RE: risk26 Oct 2020 12:55
RISK - Let's consider some numbers (Note: This represents my view, do your own research)
The Daily Telegraph, 24 May 2020 "There may be as many as 500k ounces of gold in the area, and with gold currently selling at around £1.5k-an-ounce, it could be worth £750m"
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/05/24/gold-mining-company-lodge-planning-application-dig-snowdonia/
Let's work on this, and NOT consider Greenland assets.
Current Alba MCAP is £26.39 million at an SP 0f 0.45p.
The estimate in the Telegraph puts the value of gold at £750 million (some would say this is based on old data).
Let's not look at the whole amount of £750 million, let's look at 10% of that.
10% of £750 million is £75 million and this is equivalent to an ALBA SP 0f 1.28p.
Now, Clogau gold trades at a premium, currently trades at up to 30 times normal gold, https://www.clogau.co.uk/aboutclogau/welshgold.aspx
This premium is expected to reduce to 3 to 5 times standard gold when we start producing and this will put the Daily Telegraph estimate to between £2.25 and £3.75 Billion.
Stick to 10%,and 10% puts the Telegraph estimate to between £225 and £375 million which is equivalent to an ALBA SP of 3.84p to 6.40p.
To summarise, and working on 10%
Telegraph estimate, 10% is equivalent to an ALBA SP of 1.28p
Add premium 3-5 times, 10% is equivalent to an ALBA SP of between 3.84p and 6.40p
Now, do your own estimate of how much they can recover from Clogau and add Greenland assets.
Disclaimer: my calculations, my views - do your own research.