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Broker tips: Direct Line, Dunelm, Aggreko

Mon, 11th Apr 2016 11:45

(ShareCast News) - Barclays downgraded Direct Line Insurance to 'equalweight' from 'overweight' and cut the price target to 369p from 443p as it took a look at UK motor insurers.The bank noted Direct Line has been one of the best performing insurance stocks since its IPO in 2012, more than doubling from its 170p IPO price and returning two-thirds of the price as dividends."However, we believe the stock is now fairly valued as we lower our estimates for the loss of its Nationwide and Sainsbury's contracts."The bank said it expects more special dividend from Solvency 2 in 2016, but thereafter, it estimates dividends will be around 80% payout of earnings, offering a yield of approximately 6%."Although we believe Direct Line will benefit from the pricing cycle, we believe Direct Line is most at risk from reduced reserve releases."Overall, Barclays said it was positive on the UK motor market, as it reckons this is the first major property and casualty market to inflect and harden."We believe DLG as the largest player in the market is poised to benefit," it said. Canaccord Genuity kept Dunelm at a 'hold' rating but raised its target price to 950p from 910p, saying it has "long traded at a significant premium to the wider sector".The home furnishing retailer on 7 April reported third quarter revenue growth of 5.9%. Total like-for-like (LFL) growth, combining LFL stores and home delivery, increased by 1.1%.The company pointed out that, due to the 53rd week included in its last financial year, the period included six days fewer winter sale days year-on-year, reducing like-for-like growth by 4.9% or £1m in the third quarter, though that was partially offset by the earlier Easter contributing 1% towards performance.Adjusting for the calendar impacts, underlying like-for-like performance was "a very pleasing" 5% for the 13 weeks to 2 April, the broker said."The 28% increase in Home Delivery remains an important contributor to total LFL sales growth, but our estimate of underlying 3% Store only LFL sales growth shows that the focus on this specific area, re-initiated by (founder) Will Adderley, continues to bear fruit," said Canaccord analyst David Jeary."The 90 basis points (bps) gross margin improvement in the third quarter was also stronger than we had expected, even though our full-year assumption of a 50bps gross margin improvement is in line with the guidance given by management in the Q3 update."Canaccord raised its full year 2016 forecasts by £1.5m (+1.2%) to £128.5m. Jeary said the change to profit estimates broadly reflects a £4m increase in the sales forecast."Given its characteristics as an organic growth stock, along with relentlessly strong cash generation and special distributions, Dunelm has long traded at a significant premium to the wider sector," he said."This premium has been as high as 40% over extended periods, but in recent times has more typically been trading around a +/- 20% premium. On the basis of the delivered LFL performance in Q3 and our small upgrades, we have increased the premium we apply to the wider sector from 15% to 25%. This drives a new target price of 950p (from 910p)."Canaccord retained its hold rating due to the sector de-rating over the past quarter. Temporary power provider Aggreko was under the cosh after UBS downgraded the stock to 'sell' from 'neutral' and slashed the price target to 800p from 1,050p."Weak markets have undoubtedly been a headwind for Aggreko for the past 3 years, but we now believe that Aggreko's problems are structural too," the bank said.As the power rental market has matured, Aggreko's competitive advantage has been eroded, UBS said.As a result, it expects pricing to come under increasing pressure, eating through cost savings and further compressing return on invested capital."A new product line is likely necessary to reinvent Aggreko, but we wouldn't expect to see a material benefit until 2020+m," it said, adding that it expects to see continued earnings risk and for the valuation to remain constrained.UBS said Aggreko urgently needs to launch a new product before it can hope to rebuild a unique competitive advantage and hit targets for return on capital employed.
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6 Mar 2019 08:35

Aggreko Holds 2018 Payout As Profit, Revenue Rise Ahead Of Guidance

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27 Feb 2019 16:05

UK Earnings, Trading Statements Calendar - Next 7 Days

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13 Feb 2019 10:37

Serco Boss Rupert Soames Joins Board Of DS Smith As Non-Exec Director

LONDON (Alliance News) - Packaging firm DS Smith PLC on Wednesday announced the appointment of Serco Group PLC Chief Executive Rupert Soames as non-executive director.Soames has previously

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7 Feb 2019 14:52

Liontrust Investment Partners Acquires 5.2% Interest In Aggreko (ALLISS)

LONDON (Alliance News) - Aggreko PLC on Thursday said Liontrust Investment Partners LLP has picked up a 5.2% stake in the temporary power unit renter in a deal on Tuesday.Shares in Aggreko

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22 Jan 2019 13:35

Aggreko runs out of power after Peel Hunt downgrade

(Sharecast News) - Aggreko ran out of power on Tuesday after Peel Hunt downgraded its stance on the stock to 'reduce' from 'hold' and cut the price target to 700p from 800p as it argued that challenges remain "significant".

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22 Jan 2019 10:27

WINNERS & LOSERS SUMMARY: easyJet Climbs On First-Quarter Revenue Rise

LONDON (Alliance News) - The following stocks are the leading risers and fallers within the main London indices on Tuesday.----------FTSE 100 - up 4.5%. The low-cost airline reaffirmed for

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22 Jan 2019 09:02

LONDON MARKET OPEN: Stocks Lower After IMF Warning; BHP Drags Miners

LONDON (Alliance News) - Stock in London were lower in early trade Tuesday following a downbeat global economic outlook by the IMF on Monday, highlighting US-China trade tensions and the risk of a

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14 Dec 2018 07:24

Aggreko secures Tokyo Olympics contract

(Sharecast News) - Aggreko said on Friday that its subsidiary, Aggreko Events Services Japan Limited (AESJL), has been awarded the supply contract for temporary electricity generation by The Tokyo Organising Committee for the Olympic and Paralympic Games.

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6 Nov 2018 15:59

UK Earnings, Trading Statements Calendar - Next 7 Days

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16 Oct 2018 10:50

WINNERS & LOSERS SUMMARY: Meggitt Up 5% After Raising Revenue Forecast

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9 Oct 2018 12:18

Ashtead Group Appoints Serco CFO As Non-Executive Director

LONDON (Alliance News) - Industrial equipment rental firm Ashtead Group PLC said Tuesday it appointed Angus Cockburn as a non-executive director with immediate effect.Cockburn serves as of

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13 Sep 2018 13:19

Thursday broker round-up

(Sharecast News) - Grainger: Numis upgrades to buy with a target price of 369p.

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21 Aug 2018 16:56

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: Pound, BHP Keep FTSE From Joining European Peers

LONDON (Alliance News) - The FTSE 100 on Tuesday lagged its European counterparts, the foreign earner-heavy index weighed down by a weaker dollar as well as losses for miner BHP on the of its

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21 Aug 2018 13:18

Tuesday broker round-up

(Sharecast News) - Aggreko: HSBC upgrades to buy with a target price of 1,050p.

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21 Aug 2018 12:06

HSBC says Aggreko woes are cyclical as it upgrades to 'buy'

(Sharecast News) - Most of Aggreko's problems are cyclical rather than strategic, HSBC said as it upgraded the generator hire company to 'buy'.

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