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Pin to quick picksBarclays Share News (BARC)

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Banks' first-quarter trading revenue prompts cautious optimism

Tue, 21st Apr 2015 15:59

* Profit boosted by financial market volatility

* Investment banking earnings cycle at a turning point-analysts

* Global M&A deals topped $1 trillion by April 8

By Anjuli Davies and Jamie McGeever

LONDON, April 21 (Reuters) - Trading revenue from theworld's biggest banks showed signs of recovery in the firstquarter as financial market volatility boosted dealing roomprofits after years of attrition.

Though income has been only modestly higher than the sameperiod last year, the numbers have prompted cautious optimismfrom analysts holding out hope for a return to trading returnslast seen before the 2007/08 financial crisis.

Earnings so far from the five leading U.S. banks and CreditSuisse in Europe show that revenue from fixed income,currencies and commodities (FICC) almost doubled from theprevious quarter to $17.1 billion.

Quarter-on-quarter improvement was to be expected, giventhat the first three months of the year are typically thestrongest for investment banks as cash is put to work. However,analysts have been encouraged by FICC numbers that were flatyear on year. FICC accounts for about half investment banks'revenues.

Total revenue at the U.S. quintet and Credit Suisse fromFICC, equities and investment banking fees was $34.98 billion,up a modest 5.9 percent from the same period last year,according to Christopher Wheeler, U.S. banks analyst at AtlanticEquities.

"FICC is showing some signs of life but that is becauserates are back, commodities are back and there's been morevolatility surrounding events like the Swiss franc cap. This ispositive given the dull FICC markets in recent years," Wheelersaid.

The first quarter has been notable for the Swiss NationalBank's removal of its cap on the Swiss franc, the EuropeanCentral Bank's trillion-euro bond-buying quantitative easing(QE) programme, speculation over U.S. interest rates and arollercoaster ride for oil prices.

VOLATILITY BOOST

This has created the type of price fluctuation and marketvolatility that traders thrive on, offsetting the seeminglyperennial downward pressures on trading revenue from tighterregulation, dwindling liquidity and increased automation infinancial market trading.

FICC revenue at the top 10 global banks has risen year onyear only once since 2009 and is down about 50 percent overallsince then, data from industry analytics firm Coalition shows.

In that light, this year's first-quarter stagnation has beengreeted by some as a welcome development.

"With higher volatility and continued support from euro zoneQE, we believe that the investment banking earnings cycle is ata turning point," Citi analysts wrote in a note on Tuesday.

The big winners have been Morgan Stanley and GoldmanSachs, with revenue up 15 percent and 10 percentrespectively year on year, while Citi registered a fall of11 percent, Atlantic Equities analyst Wheeler said.

Credit Suisse, the first big European bank to reportfirst-quarter results on Tuesday, posted FICC revenue up 8percent year on year. Barclays, HSBC and UBS will all report by May 6.

Revenue from other banking activities also showed signs oflife. Equities income was up 23 percent while advisory andcapital markets revenue gained 11 percent, a Reuters analysis ofresults at the big five U.S. banks shows.

Global M&A deals this year had topped $1 trillion by April8, the earliest the threshold has been reached since 2007,according to financial data provider Dealogic.

"Low rates have translated into a surge in mergers and anincrease in currency trading, both big money makers forinvestment banks," BlackRock's Global Chief InvestmentStrategist Russ Koesterich said.

"We see the favourable environment for this sectorcontinuing and would remain overweight in large, globalfinancial firms." (Editing by David Goodman)

More News
4 May 2024 08:37

Norway wealth fund to back Barclays CEO, chair at AGM

OSLO, May 4 (Reuters) - Norway's $1.6 trillion sovereign wealth fund, one of the world's largest investors, supports the reappointment of Barclays CEO C.S. Venkatakrishnan and Chair Nigel Higgins to the British bank's board, the fund manager said on Saturday.

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3 May 2024 17:04

Ex-Odey portfolio manager Hanbury warns investors are 'buying blind'

LONDON, May 3 (Reuters) - Former Odey Asset Management (OAM) portfolio manager James Hanbury has said in a letter to investors that passive and systematic trading strategies have grown so much that those trading on company fundamentals might be hurt.

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2 May 2024 13:48

UK shareholder meetings calendar - next 7 days

Friday 3 May 
Ashoka India Equity Investment Trust PLCGM re share issue
HSBC Holdings PLCAGM
Intercontinental Hotels Group PLCAGM
Mondi PLCAGM
More Acquisitions PLCAGM
Monday 6 May 
no events scheduled 
Tuesday 7 May 
Caledonia Mining Corp PLCAGM
CPPGroup PLCAGM
Just Group PLCAGM
Macfarlane Group PLC AGM
Plus500 LtdAGM
Supernova Digital Assets PLCAGM
Wednesday 8 May 
Airea PLCAGM
Antofagasta PLCAGM
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings PLCAGM
Deltex Medical Group PLCAGM
Direct Line Insurance Group PLCAGM
Fidelity European Trust PLCAGM
Haleon PLCAGM
Jardine Matheson PLCAGM
JZ Capital Partners LtdEGM re investing in a secondary fund
Oscillate PLCAGM
Pershing Square Holdings LtdAGM
Rentokil Initial PLCAGM
WPP PLCAGM
Thursday 9 May 
Ascential PLCAGM
BAE Systems PLCAGM
Balfour Beatty PLCAGM
Barclays PLCAGM
CAB Payments Holdings PLCAGM
Catenai PLCGM re convertible loan note
Clarkson PLCAGM
FBD Holdings PLCAGM
Genel Energy plcAGM
Gym Group PLCAGM
Harbour Energy PLCAGM
Hiscox LtdAGM
IMI PLCAGM
Inchcape PLCAGM
Indivior PLCAGM
John Wood Group PLCAGM
Jupiter Fund Management PLCAGM
Logistics Development Group PLCAGM
Man Group PLCAGM
Morgan Advanced Materials PLCAGM
OSB Group PLCAGM
Public Policy Holding Co IncAGM
Rathbones Group PLCAGM
RM PLCAGM
Spire Healthcare Group PLCAGM
Synthomer PLCAGM
Uniphar PLCAGM
  
Comments and questions to newsroom@alliancenews.com
  
A full 21-day events calendar is provided each day with a subscription to Alliance News UK Professional.
  
Copyright 2024 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

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1 May 2024 14:50

Barclays to cut jobs in investment banking - reports

(Sharecast News) - Barclays has reportedly kicked off a fresh round of redundancies, cutting "a few hundred roles" at its investment bank as it looks to tackle underperformers and reinvest in new talent.

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30 Apr 2024 20:30

GM in talks with Barclays to replace Goldman Sachs in credit card partnership -source

NEW YORK April 29 (Reuters) -

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29 Apr 2024 10:02

LONDON BROKER RATINGS: Deutsche Bank likes Frasers; Barclays cuts JD

(Alliance News) - The following London-listed shares received analyst recommendations Monday morning and Friday:

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26 Apr 2024 16:35

London close: Stocks buoyed by banking, mining positivity

(Sharecast News) - London's equity markets closed positively on Friday, buoyed by gains in the banking sector following better-than-expected results from NatWest.

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26 Apr 2024 16:19

European bank stocks at highest since 2015 after earnings boost

STOXX Europe 600 banks index highest since Oct. 2015

*

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26 Apr 2024 09:45

NatWest profit falls less than feared ahead of state escape

First-quarter profit down 27% in competitive market

*

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26 Apr 2024 09:33

LONDON BROKER RATINGS: Peel Hunt cuts ConvaTec to 'reduce'

(Alliance News) - The following London-listed shares received analyst recommendations Friday morning:

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25 Apr 2024 16:57

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: FTSE 100 shakes off red-hot US inflation gauge

(Alliance News) - London's FTSE 100 outperformed on Thursday, enjoying a solid rise on largely well-received corporate earnings and a share price jump for miner Anglo American after it received a takeover bid from peer BHP.

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25 Apr 2024 15:14

London close: Stocks finish mixed as US GDP growth slows

(Sharecast News) - London's stock markets finished with a mixed performance on Thursday, as investors digested a slower-than-expected GDP growth reading from the United States, while a slew of well-received earnings underpinned the top-flight index.

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25 Apr 2024 11:00

Where are Wall Street's analyst notes on Trump's Truth Social?

NEW YORK, April 25 (Reuters) - Trump Media & Technology Group is one of the most actively traded U.S. stocks, yet Wall Street's equity analysts are staying clear.

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25 Apr 2024 09:19

Barclays Q1 profit falls 12% as trading slump hits

Q1 profit of 2.3 bln pounds, just above forecasts

*

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25 Apr 2024 08:36

TOP NEWS: Barclays first quarter profit falls but beats expectations

(Alliance News) - Barclays PLC on Thursday reported a fall in first quarter profits as a weak investment banking performance hindered performance.

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