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Broker tips: Shire, GKN, IG Group

Wed, 07th Dec 2016 15:08

(ShareCast News) - UBS downgraded Shire to 'neutral' from 'buy' and cut the price target to 5,000p from 5,600p saying a tougher environment for expensive orphan drugs was likely to constrain performance.This, and other issues such as low return on invested capital and the 2023 Vyvanse patent expiry, offset around 11% non-GAAP earnings per share compound annual growth rate from 2016 to 2021, impressive rare disease research and development and the great launch of the dry eye drug, Xiidra.In addition, the bank said Shire's hemophilia business faces potential competition, which may have two effects.The company's established drugs may be slowly out-competed by news drugs, and the new drugs may destabilise the current oligopoly, prompting more price competition between established drugs."Shire looks cheap on a medium-term price-to-earnings growth basis, but, in our hands, expensive-to-fair on a discount cash flow basis even if we lower beta to bring weighted average cost of capital closer to the sector average." GKN got a boost as Bank of America Merrill Lynch upgraded its stance on the stock to 'buy' from 'neutral' and upped the price target to 365p from 350p."As we move into 2017, we believe GKN provides one of the strongest earnings growth profiles in the sector, through both organic improvement and restructuring," Merrill said, adding that the valuation has been weighed on by deteriorating sentiment in aerospace & autos end markets.However, the bank said the stock's discount to peers has grown too wide and is now attractive. It noted the shares are now trading a 33% discount to the benchmark Stoxx 600 index 12 months forward versus its 10-year average discount of 14%."We think this valuation discount is extreme, and is an attractive entry point in the context of the strong earnings growth we expect relative to the rest of the sector."BofA ML said it sees top-line deceleration but bottom line acceleration. It said organic growth in Aerospace should remain low single digit organic 2017-18, as military improves and civil deteriorates. However, it sees a stronger earnings profit as the company continues to improve profitability on A350XWB and Fokker margins."Despite slower IHS' production outlook, Driveline should continue to outperform the market, in our view, and earnings should benefit from the group-wide restructuring programme and non-repeat of exceptional cost." Citigroup downgraded IG Group to 'neutral' from 'buy' and chopped the price target to 470p from 950p after the Financial Conduct Authority announced plans on Tuesday to tighten the rules around contract for difference products."We see the move by the FCA as having put the introduction of leverage limits on the regulatory table. We do not believe this was something being considered by other regulators: rather, we have seen other EU regulators use their powers to ban specific firms where they deem appropriate, rather than make sweeping changes to the whole industry."Citi said the 38 % drop in the IG share price on the back of the news was justified as it noted that key proposals include leverage limits, restrictions on financial promotions and enhanced disclosure requirements.The bank pointed out that spreadbetting and contracts for difference accounted for 51% of group revenue in FY16. It cut its full-year 2018 earnings per share estimate to 37p from 55.5p to reflect a drop of around 30% in UK revenue year-on-year from FY17 to FY18.Citi said the introduction of leverage limits will lead to reduced trading activity, at least in the short term."We think it unlikely that clients will seek to place more margin in order to still gain the same nominal exposure, but will rather accept a lower exposure for the same amount of margin placed," it said.
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24 May 2020 13:16

Sunday newspaper round-up: Hong Kong, Air bridges, Vaccine

(Sharecast News) - Hong Kong democracy activists yesterday made frantic plans to cover their tracks amid fears of a brutal crackdown by the world's most powerful surveillance state. Many deleted politically sensitive online postings, wiped social media accounts and turned to proxy servers that mask their identities after China announced sweeping national security laws for the territory. - Sunday Times

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24 Apr 2018 09:45

Melrose Reports Weak Start To Year For GKN As Quarterly Profit Drops

LONDON (Alliance News) - Melrose Industries PLC on Tuesday said recent prize GKN PLC's performance in the first quarter of the year was below expectations, with operating profit falling FTSE -

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24 Apr 2018 07:40

LONDON MARKET PRE-OPEN: Strong Quarter From St James's Place And LSE

LONDON (Alliance News) - Stocks in London are seen opening higher on Tuesday after reports of strong first-quarter performances from St James's Place and the London Stock Exchange, while said

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19 Apr 2018 10:09

Melrose Offer For GKN Now Unconditional, Directors Take Charge

LONDON (Alliance News) - FTSE 250-listed Melrose Industries PLC on Thursday said its offer for GKN PLC is now unconditional, as its directors join GKN's board in place of its old industrial it

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18 Apr 2018 17:17

Melrose Industries Receives Valid Acceptances For 85% Of GKN Shares

LONDON (Alliance News) - FTSE 250-listed Melrose Industries PLC on Wednesday said that it received valid acceptances representing about 85% of the voting rights of engineer GKN PLC.Earlier

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4 Apr 2018 14:39

Moody's Places GKN Rating Under Review For Downgrade After Melrose Bid

LONDON (Alliance News) - Moody's Investors Service on Wednesday put the Baa3 senior unsecured debt and programme ratings for GKN PLC under review for a potential in the at

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3 Apr 2018 15:08

Bank of America Increases Holding In GKN To 14% After Transaction (ALLISS)

LONDON (Alliance News) - GKN PLC said on Tuesday that Bank of America Corp upped its stake in FTSE-100 listed engineering company in transaction last Tuesday.Bank of to

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29 Mar 2018 20:02

ANALYSIS-Melrose’s "Project Golf" bid for GKN beats engineer’s “Damson” defence

* Melrose first contacted GKN’s brokers about bid on January 5 * Both sides only met once during three-month battle * GKN investors narrowly back Ben March 29 -

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29 Mar 2018 17:51

BRIEF-UK Govt Has "Statutory Responsibility" To Consider Whether GKN-Melrose Merger Gives Rise To Public Interest Concerns - Business Secretary??

March 29 (Reuters) - UK Business Secretary Greg Clark: * "DURING BID, MELROSE MADE COMMITMENTS WHICH THEY ARE BOUND TO HONOUR INCLUDING INVESTMENT IN RESEARCH AND

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29 Mar 2018 17:46

UPDATE: Dana Says Deal With GKN Driveline "Unlikely" After Melrose Win

LONDON (Alliance News) - US engineer Dana Inc late Thursday acknowledged the decision by GKN PLC's shareholders to accept the GBP8.4 billion bid by Melrose

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29 Mar 2018 17:17

LIVE MARKETS-Closing snapshot: STOXX posts worst quarter in 2 years

March 29 - Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of European equity markets brought to you by Reuters stocks reporters and anchored today by Helen Reid. Reach her on Messenger to share your on 2

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29 Mar 2018 17:13

UPDATE: GKN Board Accepts Defeat And Recommends Melrose's Takeover Bid

LONDON (Alliance News) - GKN PLC's board on Thursday accepted defeat and asked shareholders of the company to accept the GBP8.4 billion takeover bid made by

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29 Mar 2018 17:05

UPDATE 1-Britain's FTSE posts worst quarter since 2011

* FTSE 100 up 0.17 percent on the day * FTSE ends first quarter with 8.2 percent loss * GKN surges after Melrose bid acceptance (Adds closing prices) By Kit Rees and Julien 29

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29 Mar 2018 16:52

UPDATE 1-Britain shrugs off Brexit to enjoy boom in dealmaking

By Ben Martin LONDON, March 29 (Reuters) - British companies have been swept up in a global boom in dealmaking that has seen the amount of M&A involving firms hit a

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29 Mar 2018 16:28

UPDATE 1-Melrose wins UK engineer GKN with $11 bln hostile bid

By Ben Martin LONDON, March 29 (Reuters) - Melrose Industries has narrowly clinched an 8 billion-pound ($11 billion) takeover of British engineer GKN, a

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