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Share Price: 503.70
Bid: 503.80
Ask: 503.90
Change: -6.70 (-1.31%)
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Open: 506.40
High: 515.30
Low: 499.60
Prev. Close: 510.40
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Potential oil output deal prompts another worry: a shortage

Wed, 12th Oct 2016 09:47

* Executives warn of lack of investment in new fields

* Volatility to remain even after OPEC deal -Total CEO

* Shale, technology to mitigate impact of supply shortage

By Ron Bousso

ISTANBUL, Oct 12 (Reuters) - While OPEC and other big crudeproducers work towards a deal to cap production to erode a glut,industry executives are concerned the sharp drop in investmentthat followed the oil price crash could lead to another crisis -a supply shortage.

Over $1 trillion worth of oil projects have been cancelledor delayed, Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said on Mondayat the World Energy Congress in Istanbul, after companiesslashed budgets due to oil prices more than halving to around$50 a barrel since mid-2014.

Oil fields take years to develop. In many cases, a decisiontaken in 2016 to develop a field means oil production will startin around 2020.

OPEC, which produces around a third of the world's oil, willhold talks with non-member oil producers on Wednesday to workout details of a global agreement to cap production for at leastsix months. Non-OPEC member Russia, the world's largestproducer, has lent its support.

And as OPEC revives its role as an oil "central banker", French oil and gas company Total Chief ExecutivePatrick Pouyanne urged the industry to start investing again.

"By 2020 we will have a lack of supplies," Pouyanne told theconference.

"Volatility has been huge. The stress on everybody, thebalance sheets of companies and countries is huge," he added.

BP Chief Executive Bob Dudley echoed his concerns.

"As much as a $1 trillion of big projects have beencancelled or deferred around the world and that could catch upwith the world," Dudley said at the same event.

So far this year, eight new oil and gas projects have beenapproved, which will add around 1 million of barrels of oilequivalent when they come on stream, Bernstein analysts said.They are expected to take an average of 38 months to comeonstream, at a combined cost of around $22.1 billion.

The International Energy Agency forecast in its 2016medium-term report that oil demand will outstrip suppliesstarting in 2018.

But Dudley expects supply and demand to be relativelybalanced until the end of the decade due to new fields that arecoming on line in the coming years and the abundance of U.S.shale oil, which can be extracted within a few months.

As a result, he expects oil prices to remain within a bandof $55 to $70 a barrel until the end of the decade, well belowthe $114 a barrel it hit in mid-2014.

"I do see the price of oil setting itself a band. Shale oilin the US will attenuate the price a bit."

But unlike previous supply shortages, new technologicalbreakthroughs that improve field production and reduce downtimewill lead to shorter cycles, said Lorenzo Simonelli, CEO of oilservices company GE Oil & Gas.

"The industry will continue to be volatile. However, it hasalso changed with the advent of shale and technology we aregoing to see smaller cycles of volatility," Simonelli said.

(Reporting by Ron Bousso; editing by Susan Thomas)

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15 Feb 2024 09:17

BP hails arrival of LNG vessel at project off Senegal and Mauritania

(Alliance News) - BP PLC on Thursday celebrated the arrival of a gas vessel offshore west Africa, which it called a "major milestone" for its project there.

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14 Feb 2024 12:01

BP and Adnoc form gas joint venture in Egypt to boost capabilities

(Alliance News) - BP PLC on Wednesday said it will form a joint venture with Abu Dhabi National Oil Co in Egypt, under which BP will contribute its interests in three development concessions.

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14 Feb 2024 10:27

BP and Adnoc agree Egyptian joint venture

(Sharecast News) - BP has agreed a new joint venture in Egypt with long-standing partner Adnoc, it was confirmed on Wednesday.

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11 Feb 2024 09:27

PRESS: BP to book USD700 million windfall on UK tax changes - FT

(Alliance News) - BP PLC is set to book a USD700 million windfall due to UK tax changes aimed at boosting corporate pension fund investment in the economy, the Financial Times reported on Saturday.

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9 Feb 2024 11:44

LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: European markets quiet heading into afternoon

(Alliance News) - European stock markets were quiet heading into Friday afternoon, as investors eye the annual US consumer price index benchmarks revisions.

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8 Feb 2024 16:06

UK dividends calendar - next 7 days

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A full 21-day events calendar is provided each day with a subscription to Alliance News UK Professional.
  
Copyright 2024 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

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6 Feb 2024 17:39

London close: Stocks manage gains as oil prices rise

(Sharecast News) - London's financial markets finished with a positive performance on Tuesday, driven by encouraging data from the UK construction sector and BP's share buyback expansion.

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6 Feb 2024 17:04

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: BP and Prudential help snap FTSE losing streak

(Alliance News) - Stock prices in London pushed higher on Tuesday, with the FTSE 100 registering its first rise in four trading days, with oil major BP the star performer.

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6 Feb 2024 12:10

LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: BP tops FTSE 100 index on buyback promise

(Alliance News) - The FTSE 100 was higher at midday Tuesday, despite lingering unease in equity markets on US interest rate worries, while BP led the way among London's large-caps as it announced a buyback plan.

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6 Feb 2024 09:04

TOP NEWS: BP promises buybacks and hikes dividend despite profit fall

(Alliance News) - BP PLC on Tuesday reaffirmed it is sticking to its commitment to share buybacks despite reporting a profit decline amid a fall in oil prices.

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6 Feb 2024 08:53

LONDON MARKET OPEN: BP jumps after unveiling share buyback

(Alliance News) - The FTSE 100 in London opened higher on Tuesday, with oil major BP at the top of the index, thanks to its new share buyback programme.

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6 Feb 2024 07:47

LONDON BRIEFING: BP promises buyback despite drop in profit

(Alliance News) - Stocks in London are called to open higher, ahead of a slew of construction purchasing managers' index readings from the eurozone, the UK and Germany.

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6 Feb 2024 07:02

BP unveils $1.75bn buyback as 2023 profits halve on weaker oil price

(Sharecast News) - Shares in BP surged on Tuesday as the energy giant announced a $1.75bn share buyback despite a slump in annual profits as oil prices fell during 2023 from the spike caused by Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

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2 Feb 2024 17:12

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: Stocks mixed as US jobs data dashes rate cut hope

(Alliance News) - Stock prices in London closed mixed, after hotter-than-expected US jobs data hit already precarious investor sentiment and all but ensured the Federal Reserve will not be cutting interest rates next month.

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2 Feb 2024 13:14

BP appoints Kate Thomson as its permanent finance chief

(Sharecast News) - BP announced the appointment of Kate Thomson as its new, permanent chief financial officer on Friday, effective immediately.

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