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what a great week for all VODders.
Well done to Soton with Dan just missing out.
anyone seen Mikey this week - very quiet - thanks to the solid SP move.
No doubt Mikey will be back on Wednesday as the ex-div brings the ski-slope back int play.
My guess for the week ahead is 125.1p
Thanks to Rob for running the comp
GLA - C
Forgot it was a Wednesday close and also exdiv, please change your figures if you want guys, will pick them all up sunday evening
Cheers
Dan always the optimist me you should know that by now.....Hopefully will push on from here fingers crossed
I'm going for 128.5p next Friday (or Wednesday close that is!)
Wow,Even the mole is sounding less negative. You do realise the price will fall by about 3.83p before next Friday because of the divi? I will go 1.28, so = to about 1.32. pre ex divi. Soton your prediction for next week is higher than this week taking into account the divi.
125p for me.
Hey guys think we all won this week.....thanks for the congrats....next week will be different story me thinks so has the winner this week i must have first pop so going for a 126.3 GLA
Well done soton, great win
Your welcome Dan, soton just pipped you this week, and we thought you was being very Bullish
A better finish than anyone predicted guys, another push upwards next week perhaps, then Dan can do his partial sell off and buy us all a drink
Thanks Rob & well done soton, I let you win of course?
Fredrubble, better luck for next week mate
A big congratulations to sotonspike, for winning this weeks Vodafone top investor award
well done Sir
Prediction Guesses for 27/05/22
Friday close predictions
robleo 1.24
daniel 1.29
FredRubble 123.45
mole_man99 1.15
sotonspike 129.5
cheapsharesboy 126.2
Scratch49 1.25
WM2020 1.22
NewSid 126.6
close price 130.14
@compound - great post, wise words.
Your mate Starmer would not be happy if you did not play by the rules!!! Must have a chance.
Robina - financial metrics aren't a complete train wreck but they aren't a screaming buy at this price. Current PE ratio is around x14, dividend yield of around 5.7% with a dividend cover of 1.22, debt slightly up, with flat dividend and EPS for this year with FCF doing down slightly.
VOD have a stable income steam, but are facing cost pressures in the same way every company are, and a lot of companies are now starting to report gross revenues increasing which are in line or above targets, but are missing profit targets due to due increased costs, and VOD warned of the same thing in their results.
Fleccy and others have all posted about the potential of IoT etc in the long term, and they may very well be right, but if you're looking for long term potential have a hunt around and do some research as there are lots of other big companies who supply the hardware needed to support that change who will arguably benefit more and have lower PE ratios and better balance sheets, although dividend yields are lower and they have different risks. That's why it's good to be diversified.
The director buy was certainly a great vote of confidence in the long term by someone in the know, although look at the price she paid. If you've got a director buying, then it also means that at that point there was no other information that wasn't in the public domain - ie no imminent M&A activity, other than a possible merger with Three which we already know about and so is probably baked into the current SP.
In the short term the SP hit the top of the short term trading range at 132 and is struggling to get beyond that, and the bottom of that range is around 116. The top of the longer term trading range is around 142, so maybe this morning is just a slight retrace, it will bounce off 130 and go looking for 142 before ex div day next week. As I said a few days ago though, the risk of a retrace increases when you get to key levels like the 132 mark.
Accept that whatever you do you will never get it right all the time. The odds are stacked against you in picking the bottom to buy and the top to sell as you can only ever do that with hindsight.
If you are looking to buy or sell, then you need to look at probabilities and risk/return and use them to give you a slight edge. If you want to take advantage of that statistical edge, then you need to be active and consistent to allow that edge to play out. Avoid binary decisions like buy all, sell all, invest too much in one share, because that significantly increases risk. If you do sell, then you also need to be prepared to walk away if the SP shoots up afterwards. To do that though you need to maintain a watchlist of a variety of different shares/instruments in different sectors that have a low or negative correlation so you can find other opportunities to put the money to work elsewhere rather than jumping back in at a higher price or sitting in cash forever.
No chance fred, one boris is enough lol
With reference to rule 8c of the cometition i would like to change this weeks prediction to 130.45.
You can always tell when they have a good day, nobody posts on here. Says it all. Smile, your face might not crack? Oh yes you should?
Oh no I shouldn't.
Robina. You should be in Panto. Oh no we're down again. Oh no we're not.
A good sign surely. Plenty of rich Arabs & they want to get richer.
Oh no we're down again.
Seriously though, despite it appearing manipulated to hell, the financial metrics appear quite positive for vodafone e.g. EPS and profit per share up. Cash in hand at the bank is up. Can't get a handle on the debt situation though, that is I don't understand it.
The normal conundrum at the mo is whether to sell before ex-Div.
Thank you Robina for your cheerful post, what makes you so happy today then? Did you sell vod? If not, Why not?
Thanks fleccy. I just thought walked up was the wrong expression to use for manipulating prices? Do you think the price has been manipulated (or walked up) ? Perhaps they should walk it up to £2? as per your previous post? Sorry but some on here just talk in meaningless terms sometimes. Not you of course? so keep it coming please.