RE: Hannam note out12 Jul 2021 12:05
Valuation: GBp85TP rolled to Jun-22 with 209%upsideWe roll our valuation for SOLG to Jun-22E, resulting in a target price of GBp85/sh, to which SOLG continues to trade at an attractive 68% discount.We have also made slight adjustments to our cash burn, with a decrease in estimated exploration expenditure for the 12m to Jun’21 but an increase for the 12 to Jun’22 leading to a marginal decrease in net cash.Our valuationis based on a 30Mtpa block cave operation commencing in 2028E, a US$7,000/t long-term copper price assumption and an 8% WACC. Thekey upcoming catalyst in2021 will be the completion of the Alpala PFS, alongside potential maiden MREs at Cacharposa and Tandayama-America. We include a conservative US$75m for SOLG’s regional exploration beyond the Cascabel licence, which could also yield multiple positive catalysts, with Porvenir –already showing signs of becoming a significant, open-pittable Cu-Au porphyry deposit in SE Ecuador –continuing to be the particular standoutat this stage.We also welcome SOLG’s announcement for co-operation with Cornerstone Capital Resources Inc, who currently have a 15% (dilutable) interest in the Cascabel project, to explore and evaluate a range of strategic and financing options to maximise shareholder value.
I lied about 3 posts!
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