RE: Management performance8 Dec 2022 09:35
Helges DEALS
I’d say you’re unfortunately looking to be right Mommur.... it was certainly an eye opener looking into Helges deal magic a little more.
I’m going through the Longboat story to see what ‘value’ Helge has ‘unlocked’ and see if there’s anything to salvage. It looks like he, in his typical ‘expert management’ way has picked up a bunch of lemon assets.
Kveikje.
Stranded and development contingent on Equinor’s plans. Obviously this isn’t a big discovery for Equinor, I can’t even find it mentioned in their recent reports or accounts… That doesn’t stop Helge crowing from the rooftops though.
Kveikje. In the press. (Helge)
‘The Kveikje well was drilled 40 km from the Troll B field and 32 km from Troll C, which are potential host facilities, based on Longboat’s statement. Thus, Kveikje could form part of possible cluster development tied back to Troll B.
The oil and gas player confirmed that the Kveikje discovery will be evaluated as part of potential Equinor-operated area development.’
Reality
32-40km Underwater tie back! - What’s the development costs on that!? How long would it take to get planning and execute? Years and years.
The take away (From Helge and only Helge) - ‘Kveikje discovery will be evaluated as part of POTENTIAL Equinor-operated AREA DEVELOPMENT.’ - 8 months later zero mentioned by Equinor on an area development… actually just zero mention of Kveikje
So Helge spent millions , to punt on a farts worth of oil in a stranded asset. Haha, you can’t make this up.
A ‘trading chip’ he calls it. Haha. I wonder if he could trade it for a ham sandwich at this point.
From Helge again ‘ Actively pursuing near-term monetization opportunities following Kveikje multiple enquiries ‘
After 8 months in a major oil bull market zero buyers. ZERO. If he couldn't sell it then will it ever sell? It’s now a liability.
What's Helges sale pitch!?
35mmbbls GROSS. (What’s the recovery on that? Being optimistic 50%?)
17.5 mmbbls net ( 10% LBE)
1.75 mmbbls at $4
$7m or around £6m
It cost $2m to drill after the tax rebate. Haha .
So $5m (£4.4m) out if helge can fleece someone who’s having a bad day…
THE PITCH
1. Stranded asset
2. Non operator
3. Strong possibility of never getting developed
4. Large costs and extensive time frame if it does
Where do I sign the dotted line!
How much is Longboat on the hook for regarding development costs if equinor do call his bluff and go ahead? Is there a tax rebate on those costs?… it won’t be cheap. This looks like it's now possibly a liability that could cripple the company. Just one of Helge’s DEALS.
DEALS DELAS DEALS as he’s always crowing.
Honestly does anyone see it any differently?
Just wow.