul 2023 09:38

LONDON BROKER RATINGS: Shore Capital cuts AO World to 'sell'

(Alliance News) - The following London-listed shares received analyst recommendations Thursday morning and Wednesday:

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27 Jul 2023 06:00

Banks tread tricky tightrope with politically exposed clients

LONDON, July 26 (Reuters) - The war of words between NatWest and erstwhile customer Nigel Farage has underscored the challenges global banks face in handling clients who could be defined as a politically exposed person, or PEP.

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26 Jul 2023 16:54

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: Europe falls amid pre-Fed decision caution

(Alliance News) - Blue-chip stock prices in Europe closed lower on Wednesday, as risk aversion set in ahead of a Federal Reserve interest rate decision later.

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26 Jul 2023 13:53

Banks tread tricky tightrope with politically exposed clients

LONDON, July 26 (Reuters) - The war of words between NatWest and erstwhile customer Nigel Farage has underscored the challenges global banks face in handling clients who could be defined as a politically exposed person, or PEP.

Read more
26 Jul 2023 12:21

Shares fall as Fed rate rise looms

Euro STOXX down 0.9%

*

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26 Jul 2023 12:05

European banks flag bad loan risks as global economy falters

LONDON/MILAN/MADRID, July 26 (Reuters) - Europe's major banks, including Deutsche Bank and Lloyds Banking Group, on Wednesday pointed to the rising risk of bad loans as the global economy struggles with slow growth and high inflation.

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26 Jul 2023 10:04

TOP NEWS: Lloyds raises guidance following "robust" half year earnings

(Alliance News) - Lloyds Banking Group PLC said it was "well positioned to deliver" on its ambitions and raised its full-year guidance off the back of higher income and profit in the last six months.

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26 Jul 2023 09:25

NatWest's Alison Rose, trail-blazing finance boss, bows out after Farage breach

LONDON, July 26 (Reuters) - NatWest's departing CEO Alison Rose until recently told colleagues she had weathered more than her fair share of crises, steering the state-backed lender through the COVID-19 pandemic and market fallout from war in Europe and chaos in Westminster. But ultimately it was committing the cardinal sin of breaching the confidence of a client, former Brexit Party leader Nigel Farage, that cost her her job.

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26 Jul 2023 07:52

LONDON BRIEFING: Lloyds raises guidance; Rio Tinto profit down

(Alliance News) - Stocks in London are called to open lower on Wednesday, following a slew of earnings from UK companies, as well as an interest rate decision from the US Federal Reserve.

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26 Jul 2023 07:03

Lloyds Bank interim profits surge 23%

(Sharecast News) - Lloyds Bank on Wednesday reported another surge in earnings, although slightly below expectations, and set aside more cash for bad loans amid pressure to provide hard pressed savers better returns.

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25 Jul 2023 12:26

Wednesday preview: Federal Reserve, Lloyds in the spotlight

(Sharecast News) - All eyes on Wednesday would be on the U.S. Federal Reserve and whether or not it signaled that interest rates hikes would stop after this policy meeting.

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