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LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: Stocks edge lower as ECB rate decision looms

Thu, 28th Oct 2021 12:24

(Alliance News) - Stock prices in London were slightly lower at midday on Thursday on a big day for company earnings announcements and ahead of a policy announcement by the European Central Bank.

What's more, market participants can look forward to earnings from two trillion-dollar technology companies after the closing bell on Wall Street.

The large-cap FTSE 100 index was down 13.24 points, or 0.2%, at 7,240.36. The mid-cap FTSE 250 index was down 5.25 points at 23,166.79. The AIM All-Share index was down 0.1% at 1,224.45.

The Cboe UK 100 index was down 0.2% at 717.71. The Cboe 250 was down 0.1% at 20,794.41 and the Cboe Small Companies was down 0.3% at 15,423.74.

In mainland Europe, the CAC 40 stock index in Paris was up 0.4%, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt was down 0.1%.

In the FTSE 100, WPP was the best performer, up 6.6%, after the ad agency reported a rise in third-quarter earnings and lifted annual guidance.

For the third quarter to September 30, WPP posted revenue of GBP3.24 billion, up 9.1% from a year before or 15% like-for-like. Revenue less pass-through costs was GBP2.64 billion, up 9.9% or 16% like-for-like.

Looking ahead, WPP raised its full-year 2021 guidance, expecting like-for-like growth in revenue less pass-through costs of 11.5% to 12%, up from 9% to 10% previously guided. In addition, headline operating margin is expected slightly above 14%.

DS Smith was up 2.0% after the packaging firm said its performance in the six months to this coming Sunday remained in line with expectations.

DS Smith pointed to very positive box volume growth, good cost recovery through increasing pricing, and an enhanced performance from its US business which offset significant input cost increases.

Further, DS Smith said corrugated box volume growth was strong throughout the first half with the consumer goods sector accounting for over 80% of volume.

Lloyds Banking Group was up 1.7% as it reported a rise in third-quarter earnings in Charlie Nunn's maiden results report at the helm of one of the UK's largest lenders.

For the third quarter to September 30, net income was up 20% to GBP4.08 billion from GBP3.40 billion last year, and net interest income rose 8.8% to GBP2.85 billion from GBP2.62 million. Lloyds posted pretax profit of GBP2.03 billion, almost doubled from GBP1.04 billion last year, with net interest margin of 2.55%, up from 2.42%.

Looking ahead for 2021 as a whole, Lloyds expects net interest margin to be modestly above 250 basis points and also continues to target a return on tangible equity in excess of its cost of equity in the medium term.

At the other end of the large-caps, Evraz was the worst performer, down 2.2%, after the Russian steelmaker said steel product sales in the third-quarter fell from the prior three-month period.

Evraz said total sales of steel products decreased by 8.2% in the third quarter, mainly due to slowdown of Russian construction products market. It also noted lower sales of railway and semi-finished products due to logistics restrictions on the route and detentions in ports amid inclement weather, though this was partly offset by a better performance by its North America arm.

Royal Dutch Shell 'A' and Shell 'B' shares were down 2.0% and 1.9% respectively after the Anglo-Dutch firm posted third-quarter earnings which missed market forecasts against a backdrop of activist investor pressure.

The oil major, the biggest company in the FTSE 100 by market capitalisation, on Wednesday said it held talks with Third Point, after the activist shareholder went as far as suggesting the oil major should be split up. Reuters, citing a source close to the matter, on Wednesday reported Daniel Loeb's Third Point has built a stake worth nearly USD750 million in Shell.

For the three months to September 30, Shell posted adjusted earnings of USD4.1 billion, down from USD5.5 billion in the second quarter, but surging from USD955 million in the third quarter last year. The latest figure widely missed the company-compiled consensus estimate of USD5.3 billion.

Peer BP was down 1.3% in a negative read-across and as spot oil prices sank. Brent oil was quoted a USD83.81 a barrel Thursday at midday, down sharply from USD85.32 late Wednesday.

In the FTSE 250, Synthomer was up 4.5% after the speciality chemicals company agreed to buy the adhesive resins business of Eastman Chemical Co for USD1 billion in cash.

To help pay for it, Synthomer set out plans to raise GBP200 million from a share placing, with 21% shareholder Kuala Lumpur Kepong pledging to take part in line with its existing holding. The placing will be priced in a bookbuild run by Barclays and Numis.

The remainder of the price tag will be met from a new USD300 million debt facility and existing cash. Synthomer said the acquisition is expected to deliver double-digit earnings per share accretion in the first year.

The dollar was lower across the board. The pound was quoted at USD1.3752 at midday on Thursday, up from USD1.3726 at the London equities close Wednesday.

The euro was priced at USD1.1601, up from USD1.1592 ahead of the ECB rate decision. The central bank is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged.

The ECB Governing Council meets in Frankfurt, announcing its latest policy decision at 1245 BST on Thursday. This will be followed by a press conference with President Christine Lagarde at 1330 BST.

"The European Central Bank will update the market later today and investors will be looking for any shift in thinking with regards to inflationary pressures. Slowing economic growth and a rising cost of living are big concerns to the market, but the message from central banks in general has been that the current spike in inflation will be short-lived," said AJ Bell's Russ Mould.

Against the Japanese yen, the dollar was trading at JPY113.60 in London, down from JPY113.80 late Wednesday.

The Bank of Japan on Thursday announced its decision by an 8-1 majority vote to keep its key interest rate at negative 0.1%.

In addition, the central bank said that it would keep its loose monetary policy unchanged, choosing to continue expanding the monetary base until the annual rate of increase in the consumer price index exceeds 2% and remains above the target "in a stable manner".

The BoJ noted that the pandemic has continued to weigh on Japan's economy, to the point that it has lowered its growth forecast for the year ending March 2022 to 3.4% growth, compared to the previous guidance of 3.8%.

However, reflecting a more positive longer-term outlook, the BoJ lifted its growth forecast for the year to March 2023 to 2.9% from a prior estimate of 2.7%.

Gold stood at USD1,798.22 an ounce at midday, higher against USD1,792.13 late Wednesday.

US stock market futures were pointed to a higher start on Thursday as investors brace for more earnings reports, this time from Apple and Amazon after the New York market close.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was called up 0.3%, the S&P 500 up 0.2% and Nasdaq Composite up 0.4%.

Apple shares were up 0.4% in pre-market trade. Investors anticipate fourth-quarter strong sales numbers from the Tim Cook-led firm as demand for the iPhone, ‌iPad‌, and Mac goes from strength to strength.

Investors will also be looking to see how well the new iPhone 13 is being received, following its high-profile release last month.

Amazon shares were up 0.5% in pre-market trade ahead of its third-quarter results, with market participants on the lookout to see how the e-commerce retailer's sales have held up as the Covid-19 pandemic subsides.

Investors also will scrutinize the revenue generated by Amazon Web Services, the company's high-margin cloud computing business, as the Seattle-based firm searches for additional growth avenues.

"I expect both Apple and Amazon to deliver crowd-pleaser results today, but if Wall Street can't rally on that, it may be time to batten down the hatches ahead of the FOMC next week," commented Oanda Markets analyst Jeffery Halley.

The US central bank's policy-making Federal Open Market Committee announces its decisions on monetary policy at 1400 EDT on Wednesday next week.

Thursday's economic calendar has German inflation prints at 1300 BST, while US gross domestic product and the latest initial jobless claims numbers are at 1330 BST.

By Arvind Bhunjun; arvindbhunjun@alliancenews.com

Copyright 2021 Alliance News Limited. All Rights Reserved.

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