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Tuesday preview: Man, Close, Game, JJB, GDP

Mon, 27th Sep 2010 16:51

Hedge fund manager Man Group gives a pre-close trading update and as usual most of the attention will be on how well the "black box" used by its flagship AHL fund has been doing in predicting market movements. The fund has pulled out of a slump in recent months though the Japanese government's uncharacteristic intervention in foreign exchange markets to try and drive down the price of the Japanese yen may have caused Man a bit of pain, broker Singer Capital Markets reckons.As such, the broker argues, the first half will "see little in the way of performance fees" and Singer has downgraded its full year profit estimates accordingly. The broker thinks assets under management (AUM) will rise slightly to $40.3bn from the $38.5bn reported at the end of June. "Sales of private investor funds are likely to have remained muted given AHL underwhelming performance and seasonal effects. We expect net outflows from private investor funds of $0.5bn (sales $0.5bn, redemptions $1bn) in Q2 making net outflows for H1 of $1.1bn. Performance was better in Q2 and AHL has risen 2.6% since March to date. Some further positive rebalancing and FX will have helped headline AUM we expect," the broker added. "Institutional AUM at end March amounted to $11.4bn. The company have already indicated that some $0.3bn of quarterly redemptions were paid on 1st July and we estimate that overall redemptions in Q2 will have been some $0.5bn, the lowest quarterly level for over three years," it added.Sticking with the financial sector, merchant bank Close Brothers said on 23 July that it expects "a solid overall performance for the 2010 full financial year." As that statement was made barely a week before the company's financial year ended, it seems safe to assume it will make good on that claim.If it makes profit before tax in excess of £119.2m it will be able to say it beat market expectations. Last year, underlying pre-tax profit was £114m.Favourable market conditions helped the merchant bank improve the loan book to £2.9bn on 30 June from £2.6bn at the end of January and £2.7bn in the third quarter. Things were a bit more subdued on the fund management side while conditions became "more difficult" for the securities division as the fourth quarter wore on.According to HMV's trading statement at the beginning of the month the video games market has been weak, with publishers holding off from summer releases - possibly in the expectation that gamers would be glued to their TVs as usual, but this time watching the World Cup. That does not bode well for computer games retailer Game Group which issues interim results on Tuesday.In the middle of June Game revealed that in the preceding 19 weeks total group sales were 11.4% lower than a year earlier. That represented an improvement on the situation after 11 weeks of the new financial year, when group sales were down 13.3%. On a like for like (LFL) basis sales were down 12.3% compared to a 14.4% shortfall at the 11-weeks stage. With the effects of the Nintendo DSi launch in 2009 stripped out group LFL sales were down by 8.4%.Singer Capital Markets is expecting continued improvement in the LFL sales trend as the comparatives get weaker. It is going for loss before tax of £15.5m, compared to a profit in the first half of last year of £14.5m."Current trading is likely to have shown some improvement given the launches of the Sony Move and Halo Reach. We look forward to hearing new CEO Ian Shepherd's initial findings since his arrival at the end of June but a full strategy update is not expected until the new year," the broker said. KBC Peel Hunt is also expecting Game to revert to what it terms its "traditional" first half loss, and has pencilled in a figure of £14.1m. Further down the road, however, the company should benefit from new hardware releases over the next six months. Notwithstanding that, the broker expects new chief executive officer Ian Shepherd "will be focused on softening the cycle and positing Game in the driving seat for on-line distribution over the medium term."Elsewhere on the high street replica kit and trainers seller JJB Sports also releases interim results. Here, Singer is forecasting interim losses to more or less halve to £21.9m from £42.9m the year before. "Given concerns about cash burn and inventory funding, we will be looking closely at the period end financing position and related commentary. Having had £5.6m net cash as at 23 May, and despite having enjoyed a boost from the World Cup, we expect the group to have dipped down into net debt, possibly in the order of £5-10m. This in part reflects a reversion to normal quarterly in advance rents in June (worth almost £10m extra versus monthly) and inventory build," the broker predicts. It's an important day on the economic front. With the Autumn spending review looming government statisticians will be keen to see whether the slightly surprising estimate of second quarter growth in gross domestic product will stay at an eye-catching 1.2% (+1.7% year on year).The figure often shifts about as more data comes in but economists are predicting that the previous estimate will be confirmed but, in the words of economist Dr. Howard Archer, that may be as good as it gets for UK economic growth for some time. "Latest data and survey evidence point to a clear moderation in activity in the third quarter (we expect GDP growth of 0.5% quarter-on-quarter), and economic activity seems set to be pressurized over the coming months by major fiscal tightening increasingly kicking in, serious constraints on consumers, persistently tight credit conditions and slower global growth. Consequently, we expect GDP growth to be limited to 1.6% in 2010, and expect a similar outturn in 2011," Dr. Archer said.INTERIMSAG Barr, Atlantic Global, Augean, Eco City Vehicles, Game Group, GVC Holdings, Japan Leisure Hotels, JJB Sports, NEOVIA FinancialINTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATEHiscoxINTERIM EX-DIVIDEND DATEToshibaQUARTERLY EX-DIVIDEND DATEYamana Gold IncINTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTSSmall Business Confidence (JPN)Consumer Price Index (GER) (07:00)GFK Consumer Confidence (GER) (07:00)Consumer Spending (FRA) (07:45)Consumer Prices Index (GER) Consumer Confidence (EU) (10:00)Consumer Confidence (US) (15:00)Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (US) (15:00)ABC Consumer Confidence (US) (22:00)GMSBlackRock Commodities Income Inv Trust, Evolve CapitalFINALSAI Claims Solutions, Albemarle & Bond, Close Brothers Group, Ludgate Environmental Fund, Ricardo GroupSPECIAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATEBritish Smaller Companies VCTEGMSMercator GoldAGMSCBaySystems Holdings (Reg S), ECO Animal Health Group, Jacques Vert, Minco, Private and Commercial, Sirius Exploration, Surface TransformsTRADING ANNOUNCEMENTSDaily Mail and General Trust, Future, Man Group, Thomas Cook GroupUK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTSBalance of Payments (09:30)Current Account (09:30)GDP (quarterly national accounts) (09:30)Total Business Investment (09:30)CBI Reported Sales Index (11:00)FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATEBritish Smaller Companies VCT, Micro Focus International Plc
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8 Feb 2013 14:45

UPDATE 1-Former JJB boss Jones charged over misleading market

* David Jones charged at Leeds Magistrates Court * Case to go to Crown Court * Jones chaired JJB Sports Jan. 2009 to Jan. 2010 * Jones is former boss of clothing retailer Next LONDON, Feb 8 (Reuters) - David Jones, one of Britain's best-known retail bosses, has been charge

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24 Sep 2012 12:15

London midday: Miners lead the fallers

Today's morning session has started the week off in much the same way as the weather has: gloomily. Investor sentiment has been knocked by renewed concerns over the single currency region following France and Germany's failure to agree a schedule for initiating shared oversight of the region's ban

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24 Sep 2012 09:03

JJB Sports shares suspended

Shares in JJB Sports were suspended this morning as the firm headed towards administration. The retailer had been searching for a buyer after it failed to raise the funds it needed to attempt a turnaround of the business. The firm said it had received offers to acquire certain of or substantially

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18 Sep 2012 16:50

London close: Late rally fizzles

A late rally which briefly looked like it might see Footsie venture into positive territory for the first time all day was nipped in the bud right at the death. Equities had a dull but fretful day, which started with concerns over China becoming involved in a trade war with the US and a military wa

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18 Sep 2012 14:47

Irish eyeing JJB Sports

Ireland's biggests sports shop chain could be looking to expand over the Irish Sea through the acquisition of cash-strapped JJB Sports. Sky News reports that Stafford Group, a family-owned private company which owns the Lifestyle Sports chain in Ireland, is among those companies in the running to b

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18 Sep 2012 12:06

London midday: Stocks pare losses after in-line macro data

Inflation data was in line with forecasts while the Spanish debt auction went as well as could be expected, prompting London equities to claw back some of the losses seen in early trading The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) measure of inflation dropped to 2.5% in August, down from 2.6% in July, helped

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16 Sep 2012 17:21

Sunday newspaper round-up: Regulation, Sun King, BAE

A former chairman of the Federal Reserve has warned that regulation in the UK may have gone too far in its efforts to separate high-street banks from their high-risk investment arms. Paul Volcker claimed the UK's proposals to ringfence retail banks from their speculative trading divisions go even fu

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30 Aug 2012 11:18

Broker tips: Kazakhmys, Antofagasta, Admiral...

Jefferies now prefers Antofagasta over copper peer Kazakhmys and has downgraded its rating for the latter from 'buy' to 'hold'. "Our preference this year for shares of Kazakhmys over shares of Antofagasta has been based entirely on relative valuations (Kaz is much cheaper). However, after reviewing

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30 Aug 2012 09:46

Broker snap: Little value left in JJB, says Charles Stanley

Charles Stanley reckons that troubled sports retailer JJB Sports will likely follow in the path of High Street shop Blacks Leisure which went into administration and was sold earlier this year. The company put itself up for sale on Thursday after having failed to raise the funds needed to attempt a

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30 Aug 2012 09:35

Thursday broker round-up

Admiral: Nomura keeps buy rating and 1,300p target. Antofagasta: Jefferies raises target from 1,050p to 1,200p, hold rating kept. APR Energy: Investec upgrades from hold to buy, target cut from 1,100p to 950p. Cape: Investec maintains buy recommendation and 300p target. Consort Medical: N+1 Brew

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30 Aug 2012 07:47

JJB Sports on the block after funding talks fail

Struggling sportswear chain JJB Sports has put itself up for sale after it failed to raise the funds it needed to attempt a turnaround of the business. It warned investors that debt levels meant any purchase could still mean shares would become worthless. In July the company announced that a deter

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15 Aug 2012 16:28

Dick's Sporting Goods scores own goal with JJB stake

JJB shares lost a fifth of their value on Wednesday after one of its biggest shareholders wrote off its investment in the struggling sports retails with an impairment charge. US-based Dick's Sporting Goods, which only made its £20m investment five months ago, blamed its decision on the company's o

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6 Aug 2012 09:52

Invesco wants to avoid penalties in JJB saga

US fund manager Invesco is tired of waiting for a turnaround at JJB Sports and is preparing a move to protect its investment in the struggling sportswear retailer, the Sunday Times claims. The group has tabled a proposal to buy JJB Sport's outstanding debt from Lloyds Banking Group. The scheme, whi

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5 Aug 2012 15:20

Sunday newspaper round-up: RBS, Tesco, HMV

One of Brazil's biggest banks is plotting a bid for the prized American business of Royal Bank of Scotland. Itau Unibanco is eyeing a move for Citizens, the Rhode Island-based retail bank built up through a series of acquisitions by Fred Goodwin, the former RBS chief executive. Citizens has more tha

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30 Jul 2012 14:28

Lingerie specialist is interim CEO at JJB

JJB Sports, the struggling sportswear retailer which shucked off its Chief Executive Officer (CEO) Keith Jones last Friday, has announced retail veteran Beverley Williams as Jones's interim replacement. Williams, who has spent more than 25 years in senior executive positions in the retail trade, wi

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