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Share Price: 685.50
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LIVE MARKETS-Record-breaking dividends

Mon, 17th Feb 2020 14:41

* European shares hit record highs: STOXX +0.2%

* China cuts rate to soften coronavirus hit

* U.S. raises tariffs on European aircraft in ongoing dispute

* Wall Street closed for Washington's Birthday
Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of European equity markets brought to you by Reuters
stocks reporters. You can share your thoughts with Thyagaraju Adinarayan
(thyagaraju.adinarayan@tr.com), Joice Alves (joice.alves@tr.com), Julien Ponthus
(julien.ponthus@tr.com) in London and Danilo Masoni (danilo.masoni@tr.com) in Milan.

RECORD-BREAKING DIVIDENDS (1441 GMT)

Stock markets may be striking lifetime highs nearly each day but they're not the only ones
on a record-breaking run.

Dividends globally rose to a record of $1.43 trillion in 2019 and are expected to reach a
new peak of $1.48 trillion this year, delivering the fifth straight year of record payout for
investors, according to Janus Henderson Investors.

"For the year ahead the market expects the global economy, and company profits, to continue
to grow. It therefore follows that dividends should rise again in 2020," it said.

Janus Henderson gives some interesting tidbits about sectors:

* Oil dividends rose fastest in 2019, up by a tenth on an underlying basis to 2019.

* Over the last decade, technology dividends have risen fastest, quadrupling since 2009

* Telecoms and utility dividends meanwhile have not grown at all

In single companies, Royal Dutch Shell was in 2019 the biggest dividend payer for
the fourth year in a row, followed by AT&T, and Exxon Mobil.

Apple was No.4 , down from No. 2 in 2018. It was followed by miners BHP
and Rio Tinto, and banks China Construction Bank, JP Morgan Chase
and HSBC.

The top ten payers paid out $128.7 billions in dividends, or 9% of the total.

(Danilo Masoni)

*****

EUROPEAN BANKS ARE KILLING IT (1410 GMT)

So far a big chunk of European corporates have reported their fourth quarter results,
including 80% of the banks and it looks that the rate-sensitive sector is killing it!

A revival in bond trading income has helped offset some pressures from the negative interest
rate environment.

And UBS notes that diversified financials, "perhaps surprisingly", had the best revenue
beats of the quarter with banks also comfortably beating.

This fits with the earnings momentum data (see graph below): Banks have the second best
earnings momentum of the 29 sectors over the last month.

Morgan Stanley also suggests that "income-oriented investors... may find the 6% dividend
yield on offer from the European banks too good to refuse".

Meantime, here is an sectoral breakdown on how far through the earnings reporting season we
are:

(Joice Alves)

*****

LUXURY AND VIRUS: NOT JUST ABOUT CHINESE SHOPPERS (1248 GMT)

UBS has a point: Chinese people won't be the only consumers shying away from luxury shops
because of the spreading coronavirus, investors should also take into account slowing demand for
high-end brands in other countries.

"While the short-term lost sales in China seem well understood by the market we believe that
the negative impact on overall global luxury goods consumption could pose a further short-term
downside risk to estimates," analysts at the Swiss bank say, adding that it may be difficult to
predict the global size of the sales drop.

Meantime, here is the Chinese exposure for luxury stocks under UBS's coverage: Swatch (~50%
of sales), Richemont (~45%), Burberry (~40%), Kering, Moncler & Prada (~35%),
LVMH (~30%), Ferragamo, Tod's and Hermès (~30%).

(Danilo Masoni)

*****

STOXX AT NEW RECORD: NOW WHAT? (1125 GMT)

After failing four times to break above the 400-points threshold over the last 20 years, the
STOXX 600 has finally made it and by a decent margin! The question now is whether the
pan-European benchmark can sustain the breakout.

JPMorgan strategists led by Mislav Matejka are upbeat.

"There is a potential for short-term coronavirus induced disruption in Q1 dataflow, but we
remain bullish on the global cycle, continuing to argue that US recession is unlikely ahead of
the presidential elections," they say.

Matejka and team note that the breadth of the breakout could easily widen with only 4 out of
the 16 countries that make up the index having recorded new highs so far in 2020.

(Danilo Masoni)

*****

OPENING SNAPSHOT: RECORD HIGHS (0849 GMT)

It's risk-on at the open in Europe with the STOXX 600 and DAX rapidly
climbing to new record highs in early following a rate cut in China to soften damage from the
spreading coronavirus.

News that Washington will lift tariffs on aircraft imported from the Europe to 15% from 10%
in a long-running dispute appeared to weigh only on Airbus, which hit a one-month low.

Meanwhile, autos rose 2% to lead sectoral gainers, likely helped by China stimulus
prospects, while basic resources, which have big China exposure too, rose 1%.

Defensives and tech were underperforming.

In single stocks, Jupiter Fund Management soared to the top of the STOXX, up 8.7%
after it agreed to buy Merian Global Investors for an initial 370 million pounds.

An upbeat earnings update boosted French car parts maker Faurecia up 5.1%, while
top loser was Tullow Oil after it found no oil in an offshore Peru well.

Alstom was also having a good time, up 2% as it confirmed talks over a possible
acquisition of the train business of Canadian company Bombardier

Here's your opening snapshot:

(Danilo Masoni)

*****

ON OUR RADAR: AIRBUS, BAYER, JUPITER (0752 GMT)

European shares are set to open near their recent all-time peak as investors take comfort
from another interest rate cut in China even though the number of new confirmed coronavirus
infections in the world's no.2 economy grew on Sunday.

Futures on main equity benchmarks were up around 0.2-0.4% with DAX futures hitting fresh
record highs.

In corporate news, eyes on Airbus after the U.S. said on Friday it would lift
tariffs on aircraft imported from the EU to 15% from 10% in a long-running dispute over aircraft
subsidies. Washington however announced only minor modifications to 25% tariffs on non-aircraft
products and did not increase the rates on those goods as it had suggested it might do last
year.

Elsewhere, Bayer and BASF will be in focus after a U.S. jury awarded
$265 million to a peach grower in his lawsuit against the herbicide providers. Bayer shares were
down 3.5% in early trade and BASF down 1.5%.

In earnings, Faurecia sounded upbeat as the French car parts group reported a rise
in profits and sales, and added it was targeting further growth for 2020 even though market
conditions would be challenging this year. One trader sees the stock rising 2% at the open.

In M&A, Jupiter Fund Management has agreed to buy Merian Global Investors for an
initial 370 million pounds in shares, in a deal that will make it Britain's second-largest
retail funds provider. Jupiter shares seen up 3%, per one trader. A source said Alstom SA
is close to clinching a deal to buy Bombardier's train business which will
give the unit an enterprise value of $7 billion,

Other stock movers: Regulators should allow RTL and ProSieben to merge - Rabe; Investec
pushes on with listing of asset management arm Ninety; Corestate Buys Micro Living Properties In
Poland; NMC Health founder and co-chair Shetty resigns

(Danilo Masoni)

*****

MORNING CALL: EDGING UP, JUST BELOW PEAKS (0620 GMT)

European shares are expected to edge up at the open, staying just below record highs,
following an interest rate cut in China to support its virus-hit economy that helped shares in
Asia move back into positive territory overnight.

Spreadbetters at IG expect London's FTSE to open 16 points higher at 7,425, Frankfurt's DAX
to open 48 points higher at 13,792, and Paris' CAC to open 21 points higher at 6,090.

Meanwhile, the Euro STOXX 50 futures are up 0.26%.

Wall Street will be closed today for the Washington's Birthday holiday, likely curbing
activity, while in corporate news, it's quiet so far after last week's big earnings releases.

(Danilo Masoni)

*****

(Reporting by Danilo Masoni, Joice Alves, Julien Ponthus and Thyagaraju Adinarayan)

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Copyright 2023 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

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