Conference key points for CUSN shareholders19 Oct 2021 19:55
1.We saw a number of graphs which showed what is going to happen to demand and supply of strategic materials, tin and Lithium etc
The important thing is that supply will not keep up with the expected demand, even allowing for better recycling, more mines coming on stream and working existing assets harder. The gap between possible supply and expected demand is going to be very significant in a few years time. The only conclusion has to be that materials will have to be "rationed by price"
My conclusion was that although what we are seeing now may just be a blip due to supply chains being disrupted, it is however a foretaste of a huge supply deficit to come. There is going to be a rush to get these materials - without them industries will not be able to compete. The dreams of tin at $100,000 per tonne now seem quite plausible in a few years time possible sooner.
2. The second key take-away, Is that the government realises the importance of security of supply. We were told that the automotive fund can apply to copper and tin producers. So they can apply for grants and other funding. Studies are underway to see if smelting can be brought to the UK. Again, HMG seems to be behind this effort and surprisingly may be considering helping with finance. A complete vertical chain of activity is sought. Mine to car. The net zero report published today may have more details. See LLinv post below 15.25 today for link
3.My third takeaway, is that given the huge growth prospects both in volume and price /value, is likely to lead to massive rises in cash flow for mining companies. Whilst funds are needed to get going, the companies will quickly become very large and rapidly growing, cash generators . Stock Market valuations are likely to expand massively. Furthermore, there will be huge pressure to bring the metals on stream as fast as possible. So the stock market is not going to have to wait as long as has been the case in the past for results/payback.
CUSN, CL, TW, SML are sat in the middle of this, literally, an automotive revolution. For those of us rooting for jobs and economic revival in Cornwall, the news could hardly get better.