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Potential oil output deal prompts another worry: a shortage

Wed, 12th Oct 2016 09:47

* Executives warn of lack of investment in new fields

* Volatility to remain even after OPEC deal -Total CEO

* Shale, technology to mitigate impact of supply shortage

By Ron Bousso

ISTANBUL, Oct 12 (Reuters) - While OPEC and other big crudeproducers work towards a deal to cap production to erode a glut,industry executives are concerned the sharp drop in investmentthat followed the oil price crash could lead to another crisis -a supply shortage.

Over $1 trillion worth of oil projects have been cancelledor delayed, Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said on Mondayat the World Energy Congress in Istanbul, after companiesslashed budgets due to oil prices more than halving to around$50 a barrel since mid-2014.

Oil fields take years to develop. In many cases, a decisiontaken in 2016 to develop a field means oil production will startin around 2020.

OPEC, which produces around a third of the world's oil, willhold talks with non-member oil producers on Wednesday to workout details of a global agreement to cap production for at leastsix months. Non-OPEC member Russia, the world's largestproducer, has lent its support.

And as OPEC revives its role as an oil "central banker", French oil and gas company Total Chief ExecutivePatrick Pouyanne urged the industry to start investing again.

"By 2020 we will have a lack of supplies," Pouyanne told theconference.

"Volatility has been huge. The stress on everybody, thebalance sheets of companies and countries is huge," he added.

BP Chief Executive Bob Dudley echoed his concerns.

"As much as a $1 trillion of big projects have beencancelled or deferred around the world and that could catch upwith the world," Dudley said at the same event.

So far this year, eight new oil and gas projects have beenapproved, which will add around 1 million of barrels of oilequivalent when they come on stream, Bernstein analysts said.They are expected to take an average of 38 months to comeonstream, at a combined cost of around $22.1 billion.

The International Energy Agency forecast in its 2016medium-term report that oil demand will outstrip suppliesstarting in 2018.

But Dudley expects supply and demand to be relativelybalanced until the end of the decade due to new fields that arecoming on line in the coming years and the abundance of U.S.shale oil, which can be extracted within a few months.

As a result, he expects oil prices to remain within a bandof $55 to $70 a barrel until the end of the decade, well belowthe $114 a barrel it hit in mid-2014.

"I do see the price of oil setting itself a band. Shale oilin the US will attenuate the price a bit."

But unlike previous supply shortages, new technologicalbreakthroughs that improve field production and reduce downtimewill lead to shorter cycles, said Lorenzo Simonelli, CEO of oilservices company GE Oil & Gas.

"The industry will continue to be volatile. However, it hasalso changed with the advent of shale and technology we aregoing to see smaller cycles of volatility," Simonelli said.

(Reporting by Ron Bousso; editing by Susan Thomas)

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LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: Stocks buoyed by local data, strong US equities

(Alliance News) - Stock prices in London were up at midday on Tuesday, boosted by positive local economic data and tracking European equities that were buoyed by strong US stocks performance on Monday.

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Today 10:14

BP profit slides by 40% as refinery outage offsets higher output

First-quarter underlying profit $2.7 bln vs forecast $2.87 bln

*

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Today 09:09

LONDON MARKET OPEN: Stocks track global equities rise while BP falls

(Alliance News) - Stock prices in London opened up on Tuesday, tracking European markets in reaction to New York stocks extending their rally on weaker US jobs data, while markets reopened in London after a bank holiday on Monday.

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Today 08:51

TOP NEWS: BP keeps up pace of share buybacks despite profit decline

(Alliance News) - BP PLC on Tuesday launched a fresh share buyback, despite a drop in first-quarter profit due to lower oil and gas prices and weaker fuels margins.

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Today 07:02

BP in $1.75bn buyback as Q1 profits fall on weaker prices, margins

(Sharecast News) - BP reported a worse-than-expected fall in first-quarter profit on the back of lower oil and gas prices, an outage at a US refinery and "significantly weaker" fuels margins as it also started a $1.75bn share buyback.

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6 May 2024 15:01

Shell to exit South Africa's downstream businesses

CAPE TOWN, May 6 (Reuters) - Oil major Shell will divest its majority shareholding from a local South African downstream unit after a comprehensive review of its businesses across all regions, it said on Monday.

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3 May 2024 13:47

British regulator awards more North Sea oil and gas licences

NSTA awards 31 new licences aimed at boosting output

*

Read more
2 May 2024 12:02

LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: FTSE 100 shines but "mixed feelings" after Fed

(Alliance News) - London's FTSE 100 was solidly higher on Thursday, outperforming European peers, as earnings from the likes of Shell and Standard Chartered impressed.

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1 May 2024 18:30

Sector movers: Oil, Autos drag on FTSE 350

(Sharecast News) - Weakness in the oil patch and among select cyclicals dragged on the FTSE 350 in the middle of the week.

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30 Apr 2024 14:38

UK earnings, trading statements calendar - next 7 days

Wednesday 1 May 
Anexo Group PLCFull Year Results
Cambridge Cognition Holdings PLCFull Year Results
Computacenter PLCTrading Statement
Georgia Capital PLCQ1 Results
GSK PLCQ1 Results
Haleon PLCTrading Statement
HSS Hire Group PLCFull Year Results
Intelligent Ultrasound Group PLCFull Year Results
Maintel Holdings PLCFull Year Results
Next PLCTrading Statement
Smith & Nephew PLCTrading Statement
Thursday 2 May 
Endeavour Mining PLCQ1 Results
First Tin PLCTrading Statement
Hiscox LtdTrading Statement
International Personal Finance PLCTrading Statement
Kerry Group PLCTrading Statement
Lancashire Holdings LtdTrading Statement
Melrose Industries PLCTrading Statement
NAHL Group PLCFull Year Results
Reach PLCTrading Statement
Shell PLCQ1 Results
Smiths News PLCHalf Year Results
Smurfit Kappa Group PLCTrading Statement
Spectris PLCTrading Statement
Standard Chartered PLCQ1 Results
TI Fluid Systems PLCQ1 Results
Friday 3 May 
InterContinental Hotels Group PLCTrading Statement
Mondi PLCTrading Statement
Trainline PLCFull Year Results
Monday 6 May 
no events scheduled 
Tuesday 7 May 
Arecor Therapeutics PLCFull Year Results
BP PLCQ1 Results
Ebiquity PLCFull Year Results
IWG PLCTrading Statement
Kosmos Energy LtdQ1 Results
MaxCyte IncQ1 Results
Trident Royalties PLCTrading Statement
Vaalco Energy IncQ1 Results
  
Comments and questions to newsroom@alliancenews.com
  
A full 21-day events calendar is provided each day with a subscription to Alliance News UK Professional.
  
Copyright 2024 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

Read more
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Norway's wealth fund falls short on climate ambitions, NGO says

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24 Apr 2024 19:30

Trans Mountain oil shippers raise concerns about risk of delay to full service

April 23 (Reuters) - Some shippers on Canada's Trans Mountain expansion project are raising concerns that the long-delayed oil pipeline will not be fully in service by its projected start date of May 1, according to a letter to the Canada Energy Regulator on Tuesday.

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24 Apr 2024 13:24

Pressure on gas and LNG prices to help switch from coal, says J.P. Morgan

LONDON, April 24 (Reuters) - Global natural gas prices will come under pressure through the end of the decade as supply and shipping infrastructure grow rapidly, particularly in Qatar and the U.S., J.P. Morgan said in a report.

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24 Apr 2024 09:58

Aker BP Q1 beats forecast as costs fall, Tyrving to start sooner

OSLO, April 24 (Reuters) - Norwegian independent oil company Aker BP on Wednesday posted higher-than-expected net profit for the first quarter as costs fell, and said its Tyrving field development could start production sooner than previously planned.

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24 Apr 2024 05:38

Aker BP Q1 beats forecast on record output, lower cost

OSLO, April 24 (Reuters) - Norwegian independent oil company Aker BP on Wednesday posted a higher-than-expected net profit for the first quarter as production hit a record while costs fell.

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