RE: Deal21 Mar 2025 12:26
I hold both SQZ and ENQ at a ratio of about 1:3.
The Tailwind deal was shockingly bad for SQZ and smelt very fishy from the outset...and the smell has been getting worse.
ENQ's core business was extracting value from near end-of-life oil assets including decommissioning them this is where ENQ can add value to SQZ at a production level. We don't know the proposed board structure but AB would never have signed off on the Tailwind deal and I believe he would add value where future deal-making is concerned.
ENQ have done a decent job in reducing debt but finance in the sector is tight for companies like ENQ, SQZ should be able to add value with regard to finance in the proposed combined group. ENQ is broadening its energy mix and are working on Gas in Vietnam (as well as Malaysia) and I'd like to think SQZ could add value here.
For me I think this deal makes sense for both companies but it will depend on relative views of respective valuations.
Perhaps as Tarmak says they will come back in 12 months time by which time the markets will have had time to adjust to the new realities (UK Goverment policy, Russia/ Ukraine, Drill Baby Drill, SQZ Dividend cut?)