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Asset Manager Report

3 Jul 2012 16:00

RNS Number : 8269G
Doric Nimrod Air One Limited
03 July 2012
 



THIS ANNOUNCEMENT AND THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS NOT FOR PUBLICATION, RELEASE, OR DISTRIBUTION, DIRECTLY OR INDIRECTLY, IN, OR INTO, THE UNITED STATES, AUSTRALIA, CANADA, JAPAN OR ANY JURISDICTION IN WHICH THE SAME WOULD BE UNLAWFUL. THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER OF SECURITIES FOR SALE IN THE UNITED STATES, AUSTRALIA, CANADA, JAPAN OR ANY JURISDICTION IN WHICH SUCH AN OFFER OR SOLICITATION IS UNLAWFUL.

DORIC NIMROD AIR ONE LIMITED

Announcement of Asset Manager's Report

3 July 2012

 

Doric Nimrod Air One Limited (the "Company"), a Guernsey-domiciled company, is pleased to present the quarterly Fact Sheet in respect of the period from 1 April 2012 to 30 June 2012.

 

Doric Asset Finance & Verwaltungs GmbH, the Company's Asset Manager, has provided the Company with this commentary on the Company's airplane and a copy of their report is appended below for the benefit of shareholders.

 

*****

 

On the invitation of the directors of the Company, the following commentary has been provided by Doric Asset Finance & Verwaltungs GmbHas Asset Manager of the Company and is provided without any warranty as to its accuracy and without any liability incurred on the part of the Company, its directors and officers and service providers. The commentary is not intended to constitute, and should not be construed as, investment advice. Potential investors in the Company should seek their own independent financial advice and may not rely on this communication in evaluating the merits of an investment in the Company. The commentary is provided as a source of information for shareholders of the Company but is not attributable to the Company.

 

QUARTERLY FACT SHEET

 

DORIC NIMROD AIR ONE LIMITED

LSE: DNA

CISX: DNA

 

The Company

 

Doric Nimrod Air One Limited ("the Company") is a Guernsey domiciled company which listed on the Specialist Fund Market of the London Stock Exchange and the Channel Islands Stock Exchange on 13th December 2010. The Company has purchased one Airbus A380-861 aircraft, manufacturer's serial number (MSN) 016, which it has leased to Emirates Airlines, the national carrier owned by the Investment Corporation of Dubai, based in Dubai, United Arab Emirates.

 

Investment Strategy

 

The Company's investment objective is to obtain income returns and a capital return for its Shareholders by acquiring, leasing and then selling a single aircraft. The Company will receive income from the lease and its directors intend to target a gross distribution to shareholders of 2.25 pence per share per quarter (9p per annum).

 

 

 

 

 

1. The Doric Nimrod Air One Airbus A380

 

The Airbus A380 with manufacturer's serial number (MSN) 016 is registered in the United Arab Emirates under the registration mark A6-EDC. For the period from original delivery of the aircraft to Emirates in November 2008 until the end of May 2012, a total of 1,891 flight cycles were registered. Total flight hours were 15,513. This is equal to an average flight duration of approximately eight hours.

 

Amongst its 169 aircraft in operation as of March 2012, Emirates has a fleet of 21 A380s which currently serve 16 destinations worldwide: Auckland, Bangkok, Beijing, Hong Kong, Jeddah, Kuala Lumpur, London Heathrow, Manchester, Munich, New York JFK, Paris, Rome, Seoul, Shanghai, Sydney and Toronto. In the second half of 2012 Emirates is planning to launch A380 flights to Melbourne, Tokyo and Amsterdam. Emirates has an additional 69 of this model on firm order for delivery through 2017.

 

Recent visits of the A380 owned by the Company (MSN 016) included London, Munich, New York and Sydney during the second quarter of 2012.

 

Company Facts (30th June 2012)

Listing

LSE and CISX

Ticker

DNA

Share Price

124.5p

Market Capitalisation

£53 million

Anticipated Dividend

2.25p per quarter (9p per annum)

Anticipated Dividend Payment Dates

April, July, October, January

Currency

GBP

Launch Date/Price

13th December 2010 / 100p

Incorporation

Guernsey

Asset Manager

Doric Asset Finance & Verwaltungs GmbH

Corp & Shareholder Advisor

Nimrod Capital LLP

Administrator

Anson Fund Managers Ltd

Auditor

Ernst and Young LLP

Market Makers

Shore Capital Ltd

Winterflood Securities Ltd

SEDOL, ISIN

B4MF389 , GG00B4MF3899

Year End

31st March

Stocks & Shares ISA

Eligible

Website

www.dnairone.com

 

Maintenance status

Emirates maintains its A380 aircraft fleet based on a maintenance program according to which minor maintenance checks are performed every 1,500 flight hours and more significant maintenance checks (so called C checks) every 24 months or 12,000 flight hours, whichever comes first. The next C check is expected to fall due in the last quarter of 2012.

 

Emirates bears all costs (including maintenance, repair and insurance) relating to the aircraft during the lifetime of the lease.

 

Inspections

The next inspection of the aircraft by the asset manager is scheduled during the aforementioned C check later in 2012.

 

Hairline Cracks

Since late 2011, hairline cracks have been discovered in a small number of L-shaped metal brackets within the wing structure of some A380s. There are about 2,000 brackets (known as rib-skin attachments or wing rib feet) in each wing, which attach the wing's upper and lower skins to ribs running throughout the wing. The aircraft remain fully airworthy and pose no risk to flight safety as affirmed by European Aviation Safety Agency ("EASA") and Airbus.

 

In recent months Airbus has traced the source of the cracking in A380 wing structures to the choice of a less flexible aluminum alloy used to make the wing brackets, stresses involved during assembly when fitting portions of the wing together plus thermal fatigue during flight at very low temperatures.

 

In February 2012, EASA issued an updated airworthiness directive ("AD") in relation to the wing rib feet cracks, which called for all A380s in operation to be checked for cracks in the brackets that attach to the wing's ribs before reaching 1,300 flights. Aircraft already approaching or beyond the threshold were ordered to perform the checks and repairs almost immediately. The aircraft owned by the Company (MSN 016) was inspected in March 2012. The cracks detected on this occasion were repaired. The aircraft has since returned to normal commercial service.

 

In late June EASA issued a new AD pertaining to wing rib feet cracks on the Airbus A380 aircraft, which now also specifies repeat inspections of A380 aircraft at defined intervals. This will allow A380 aircraft to continue flying until a permanent fix for wing rib feet cracking has been incorporated in the aircraft. The length of the applicable inspection interval is determined by the location within the wing where previous wing rib feet repairs have been made and the type of repair that has been previously made. Depending on this, an inspection interval of between 560 and 1200 flight cycles is required. After performing this repeat inspection, the follow-on repeat inspections shall have an inspection interval of 560 flight cycles.

 

Airbus has developed a permanent fix to wing rib feet cracking, which is currently being certified by EASA. A retrofit modification will be installed on in-service aircraft, while a production modification will be applied for new aircraft. The retrofit is expected to become available in late 2012/early 2013. A further AD is anticipated which will instruct A380 operators to implement the retrofit. At that time, the retrofit will be installed in existing A380s. New aircraft with the production modification are expected to be delivered beginning in early 2014. The permanent fix developed by Airbus will preserve the full design service life of the A380 aircraft.

Airbus has confirmed that it may take up to 8 weeks to incorporate the permanent fix in the A380. Another option is for the fix to be gradually accomplished during regularly scheduled "heavy checks" when the aircraft is two, four, and six years of age. To implement the repair gradually, some extra days would be added to each two to three week "heavy check". Aircraft operators are expected to choose between the various repair solutions depending on their fleet planning and flight schedules.

 

All the repair works will be covered by the applicable manufacturer's warranties. In the meantime airlines with A380s on lease will continue to operate the aircraft and their lease rental obligations will remain absolute and unconditional on these events.

 

 

2. Market Overview

 

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) released its revised industry outlook in June 2012 according to which global industry profits are still expected to reach USD 3.0 billion this year, unchanged from the last update in March. A fall in oil prices, stronger than expected growth in passenger traffic and a bottoming out of the freight market are driving some improvements in the profitability outlook. However, this is offset by the continued European sovereign debt crisis, which has led markets to expect a further deterioration and damage to economic growth.

 

IATA expects that 2012 will mark a second successive year of declining airline profits. In 2010 the industry's profits peaked at USD 15.8 billion, before dipping in 2011 to USD 7.9 billion net profit. Although airlines face the common challenges of high fuel prices and economic uncertainty, the regional picture is diverse. Compared with the previous forecast in March 2012, North American and Latin American carriers are expected to see improved prospects. But the outlook for European, Asian-Pacific and Middle Eastern carriers has been downgraded, with European losses now expected to be USD 1.1 billion (nearly double the previously forecast USD 600 million loss).

 

World GDP growth, a key driver of airline profitability, is expected to be 2.1% in 2012. That is slightly better than the anticipated 2.0% growth forecast in March. But this is still a slower growth environment than last year, and one in which airlines will struggle to recover cost increases. Historically, the airline industry has fallen into losses (at a global level) when world GDP growth drops below 2.0%.

 

Given the actual slower economic growth environment it has been notable that up to April passenger demand, measured in revenue passenger kilometers, continued to expand at an above-trend rate of 6.0%. The strongest markets have been those linked with Asia, Latin America, and the Middle East, where economies have been more robust. However, a weaker second half of the year is expected as deepening problems in Europe damage confidence. Even so, the strength of travel demand in the first part of this year has caused an upward revision to the forecast for air travel growth to 4.8% from 4.2% in the previous forecast.

 

Source: IATA

 

3. Lessee - Emirates Key Financials and Outlook

 

The aircraft is leased to Emirates for an initial term of 12 years, with fixed lease rentals for the duration.

 

Emirates revenue reached a record high of USD16.9 billion in the 12 months ended 31 March 2012, an increase of 16% from the previous financial year. Passenger revenue climbed 18% year-on-year, to USD13.3 billion due to the overall expansion of passenger numbers as well as higher fares.

 

Geographically, East Asia and Australasia remains Emirates' most important region in terms of revenue, accounting for almost 30%, just ahead of Europe. The carrier's revenue base is increasingly diffused globally, particularly with the introduction of several new routes into North and South America and the development of African destinations.

 

Despite this strong revenue growth, the stifling cost of jet fuel impacted Emirates' bottom line with the airline's profit dropping to USD 409 million, representing a decrease of 72% over last year's record results. Fuel costs increased by 44.4% compared to the preceding year to USD 6.6 billion, representing about 40% of Emirates' total operating costs. Emirates Chairman and CEO, Sheikh Ahmed bin Saeed Al Maktoum, stated that if fuel prices remained where they were in the previous financial year, the net profit "would have again soared to a new record high".

 

These solid financial results not only represent Emirates 24th consecutive year of profit, but the carrier was also able to strengthen its cash position with an increase of 11.6% to USD 4.2 billion.

 

Emirates received 22 new aircraft during the course of the past financial year including 14 Boeing 777-300ERs, two Boeing 777Fs (freighters) and six A380s from Airbus, the highest number of aircraft received in a single year of operation. With an increased fleet, Emirates launched 11 new destinations in 2011/2012 including a strong focus on North America and South America in the final quarter with Rio de Janeiro, Buenos Aires, Seattle and Dallas-Fort Worth all launching between January and March 2012. The Emirates fleet, one of the youngest in the industry, carried a record number of almost 34 million passengers at an 80% passenger load factor to a network of 122 destinations in 72 countries. As of 31 March 2012 Emirates has 169 aircraft in operation, with firm orders for another 223 passenger aircraft, including 69 A380.

 

Most recently the carrier added a new route to Ho Chi Minh City in June. This will be followed by new services to Barcelona and Lisbon in July and Washington DC in September.

 

Employee numbers at the airline stand at around 42,500 and Emirates plans to recruit more than 4,000 workers this year.

 

 

Source: Emirates

 

4. Aircraft - A380

 

At the end of May 2012, the global A380 fleet consisted of 75 planes that were in service with eight operators: Emirates (21 A380 aircraft), Singapore Airlines (17), Qantas (12), Deutsche Lufthansa (9), Air France (7), Korean Airways (5), China Southern Airlines (3) and Malaysia Airlines (1).

 

Malaysia Airlines was the latest operator to take delivery of the 75th aircraft of the type at the end of May 2012. Thai Airways is scheduled to receive its first Airbus A380 in the second half of 2012. This will bring the total number to nine worldwide operators. The in-service fleet is expected to approach 100 aircraft by the end of 2012.

 

Sources: IATA, Boeing, Airbus

 

Contact Details

 

Company

Doric Nimrod Air One Limited

Anson Place, Mill Court,

La Charroterie, St Peter Port,

Guernsey GY1 1EJ

Tel: +44 (0) 1481 722260

Website: www.dnairone.com

 

Corporate & Shareholder Advisor

Nimrod Capital LLP

4 The London Fruit and Wool Exchange

Brushfield Street

London E1 6HB

Tel: +44 (0) 20 3355 6855

 

END OF ANNOUNCEMENT

 

E&OE - in transmission.

 

This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
 
END
 
 
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