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GRAPHIC-Downgrades, profit warnings ring Brexit alarms for UK mid-caps

Tue, 25th Oct 2016 15:12

* FTSE 250 vs FTSE 100: http://reut.rs/2eCvwk9

* Profit warnings spark broker downgrades

* Earnings disappointments lead to outsized moves

* Senior, Cobham, Laird among midcaps warning on profits

By Kit Rees

LONDON, Oct 25 (Reuters) - A spate of profit warnings amongmid-sized British companies, big slides in stock prices and arush of broker downgrades have seen the third-quarter earningsseason off to a weak start as Brexit-related cracks start toshow.

So far profit warnings from smartphone maker Laird,engineers Keller and Senior, aerospace anddefence firm Cobham as well as a disappointing updatefrom NCC have triggered punishing share price falls.

A rally in the UK mid-cap index, which recoveredsharply from a slump following the referendum vote to leave theEuropean Union, has stalled over the past week as profitwarnings took their toll.

It is once again lagging the more internationally focusedFTSE 100, as this chart http://reut.rs/2eCvwk9 shows.

While the FTSE 100 is up around 11 percent since the June 23close, the FTSE 250 is up only 2.6 percent, having slipped froman all-time high reached earlier this month, at least in partbecause its constituents tend to be more exposed to a domesticeconomy whose growth could be constrained by Brexit.

By contrast, the greater international spread of FTSE 100members means their sterling profits and dividend-payingabilities actually benefit from the pound's multi-year weakness.

The outsized moves on stocks that disappoint illustrate howunforgiving investors are of weakness in company earnings.

Chipmaker Laird for example saw nearly half its market valuewiped off in a single day last week after warning of sharplylower profit, blaming a slowdown in smartphone sales and pricingpressure.

WORST DAY

Cyber security firm NCC Group also marked its worst dayever, tanking more than 35 percent after troubles with contractcancellations.

Senior fell 13 percent after blaming lower demand for partsused in heavy truck production for its profit warning, whileCobham lost a similar amount after its second profit warningthis year.

Brokers have scrambled to cut earnings expectations andprice targets on a slew of UK mid-range companies.

Laird, Countrywide, Howden Joinery Group,Mitchells & Butlers and Aldermore, all sawnegative broker activity on Tuesday, sending their shares 2.6percent to 5 percent lower on the day.

Almost every brokerage cited concerns about a post-Brexiteconomic slowdown impacting these businesses.

"Within the midcap area we've had a number of profitswarnings recently," Stephen Bailey, a fund manager onLiontrust's Macro-Thematic team, said. "A lot of those arestemming from either currency fluctuations or indeed theuncertainty that's been created by the Brexit vote.

"The economy stalled ahead of the Brexit vote ... and incertain areas it hasn't really got going again," Bailey added. "So it's not surprising we're seeing a number of these warningscoming through, and I would expect that's probably going to beset to continue." (Editing by David Holmes)

More News
17 Aug 2016 08:28

UPDATE 2-Cobham CEO to be replaced by Laird boss by end of year

(Adds analyst comment, share price) LONDON, Aug 17 (Reuters) - Struggling British aerospace and defence company Cobham said on Wednesday that Chief Executive Bob Murphy would step down by the end of the year and be succeeded by David Lockwood, current boss of technology company Laird. Read more

17 Aug 2016 07:43

Cobham CEO to step down, to be replaced by Laird boss

(ShareCast News) - Aerospace and defence group Cobham said chief executive officer Bob Murphy will step down from his role by the end of 2016 to pursue other opportunities and will be succeeded by David Lockwood no later than 1 January 2017. Lockwood is currently CEO of FTSE 250 technology company L

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17 Aug 2016 06:15

Cobham CEO to be replaced by Laird boss by end of year

LONDON, Aug 17 (Reuters) - British aerospace and defence company Cobham said on Wednesday its chief executive Bob Murphy will step down by the end of the year and be succeeded by David Lockwood, the current boss of technology company Laird . Cobham said Murphy was leaving "to pursue other o

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17 Aug 2016 06:13

TOP NEWS: Cobham Replaces Chief Executive With Laird Boss

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16 Aug 2016 11:38

Tuesday broker round-up

(ShareCast News) - Investec: UBS reiterates buy with a target price of 550p. Hastings: Berenberg maintains buy with a 234p target. Auto Trader: Goldman Sachs reiterates buy with a 445p target. Smiths Group: HSBC stays at hold with a 1300p target. Rightmove: Goldman Sachs keeps at neutral with a t

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15 Aug 2016 10:25

Broker tips: Persimmon, Restaurant Group, Cobham

(ShareCast News) - UK housebuilding shares have fallen 25% since Britain voted to leave the European Union and the sector has priced in a 5% drop in house prices, J.P. Morgan Cazenove said on Monday "However, while we think it's prudent to assume that transaction numbers will fall during 2017 (altho

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15 Aug 2016 09:10

Barclays downgrades Cobham to 'equalweight'

(ShareCast News) - Barclays downgraded Cobham to 'equalweight' from 'overweight' saying it expects several unquantifiable bumps along the way in the next six months and sees cleaner yet equally compelling value to be had elsewhere in its coverage. The bank said that while the logic behind rebalancin

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15 Aug 2016 07:11

LONDON BRIEFING: William Hill Rejects Another Rank-888 Takeover Bid

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10 Aug 2016 11:00

Broker tips: Cobham, Worldpay, Rolls-Royce

(ShareCast News) - Exane BNP Paribas downgraded Cobham to 'underperform' from 'neutral' and cut the price target to 140p from 143p, highlighting lingering doubts following the company's first-half results last week. The bank said sales and trading profit in H1 were broadly in line with consensus. "

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10 Aug 2016 09:11

Exane downgrades Cobham after H1 results

(ShareCast News) - Exane BNP Paribas downgraded Cobham to 'underperform' from 'neutral' and cut the price target to 140p from 143p, highlighting lingering doubts following the company's first-half results last week. The bank said sales and trading profit in H1 were broadly in line with consensus. "

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10 Aug 2016 08:35

BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: Panmure Raises RSA Insurance To Buy From Hold

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5 Aug 2016 08:31

BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: S&P And Shore Upgrade Aviva After Strong Half

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4 Aug 2016 09:57

UPDATE 1-Cobham seen facing battle to hit full-year targets

* H1 trading profit sinks 36 pct, as expected * Says on track to meet FY expectations * Counting on H2 to deliver 70 pct of annual trading profit * Shares fall as much as 9 pct (Adds CEO comments, analyst comments, share price) By Sarah Young LONDON, Aug 4 (Reuters

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4 Aug 2016 08:36

Cobham slumps as it swings to first-half loss

(ShareCast News) - Shares in Cobham tumbled on Thursday after the FTSE 250 aerospace and defence group said it swung to a loss in the first half and cut its interim dividend. For the six months to the end of June, the company posted a pre-tax loss of £38m from a profit of £4m the year before as reve

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4 Aug 2016 07:40

BUZZ-Cobham: H1 profit drop hurts stock

** Aerospace and defence company Cobham's shares down 7.6 pct, near the bottom of the Stoxx, after saying H1 trading profit fell ** Co says H1 trading profit fell 36 pct to 102 mln stg, reiterates FY outlook ** Worst day for shares since April, when co launched an emergency rights is

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