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Pin to quick picksBarclays Share News (BARC)

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Banks' first-quarter trading revenue prompts cautious optimism

Tue, 21st Apr 2015 15:59

* Profit boosted by financial market volatility

* Investment banking earnings cycle at a turning point-analysts

* Global M&A deals topped $1 trillion by April 8

By Anjuli Davies and Jamie McGeever

LONDON, April 21 (Reuters) - Trading revenue from theworld's biggest banks showed signs of recovery in the firstquarter as financial market volatility boosted dealing roomprofits after years of attrition.

Though income has been only modestly higher than the sameperiod last year, the numbers have prompted cautious optimismfrom analysts holding out hope for a return to trading returnslast seen before the 2007/08 financial crisis.

Earnings so far from the five leading U.S. banks and CreditSuisse in Europe show that revenue from fixed income,currencies and commodities (FICC) almost doubled from theprevious quarter to $17.1 billion.

Quarter-on-quarter improvement was to be expected, giventhat the first three months of the year are typically thestrongest for investment banks as cash is put to work. However,analysts have been encouraged by FICC numbers that were flatyear on year. FICC accounts for about half investment banks'revenues.

Total revenue at the U.S. quintet and Credit Suisse fromFICC, equities and investment banking fees was $34.98 billion,up a modest 5.9 percent from the same period last year,according to Christopher Wheeler, U.S. banks analyst at AtlanticEquities.

"FICC is showing some signs of life but that is becauserates are back, commodities are back and there's been morevolatility surrounding events like the Swiss franc cap. This ispositive given the dull FICC markets in recent years," Wheelersaid.

The first quarter has been notable for the Swiss NationalBank's removal of its cap on the Swiss franc, the EuropeanCentral Bank's trillion-euro bond-buying quantitative easing(QE) programme, speculation over U.S. interest rates and arollercoaster ride for oil prices.

VOLATILITY BOOST

This has created the type of price fluctuation and marketvolatility that traders thrive on, offsetting the seeminglyperennial downward pressures on trading revenue from tighterregulation, dwindling liquidity and increased automation infinancial market trading.

FICC revenue at the top 10 global banks has risen year onyear only once since 2009 and is down about 50 percent overallsince then, data from industry analytics firm Coalition shows.

In that light, this year's first-quarter stagnation has beengreeted by some as a welcome development.

"With higher volatility and continued support from euro zoneQE, we believe that the investment banking earnings cycle is ata turning point," Citi analysts wrote in a note on Tuesday.

The big winners have been Morgan Stanley and GoldmanSachs, with revenue up 15 percent and 10 percentrespectively year on year, while Citi registered a fall of11 percent, Atlantic Equities analyst Wheeler said.

Credit Suisse, the first big European bank to reportfirst-quarter results on Tuesday, posted FICC revenue up 8percent year on year. Barclays, HSBC and UBS will all report by May 6.

Revenue from other banking activities also showed signs oflife. Equities income was up 23 percent while advisory andcapital markets revenue gained 11 percent, a Reuters analysis ofresults at the big five U.S. banks shows.

Global M&A deals this year had topped $1 trillion by April8, the earliest the threshold has been reached since 2007,according to financial data provider Dealogic.

"Low rates have translated into a surge in mergers and anincrease in currency trading, both big money makers forinvestment banks," BlackRock's Global Chief InvestmentStrategist Russ Koesterich said.

"We see the favourable environment for this sectorcontinuing and would remain overweight in large, globalfinancial firms." (Editing by David Goodman)

More News
13 Feb 2024 14:34

UK earnings, trading statements calendar - next 7 days

Wednesday 14 February 
Coca-Cola HBC AGFull Year Results
Dunelm PLCHalf Year Results
Pan African Resources PLCHalf Year Results
Severn Trent PLCTrading Statement
United Utilities Group PLCTrading Statement
Thursday 15 February 
Benchmark Holdings PLCQ1 Results
Centrica PLCFull Year Results
MJ Gleeson PLCHalf Year Results
Relx PLCFull Year Results
South32 LtdHalf Year Results
Friday 16 February 
NatWest Group PLCFull Year Results
Segro PLCFull Year Results
TBC Bank Group PLCFull Year Results
Monday 19 February 
Bank of Cyprus Holdings PLCFull Year Results
MoneySupermarket.com PLCFull Year Results
Transense Technologies PLCHalf Year Results
Wilmington PLCHalf Year Results
Tuesday 20 February 
Barclays PLCFull Year Results
BHP Group LtdHalf Year Results
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLCFull Year Results
Gran Tierra Energy IncFull Year Results
InterContinental Hotels Group PLCFull Year Results
Petra Diamonds LtdHalf Year Results
Springfield Properties PLCHalf Year Results
  
Comments and questions to newsroom@alliancenews.com
  
A full 21-day events calendar is provided each day with a subscription to Alliance News UK Professional.
  
Copyright 2024 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

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9 Feb 2024 17:02

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: FTSE 100 falls at end of tepid week

(Alliance News) - Stock prices in London closed lower on Friday, with the FTSE 100's losing streak extending to three days, as sentiment in Europe remains tetchy despite a largely stellar start to the day in New York.

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9 Feb 2024 15:15

London close: Stocks turn sour in afternoon trading

(Sharecast News) - London's markets turned lower on Friday afternoon, concluding a volatile week on a negative note.

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9 Feb 2024 12:46

Barclays pledges to stop directly financing new oil and gas projects

(Alliance News) - Barclays PLC has promised to stop directly financing energy clients' new oil and gas projects as part of updates to its climate change strategy.

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9 Feb 2024 11:44

LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: European markets quiet heading into afternoon

(Alliance News) - European stock markets were quiet heading into Friday afternoon, as investors eye the annual US consumer price index benchmarks revisions.

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9 Feb 2024 08:49

LONDON MARKET OPEN: Tesco bank sold to Barclays for GBP600 million

(Alliance News) - Stock prices in London lacked direction on Friday, after Barclays announced plans to buy the retail banking business of Tesco Bank.

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9 Feb 2024 08:11

Barclays adds scale, income and profits with Tesco Bank deal, says Shore Capital

(Sharecast News) - Shore Capital has reiterated a 'buy' recommendation on Barclays after its deal to takeover Tesco Personal Finance for £600m, saying that the stock should double from current levels.

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9 Feb 2024 07:59

TOP NEWS: Barclays buys Tesco Bank as supermarkets refocus on food

(Alliance News) - Barclays PLC and Tesco PLC on Friday announced an agreement for Barclays to buy the retail banking business of Tesco Bank, as the big UK supermarkets scale back their forays into financial services.

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9 Feb 2024 07:51

LONDON BRIEFING: Barclays buys Tesco's retail banking business

(Alliance News) - Stocks in London are called to open higher on Friday, closing off a busy corporate week.

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9 Feb 2024 07:03

Tesco sells banking unit to Barclays for £600m

(Sharecast News) - UK supermarket giant Tesco has sold its most of its retail banking business to Barclays for £600m, the two companies said on Friday.

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4 Feb 2024 11:12

Sunday newspaper round-up: Asda, Barclays, McLaren

(Sharecast News) - Zuber Issa, one of the two billionaire brothers at the helm of Asda, has been sounding out potential buyers for his 22.5% stake in the grocer. Instead, Zuber wishes to focus on EG Group, their petrol station empire. Meanwhile, Asda's next phase may include a bid for Boots. According to City sources, it was also possible that Zuber might use the funds raised through a sale to fund the purchase of his brother's stake in EG Group. - The Sunday Telegraph

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26 Jan 2024 17:39

Texas bans Barclays from local govt debt business over ESG concerns

NEW YORK, Jan 26 (Reuters) - Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton on Friday said Barclays bank would not be permitted to underwrite municipal bonds after failing to respond to questions from state authorities about its pledges to cut greenhouse gas emissions.

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26 Jan 2024 17:08

Texas bans Barclays from local debt business over ESG concerns

NEW YORK, Jan 26 (Reuters) - Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton said on Friday that Barclays bank would not be permitted to underwrite municipal bonds after failing to respond to questions from state authorities about its carbon emissions reduction commitments.

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25 Jan 2024 10:36

BoE says 'ring fencing' capital rules for retail banks need no big overhaul

LONDON, Jan 25 (Reuters) - The Bank of England said on Thursday that its rules requiring banks to "ring fence" their retail arms with bespoke buffers of capital have worked satisfactorily with no major overhaul needed.

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25 Jan 2024 10:05

Bank of England says 'ring fencing' capital rules for retail banks need no major overhaul

LONDON, Jan 25 (Reuters) - The Bank of England said on Thursday that its rules requiring banks to "ring fence" their retail arms with bespoke buffers of capital have worked "satisfactorily" with no major overhaul needed.

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