Athelney Tst. Regulatory News (ATY)

30 Aug 2007 07:00

Athelney Trust PLC30 August 2007 ATHELNEY TRUST plc: INTERIM RESULTS Athelney Trust plc, the AIM-traded investment company specialising in smallcompanies and junior markets, announces its unaudited results for the six monthsended 30 June 2007. Highlights: •Unaudited Net Asset Value up 22 per cent at 201.3p per share (2006: 164.5p) •Gross Revenue of £56,010 an increase of 24 per cent (2006: £45,165) •Revenue income rose 11.4 per cent on a like for like basis; dividend income by 11.7 per cent •Revenue return per ordinary share up 11.8 per cent at 1.9p (2006: 1.7p) Athelney Chairman, Hugo Deschampsneufs, said: "The worry must be that the severehousing recession in the US is spreading to the financial area and isthreatening the occurrence of systematic fallout. It is estimated that variousinstitutions own about $6 trillion of mortgage backed securities of which $800billion are sub-prime. About 13 per cent of sub-prime mortgages are currently indefault and foreclosure rates are soaring. "If a fair proportion of $800 billion is wiped out by enforced mark to market,then it is a decent bet that a large dent will be made in the $875 billion ofcapital owned by the commercial banks and how willing will such banks be tocontinue to fund the present mergers and acquisitions frenzy which has swept theworld in recent months. "We are now seeing the liquidity tap being turned off in three ways: centralbanks are raising interest rates; lending terms are getting tighter and tighter;and, perhaps the strongest evidence of a more prudent rationing of liquidity isthe reduced appetite for risk in financial markets. "I think it might well be a mistake to increase interest rates further in the UKand Eurozone, but I suspect that the authorities will do so anyway. All in all,the short term seems full of difficulties but, looking to the slightly longerterm, I remain absolutely convinced that a portfolio of carefully chosenequities, including a sensible proportion of high quality small caps, will onceagain offer an attractive investment home for long-haul investment capital". -ends- A copy of this statement can be downloaded from www.athelneytrust.co.uk For further information: Robin Boyle, Chief ExecutiveAthelney Trust plc 020 7628 7937 John RiddellNoble & Company Limited 020 7763 2200 Paul QuadeCityRoad Communications 020 7248 8010 CHAIRMAN'S STATEMENT AND BUSINESS REVIEW I present the unaudited results for the six months to 30 June 2007. The salientpoints are as follows: •Unaudited Net Asset Value ("NAV") is 201.3p per share (31 December 2006: 189.7p, 30 June 2006: 164.5p), a rise of 6.1 per cent and an increase of 22.4 per cent over the past year. •Gross Revenue rose by 24 per cent to £56,010 compared to the half year ended 30 June 2006 of £45,165 and the full year to 31 December 2006 of £95,614. •On a like-for-like basis revenue increased by 11.4 per cent and dividend income rose by 11.7 per cent. •Revenue return per ordinary share was 1.9p, up 11.8 per cent from the previous half year (31 December 2006: 3.3p, 30 June 2006: 1.7p). •A dividend of 3.25p was paid in May 2007 (2006: 2.5p) and, as is the Board's practice, no further dividend will be paid until the full year's results are known. Review of 1 January to 30 June 2007 The last six months, and the short period that preceded it, have certainlyproduced quite a few shocks: Mexico's disputed presidential election; riots inHungary; a coup in Thailand; the disturbing, deeply sinister murder of AlexanderLitvininenko, allegedly by an ex-KGB operative; the arrest of a group of RoyalNavy seamen and Royal Marines by Iran; and Hugo Chavez's nationalization offoreign assets in Venezuela. In Pakistan, along the North West Frontier, thedeal between the tribal leaders and the government which confined the army tobarracks has resulted in a resurgence of the Taliban and thus provided cover foral-Qu'eda to train and supply future terrorists. The siege of the Red Mosque andoutbreak of suicide bombing suggests that worse is to come. Iraq is, of course,a complete disaster and it is immensely depressing that the eventual exit of theU.S.-led coalition will most likely lead to even more inter-sectional violence. On 27 February, the Shanghai market fell by 9 per cent, followed by sell-offsaround the world on the view that just about everyone was vulnerable to a crashin the overheated Chinese stock market. Yet Shanghai rebounded within days and,even when the Chinese authorities tried to take heat out of the market byimposing stamp duty on share purchases, things went remarkably smoothly. Morerecently we saw a sharp set-back in U.S. Treasuries in June which was quicklyfollowed by a dramatic sell-off in the credit market which may haverepercussions elsewhere. I make no apology for returning to the state of the housing market in the U.S.(particularly the Midwest, Florida and California). Worthy of note is the nearcollapse of the funds backed by sub-prime (low quality) mortgages from BearStearns, a large investment bank. The unfortunately named High-Grade StructuredCredit Strategies Enhanced Leverage Fund and its sister the High-GradeStructured Credit Strategies Fund are now all but worthless, having only beenlaunched about a year ago. The Enhanced Leverage fund's problems were compoundedby its borrowings which were ten times bigger than its $600 million capital. The worry must be that the severe housing recession is spreading to thefinancial area and is threatening the occurrence of systemic fallout. It isestimated that various institutions own about $6 trillion of mortgage-backedsecurities (MBS) of which $800 billion are sub-prime. About 13 per cent ofsub-prime mortgages are currently in default and foreclosure rates are soaring. How did America get into this mess? In recent years, there has been a concertedeffort to increase the share of homeowners in the U.S. from a post-war averageof 63 per cent to 70 per cent. Lending standards were relaxed and deposits wereno longer required. The extreme was reached with so-called Ninja loans(borrowers needed no income, jobs or assets). The influx of new buyers pushed uphouse prices which made financial institutions even more eager to lend. The lenders, however, did not have to worry very much about the risk of defaultbecause they rolled these mortgages into MBS packages, which were then slicedand diced in tranches known as Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs). Buyerscould chose equity (highest risk, highest theoretical dividend yield), mezzanineand investment-grade bonds. The first, equity, is colloquially known as toxicwaste and the hunt is on to find out who exactly has purchased and is stillholding this nasty stuff. Many of these securities are illiquid so regularprices are not available. Indeed, highly rated CDOs may still be owned by banksor hedge funds that do not have to put a (much lower) value on these securities.They may not recognise the problem until they are forced to by auditors or byratings downgrades from Moody's and S&P. Moody's has said that it may cutratings on 91 CDOs worth about $5 billion. How to value illiquid financial derivatives is an interesting question. AsWarren Buffett, the world's most successful investor, pointed out years agothere is no market for complex derivatives so instead of being marked to market(valued at market price), they are marked to (computer) model - or, in somecases, marked to myth. Suppose, he said, you write a contract specifying thenumber of twins that will be born in Nebraska in 2020. That will be taken up bya counterparty in the usual way. Both of you might then devise differentcomputer models which showed you both making a profit for years. Why would youdo that? Because, as derivatives traders, you get a huge bonus on that andsimilarly illiquid trades. In the case of a hedge fund, there is scope to book amythical profit, of which the manager can then take his 20 per cent cut inaddition to his annual management fee. The more profits of this kind the managerbooks, the better his fund performs in the short term and the more capital thefund attracts from new investors. But once these huge losses are recognised, what are the implications forliquidity, which has been the driving force behind markets for a long time now?Say the search for who is still holding the toxic waste ends with the fingerpointed at the originating banks and syndicating investment banks? If a fair proportion of $800 billion is wiped out by enforced mark to marketthen it is a decent bet that a large dent would be made in the $875 million ofcapital owned by the commercial banks and how willing would such banks be tocontinue to fund the present mergers and acquisitions frenzy which has swept theworld in recent months? We are now seeing the liquidity tap being turned off in three ways: centralbanks are raising interest rates; lending terms are getting tighter and tighter(no more cov-lite and payment-in-kind loans, thank you); and perhaps thestrongest evidence of a more prudent rationing of liquidity is the reducedappetite for risk in financial markets (no more MBS, thank you). None of the above is calculated to cheer so it is heartening to report thatequity markets had a decent six months to June 2007. Best of all was China(+42.3 per cent); followed by Pakistan (+38.1 per cent); Poland (+32.8 percent); South Korea (+28.2 per cent); Turkey (+26.5 per cent) and Malaysia (+25.6per cent). Only three markets fell: Saudi Arabia (-9.6 per cent); Colombia (-4.6per cent) and Russia (-1.5 per cent). Closer to home, British blue-chips rose bya respectable 7.3 per cent although small caps., as represented by the FTSESmall Cap. Index, increased by a slightly disappointing 3 per cent. Crude oil,having finished 2006 at about $50 per barrel, shot up again to close the periodat $71, a rise of about 40 per cent. As far as the U.K. is concerned, we have had to live with a strong currency and,although the two-dollar pound may not be forever, it certainly has given Britishbusiness and consumers a gain in spending power. Despite an increasinglyunfavourable exchange rate, U.K. manufacturing exports grew by 10 per cent lastyear. Demand for services that the U.K. is good at - such as investment banking,stockbroking, accountancy and law - has been rising steadily so that the City inall its aspects now accounts for about 15 per cent of U.K. GDP. Finally, under this sub-heading, profit warnings are edging closer to recordhighs. In the first half of this year, 191 companies issued alerts, saying thatprofits would fail to meet targets. This was up from 169 in the first half oflast year and is the highest since the 230 in the first half of 2001 at the endof the dotcom boom. Results Gross revenue rose by 24 per cent compared with the six months to 30 June 2006:after allowance is made for the special dividend paid by Mallett in 2007,like-for-like growth was a rather more pedestrian 11.4 per cent. Number Companies paying dividends 63Companies sold (therefore no true comparison) 17Companies purchased (therefore no true comparison) 19Increased total dividends in the half year 20Reduced total dividends in the half year 2No change in dividend 5 Corporate Activity Three of our companies were taken over for cash: Enterprise; European MotorHoldings and City Lofts, producing a profit of 698 per cent, 242 per cent and30.3 per cent respectively. Since 30 June, Ben Bailey has agreed to a cash offerwhich, if it goes through, would result in Athelney booking a profit of 83.8 percent. Similarly, Hitachi Capital would give a profit of 9.5 per cent.Furthermore, Domestic & General and Nichols are separately engaged in bid talksalthough, of course, there is no certainty that deals will be agreed. Portfolio Review Holdings of Aero Inventory, Umeco, Character Group, Debtmatters, Prime People,Renew Holdings, Smallbone, H&T Group, Ambrian Capital, FDM Group, Finsbury Food,M&C Saatchi, Quarto Group, Trifast and Creston were all purchased for the firsttime. Blacks Leisure, Johnson Service, AT Communications and Erinaceous Groupwere all sold. In addition, a total of twenty-one holdings were top-sliced toprovide capital for the new purchases. Dividend As is the Board's practice, consideration of a dividend will be left until thefinal results are known. However, having increased the annual dividend from 1pper share in 1996 to 3.25p in 2007, the Board is keen to maintain Athelney'sprogressive record, remaining within the context of what can be afforded withoutundue financial strain. Update The unaudited NAV at 31 July 2007 was 199.8p whereas the share price on the sameday stood at 203p. Further updates can be found on www.athelneytrust.co.uk Outlook I think that it might well be a mistake to increase interest rates further inthe U.K. and the Eurozone but I suspect that the authorities will do so anyway.Then there is the stubbornly high price of crude oil despite the supplysituation being relatively easy at the moment. And we had better not forgetabout developments in America, discussed at length earlier in my Statement andBusiness Review. All in all, the short term seems full of difficulties but,looking to the slightly longer term, I remain absolutely convinced that aportfolio of carefully chosen equities (including a sensible proportion of highquality small caps.) will once again offer an attractive home for long-haulinvestment capital. Fingers firmly crossed, prospects for 2008 look positive. H.B. Deschampsneufs Athelney Trust plc INTERIM INCOME STATEMENT (INCORPORATING THE REVENUE ACCOUNT) Year ended Unaudited Unaudited 31 December 6 months ended 30 June 2007 6 months ended 30 June 2006 2006 Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total Total £ £ £ £ £ £ £Profits oninvestments - 295,354 295,354 - 178,417 178,417 708,480Income 56,010 - 56,010 45,165 - 45,165 95,615InvestmentManagementexpenses (4,776) (14,150) (18,926) (4,015) (11,787) (15,802) (32,380)Other expenses (24,314) - (24,314) (17,352) - (17,352) (35,355) ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------Return on ordinaryactivitiesbeforetaxation 26,920 281,204 308,124 23,798 166,630 190,428 736,360 Taxation 7,723 (48,722) (40,999) 6,537 (29,002) (22,465) (114,164) ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------Return on ordinaryactivitiesafter taxation 34,643 232,482 267,125 30,335 137,628 167,963 622,196 ======= ======= ======= ======= ======= ======= ======= Dividends Paid: Dividend (58,591) - (58,591) (45,070) - (45,070) (45,070) ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- (23,948) 232,482 208,534 (14,735) 137,628 122,893 577,126 ======= ======= ======= ======= ======= ======= ======= Return perordinary share 1.9p 12.9p 14.8p 1.7p 7.6p 9.3p 34.5p Athelney Trust plc INTERIM BALANCE SHEET AS AT 30 JUNE 2007 Unaudited Unaudited 31 December 30 June 2007 30 June 2006 2006 £ £ £Fixed assetsInvestments 3,991,243 3,180,278 3,706,392 --------- --------- --------- Current assetsDebtors 80,367 103,536 105,603Cash at bank and in hand 22,153 30,007 32,486 --------- --------- --------- 102,520 133,543 138,089 Creditors: amounts falling duewithin one year (103,321) (40,826) (50,797) --------- --------- --------- Net current assets (801) 92,717 87,292 --------- --------- --------- Total assets less currentliabilities 3,990,442 3,272,995 3,793,684 Provisions for liabilities andcharges (361,757) (307,934) (374,390) --------- --------- ---------Net assets 3,628,685 2,965,061 3,419,294 ========= ========= ========= Capital and reservesCalled up share capital 450,700 450,700 450,700Share premium account 405,605 405,605 405,605Other reserves (non distributable)Capital reserve - realised 985,293 590,450 719,086Capital reserve - unrealised 1,690,531 1,427,789 1,723,399Revenue reserve 96,556 90,517 120,504 --------- --------- ---------Shareholders' funds - allequity 3,628,685 2,965,061 3,419,294 ========= ========= ========= Net Asset Value per share 201.3p 164.5p 189.7p The revenue column of this statement is the profit and loss account for theCompany. All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuingoperations. No operations were acquired or discontinued during the above financial years. There have been no recognised gains or losses, other than the results for thefinancial years shown above. Athelney Trust plc CASHFLOW STATEMENT FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDING 30 JUNE 2007 Unaudited Unaudited Year ended 6 months ended 6 months ended 31 December 30 June 2007 30 June 2006 2006 £ £ £ £ £Net cash (outflow) / inflow fromoperating activities 37,755 60,642 68,111 Servicing of financeDividends paid (58,591) (45,070) (45,070) -------- -------- --------- Net cash (outflow)from servicing (58,591) (45,070) (45,070)of finance TaxationCorporation tax paid - - (18,613) Investing activitiesPurchases ofinvestments (577,437) (433,030) (1,103,978)Sales of investments 587,940 407,417 1,091,988 -------- -------- --------- Net cash inflow / (outflow) fromInvesting activities 10,503 (25,613) (11,990) -------- -------- --------- -------- -------- ---------(Decrease) in cash inthe year (10,333) (10,041) (7,562) ======== ======== ========= Reconciliation of operating net revenue tonet cash (outflow) / inflow from operating activities £ £ £ Revenue return onordinary activitiesbefore taxation 26,920 23,798 52,044(Increase) in debtors 25,235 41,574 39,506(Decrease)/ increasein creditors (250) 7,057 725Management expensescharged to capital (14,150) (11,787) (24,164) -------- -------- --------- 37,755 60,642 68,111 ======== ======== ========= Notes: 1. The figures included in the above statement are an abridged version ofAthelney's unaudited results for the six months ended 30 June 2007 and do notconstitute statutory accounts within the meaning of Section 240 of the CompaniesAct 1985, as amended. 2. The calculation for the return per ordinary share is based on thereturn on ordinary activities after taxation shown below and on the averageweighted number of shares in issue during the period of 1,802,802 (2006:1,802,802 ). 2007 2006 Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total £ £ £ £ £ £ 34,643 232,482 267,125 30,335 137,628 167,963 3. Copies of this announcement are available, free of charge, for a periodof one month from Athelney's Nominated Advisor: Noble & Company Limited, 76 George Street, Edinburgh, EH2 3BU Copies of the Interim Accounts will be posted to shareholders on 31 August 2007. 30 August 2007 END This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange