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BUZZ-UK fast-moving consumer goods: Investec looks into "Brexit"

Thu, 03rd Mar 2016 09:50

** Investec looks at what Brexit might mean for mid-capfast-moving consumer goods (FMCG)

** The analysts say issues could include forex volatility,workforce availability, trade and the Common Agricultural Policy(CAP) (agricultural policy of the EU)

** Say the FMCG sector has a reasonable degree ofinteraction with Europe, mainly because the UK is notself-sufficient on food. Add that negotiating new traderelationships will be vital otherwise those that do export willbe subject to EU tariffs

** Say CAP has been deeply unpopular with non-farmers, giventhat it absorbs around 40 pct of the EU budget, but also withsome farmers who hate its complex bureaucracy

** Say exchange rate volatility is likely in the run up tothe referendum, given the degree of uncertainty over which waythe vote may go

** Britain will hold a referendum on its EU membership onJune 23 and the possibility of "Brexit" has kept the sterlingnear a seven-year low against the dollar

** The analysts flag uncertainty as the largest issue as even if Britain votes to leave, there could be a 2 yr exit"process" to follow (Reuters Messaging:noor.hussain.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net)

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