Perspective7 May 2026 20:20
From my perspective discussions about announcement of German acquisition, exact timing of Nasdaq listing are only relevant in the very short term and totally irrelevant for the long term value creation thesis I have for MKA.
German acquisition, other than clear confidentiality arrangements, no seller will give exclusivity on an M&A unless they have solid confirmation that the funding to close on the transaction is in place. The acquisition may or may not go through following the needed due diligence required warranties and possible conditional part of the transaction price. Nothing will occur without proof of funds. If the transaction falls through this is not a loss of the funds raised which can be diverted to move towards pforzheim capacity expansion
As for MKAR Spac/Nasdaq listing, the process will take how long it takes and some delay to first indicated timelines is not unusual at all. The key is that there is USD 400 million of initial value which is only partly included on MKA current market price and will be a key step for share price re-rate and access to liquidity to fund MKAR mine and process strategy. Good things come to those who wait!
Looking further ahead, we know Hypromag USA is also planned to be listed which again in my mind can unlock value of USD400-USD500 million that is not reflected in current market value. CoTec do not play around on unlocking value and JT has proved this on many deals
UK and Germany are already in production and a prolonged ramp phase based on feedstock needs, product verification and customer relationships.
Over and above, the general macro environment for rare earths is hugely positive while the Hypromag story is based on a major technological advantage. We can be looking at a major disruptor in the rare earth magnet space.
I have no idea nor do I care where the sp will be in the next few weeks, but what i see is a very compelling value creation story that will take place step by stop over the next few months and into 2027/2-28