Tharisa - extraordinary earnings surge for the six months to 31 March 2026.14 May 2026 12:32
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Tharisa, the integrated PGM and chrome producer listed on the Johannesburg and London exchanges, issued a trading statement flagging an extraordinary earnings surge for the six months to 31 March 2026. Basic earnings per share are expected to come in at US 15.3-15.8 cents, an increase of 512.0% to 532.0% on the US 2.5 cents reported for H1 FY2025, while headline earnings per share — the market's preferred measure — are expected at US 16.1-16.6 cents, up 455.2% to 472.4% on the prior-year US 2.9 cents. The driver is squarely commodity prices rather than volume: the average platinum spot price more than doubled year on year, with palladium up around 83% and rhodium up roughly 97% over 2025, as three years of suppressed prices forced South African producers to cut output, creating consecutive supply deficits that — together with tariff and trade-disruption uncertainty — triggered a sharp price surge. On the chrome side, prices were buoyed as the energy price shock stemming from the Iran war was passed onto consumers. This is therefore a price-led result, and the quality-of-growth caveat matters: the uplift reflects the commodity cycle rather than a structural step-change in the business, and is inherently more volatile than volume- or cost-driven earnings growth. That said, a JSE-regulated trading statement is itself a formal profit forecast, so the magnitude here is concrete. Underlying production guidance for FY2026 remains 145-165 koz of PGMs on a 6E basis and 1.50-1.65 Mt of chrome concentrates, the production report for the half having been released on 14 April. The company is also concluding a second US$5m share repurchase. Reviewed interim consolidated financial statements are due on or about 21 May 2026, which will confirm the cash, margin and dividend implications of the earnings surge. Vs consensus: As a JSE-regulated trading statement, this announcement is itself the formal earnings guidance, benchmarked against the prior-year actual of US 2.5 cents basic EPS and US 2.9 cents HEPS — a more than five-fold and four-fold increase respectively. Verdict: BEAT
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