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Resources Update

8 Jun 2011 09:43

RNS Number : 0678I
Circle Oil PLC
08 June 2011
 



 

 

 

 

8 June 2011

Circle Oil Plc

("Circle" or the "Company")

 

 Resources Update

 

Circle Oil Plc (AIM: COP), the international oil and gas exploration, development and production company, is pleased to announce the 2011 update to Ultimate Recoverable Resources ("URR")1 for the NW Gemsa Concession, Egypt, and the Sebou Permit, Morocco, which indicates a significant increase over the 2010 URR estimates for both permits. The updated gross estimates were compiled by RPS Energy ("RPS"),an independent consultancy specialising in petroleum and gas reservoir evaluation. The estimates use the 2007 Petroleum Resources Management System ("PRMS") produced by SPE/WPC/AAPG/SPEE and are set out in the tables below together with further explanation of the results.

 

Egypt

 

The new resource estimates take account of the results of the drilling and development activity up to but not including Geyad-3.^

 

The RPS report2 states that the most likely (P50) URR for the discoveries in NW Gemsa in Al Amir SE, Geyad plus South Gharib in Al Amir are 30.0MMBO and 34.2 bcf of gas, which together equates to 35.9MMBOE gross (14.4MMBOE net).3 This constitutes a 49% increase over the 2010 figure of 24.1MMBOE gross (9.6MMBOE net). The most likely unrisked URR in the Kareem reservoir in the Al Amir prospect is 3.9 MMBOE gross with a geological probability of success of 84%, as assigned by RPS. The Al Amir Kareem area volume was included in the Al Amir SE URR in the 2010 report, as at that time it was considered as an adjoining portion to Al Amir SE which had and has still not been drilled, but could be reasonably judged to be economically productive on the basis of geological, geophysical and engineering data. The 2011 total most likely (P50) recoverable resources estimate, to compare like with like areas (including Al Amir Kareem) with the 2010 report, is 33.2MMBO and 38.1 bcf of gas, which together equates to 39.8MMBOE gross (15.9MMBOE net). This constitutes a 65.1% increase over the 2010 figure of 24.1MMBOE gross (9.6MMBOE net).

 

The upside estimate (P10) for the discovered fields increases to 54.5MMBOE gross (21.8MMBOE net) which represents a 33% increase over the 2010 figure of 41.0MMBOE (16.4MMBOE net). The unrisked upside estimate of URR in the Kareem reservoir in the Al Amir prospect is 9.3MMBOE gross (3.7MMBOE net). The 2011 total upside (P10) recoverable resources estimate, to compare like with like areas, is 63.8MMBOE gross (25.5MMBOE net), which constitutes a 55.6% increase over the 2010 figure of 41.0MMBOE gross (16.4MMBOE net).

 

The increase in URR is due to a large increase in the estimated recovery factor from the Kareem reservoir which results from observation of well production performance data and the positive effect of the planned installation of gas production and water injection facilities, which are expected to be completed by the end of 2011.

 

The NW Gemsa Concession partners include: Vegas Oil and Gas (50% interest and operator); Circle Oil Plc (40% interest); and Sea Dragon Energy (10% interest).

 

 

2011 ON BLOCK URR (MMBOE)*

2010 ON BLOCK URR (MMBOE)**

Field Formation

MOST LIKELY

REC. FAC.

UPSIDE

REC. FAC.

Field Formation

MOST LIKELY

REC. FAC.

UPSIDE

REC. FAC.

Resources in discovered fields ***

AL AMIR SE KAREEM

31.3

40.0%

45.1

50.0%

AL AMIR SE KAREEM + AL AMIR KAREEM

19.5

32.5%

31.6

45.0%

GEYAD KAREEM

3.2

40.0%

6.1

50.0%

GEYAD KAREEM

3.2

32.5%

6.1

32.5%

AL AMIR S GHARIB

1.4

17.5%

3.3

25.0%

AL AMIR S GHARIB

1.4

17.5%

3.3

25.0%

GROSS TOTAL

35.9

54.5

GROSS TOTAL

24.1

41.0

NET TOTAL

14.4

21.8

NET TOTAL

9.6

16.4

Prospective Resources***

AL AMIR KAREEM

Included with Al Amir SE in RPS 2010 report

 

AL AMIR KAREEM

3.9

27.5%

9.3

40.0%

GROSS TOTAL

3.9

9.3

 

 

 

 

**2010 URR INCLUDES 1.1 MMBO PRODUCED BY END DEC 2009

 

*** NO economic cut off has been applied

NET TOTAL

1.6

3.7

*2011 URR INCLUDES 4.1 MMBO PRODUCED BY END DEC 2010

 

*** NO economic cut off has been applied

 

 

The NW Gemsa Concession, containing the Al Amir and Geyad Development Leases, covering an area of over 260 square kilometres, lies about 300 kilometres southeast of Cairo in a partially unexplored area of the Gulf of Suez Basin. The concession agreement includes the right of conversion to a production licence of 20 years, plus extensions, in the event of commercial discoveries.

 

Morocco

 

The new resource estimates take account of the results of the drilling up to and including KSR-11.^^

 

The RPS estimate of most likely (P50) URR of gas is 30.6 bcf gross (23.0 bcf net).This, together with our own internal estimate of gas production and resources remaining to be produced in areas not included in the report of 1.5 bcf gross, gives a total of 32.1 bcf gross (23.9 bcf net) URR for the Sebou block. This represents a significant increase in gas resources of 83.4% over the 2010 figure of 17.5 bcf gross (13.0 bcf net).

 

The RPS estimate of upside (P10) URR is 41.7 bcf gross (31.3 bcf net) which together with our own internal estimate of resources in areas not included in the report of 1.5 bcf gross, gives a total of 43.2 bcf gross (32.2 bcf net) for 2011, which represents a 66% increase over the 2010 figure of 26.0 bcf gross (19.3 bcf net).

In the Sebou concession, Circle has a 75% share and ONHYM, the Moroccan State oil company, has a 25% share. In the Oulad N'zala concession, Circle has a 60% share and ONHYM has a 40% share. Both concessions include the right of conversion to a production licence of 25 years, plus extensions in the event of commercial discoveries.

 

 

2011 ON BLOCK URR (bcf)

2010 ON BLOCK URR (bcf)

MOST LIKELY

REC. FAC.

UPSIDE

REC. FAC.

MOST LIKELY

REC. FAC.

UPSIDE

REC. FAC.

RPS Estimates

SEBOU + OULAD N'ZALA GROSS

30.6

70.0 -87.5%

41.7

80.0 -95.0%

SEBOU + OULAD N'ZALA GROSS

16.2

87.5%

24.7

95%

NET

23.0

31.3

NET

12.2

18.6

Circle Estimate of Resources in Assets Not Reviewed by RPS

SEBOU + OULAD N'ZALA

GROSS #

1.5

SEBOU + OULAD N'ZALA

GROSS ##

 

1.3

 

NET

0.9

NET

0.8

 

#2011 CIRCLE URR INCLUDES GAS PRODUCED AND REMAINING TO BE PRODUCED BY END DEC 2010

 

## 2010 CIRCLE URR INCLUDES GAS PRODUCED AND REMAINING TO BE PRODUCED BY END DEC 2009

 

The Sebou permit lies to the north-east of Rabat in the Rharb Basin in Morocco. The Rharb Basin is a foredeep basin located in the external zone of the Rif Folded belt.

 

Prof Chris Green, CEO, said

 

"I am very pleased to report this significant uplift in resource numbers for the oil and gas discoveries on our NW Gemsa and Sebou blocks. This is testimony to both the continuing advancement of the partnership's development and appraisal programme in Egypt and the success of our exploration drilling in Morocco. It also highlights the way in which the Company has been utilizing the funds raised from the placing in 2010 to create value for our shareholders. Our drilling success rate over the past three years has been excellent. We continue with our task of increasing both our production capability and resource base."

 

 

  

1 URR values are based on notional development schemes with no economic limit test applied 

2 RPS remit was to estimate URR from the discovered fields and from the undrilled Al Amir Kareem prospect

3 The conversion factor used is 5.81 Bcf of gas is 1 million barrels of oil equivalent.

 

^ Geyad-3

Circle issued an RNS announcement on 23 May 2011 relating to a positive result from the Geyad-3 appraisal/development well. Details of this are available at

http://www.circleoil.net/23May2011.htm

 

^^ KSR-11

Circle issued a operational update on 15 April 2011 relating to a positive result from the KSR - 11 exploration well. Details of this discovery are available at

http://www.circleoil.net/15April2011.htm

 

 

Glossary

 

SPE The Society of Petroleum Engineers

WPC The World Petroleum Council

AAPG The American Association of Petroleum Geologists

SPEE The Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers

bcf Billions of cubic feet of gas

MMBO Millions of barrels of oil

MMBOE Millions of barrels of oil equivalent

ONHYM Office National de Hydrocarbures et des Mines

 

In accordance with the guidelines of the AIM Market of the London Stock Exchange, Professor Chris Green, Chief Executive Officer of Circle Oil Plc,an explorationist and geophysicist with over thirty years oil & gas industry experience, and Dr Stuart Harker, VP Geology, also with over 30 years experience, are the qualified persons as defined in the London Stock Exchange's Note for Mining and Oil and Gas Companies - June 2009, who has reviewed and approved the technical information contained in this announcement as provided by an independent third party.

 

 

For further information contact: 

 

Circle Oil Plc (+44 20 7638 9571)

Professor Chris Green, CEO

 

Evolution Securities (+44 20 7071 4300)

Chris Sim

Neil Elliot

 

Fox-Davies Capital (+44 20 3463 5010)

Daniel Fox-Davies

Philip Davies

David Porter

 

Citigate Dewe Rogerson (+44 20 7638 9571)

Martin Jackson

Kate Lehane

 

Murray Consultants (+353 1 498 0300)

Joe Murray

Joe Heron

 

 

Notes to Editors

 

Circle Oil Plc (AIM: COP) is an international oil & gas exploration, development and production Company with an expanding portfolio of assets in Morocco, Tunisia, Oman and Egypt with a combination of low-risk near-term production and significant exploration upside potential. The Company listed on AIM in October 2004.

 

Internationally, the Company has continued to expand its portfolio over the past 2 years and now has assets in the Rharb Basin, Morocco; the Ras Marmour Permit in southern Tunisia; the Mahdia Permit offshore Tunisia; the Grombalia Permit in northern Tunisia and the Zeit Bay area of Egypt. Circle also has the largest licence holding of any company in Oman. In addition to its prospective Block 52 offshore, Circle also has an ongoing exploration program in Block 49 onshore.

 

Circle's strategy is to locate and secure additional licences in prospective hydrocarbon provinces and through targeted investment programmes, monetise the value in those assets for the benefit of shareholders. This could be achieved through farm-outs to selected partners who would then invest in and continue the development of the asset into production, or Circle may itself opt to use its own expertise to appraise reserves and bring assets into production, generating sustained cash flow for further investment.

 

Further information on Circle is available on its website at www.circleoil.net.

 

 

This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
 
END
 
 
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