RE: Feb News Fest.2 Feb 2026 10:05
Looks like the PM speculation pop still going on but i expect most of the deflation is now done and we should see stability in the next days. As always people got carried away and expected that they hit the jackpot. The factors that have driven up PM are still there however driven by global Central Banks looking to reduce USD positions and increase PM holdings. Also, Trump is hell bent on reducing the US trade deficit and one key way to see a weaker USD to allow markets to adjust to a weaker dollar, making imports into the USA more expensive. Weaker USD over Trumo presidential term will mean higher commodity prices especially where there is also key demand for other reasons.
I also see commentary that China would like to see a stronger Yuan, which will again support commodity prices as the supplies from China will become more expensive over time. This is very supporting of higher NdPr prices ex-China
Mining/Metals has been overlooked as a major investment theme over the last decade, with anything not technology, AI or crypto related not interesting. I see that we are moving back to a period where more importance is being given to commodities, hard assets. The long term trend i see therefore is higher prices, including PM, but at a slower and steady pace, not the fireworks we have seen in January which clearly were not sustainable.
MKA sits in a sweet spot, critical mineral, excellent recycling technology and macro factors giving tailwinds. There is allot of money to be made here