RE: Webcast26 Mar 2026 16:59
Agree with Montys comments, underlying profitability of core businesses is still opaque due to historic exceptionals and almost all ebitda in 2025 coming from the Claremont disposal. I'd take £25-£50m FCF for 2025 if at upper end of the range, but how do we get there, some favourable assumptions about whey prices moving in our favour in H2, or fudge it with another non core disposal? Macro headwinds look like they will be strong headwind to cash generation in the core businesses.
Also worth noting US and Asia activity down by 20% in 2025, UK up by 10%.
UK Beauty and Nutrition businesses look in good health, but I worry about the underlying strength of international businesses which look sub scale and i suspect are marginally profitable if at all.