valuations? cont.8 Jan 2016 09:35
Pluckanes gives us €130k of Net Operating Profit pa. and each of the other 8 turbines are forecast to give similar. so £900k NOP pa. once all built.
That would also give us a portfolio of 4.8 MW of wind turbines.
Even at planning permission stage the 8 would be valued at between €0.4 and €0.7m per MW. Under construction €1m per MW and up and running €1.7m per MW.
So at base case now, 4MW x €0.4m + 0.8MW x €1.7m = €3.96m or just over £3m
troutisout 25 Aug'15 - 10:41 - 176 of 232 0 0 edit
React has £900k in cash, having paid off the examinership expenses.
troutisout 25 Aug'15 - 10:42 - 177 of 232 0 0 edit
They have just sent £500k to get through the examinership quickly to keep the AIM listing, so the owners believe the listing is of great value as well.
troutisout 25 Aug'15 - 10:58 - 178 of 232 0 0 edit
Ryan,
There is a lot of information that needs to be looked at and researched. It doesn't really matter what I think it is worth, the share is so illiquid that the SP can jump or drop dramatically on very little trade, so I don't take the current market valuation to be the correct one.
All Companies were written down in the results before coming out of the examinership so there is a huge potential to increase NAV figures as REAC progresses.
The shareholder base is full of creditors that would like to see at least 11p and also new financiers buying in or converting at 10 and 11p. So that seems a good starting place. Most of these are locked in from selling for 12 months so any drag is limited at the moment. The only thing is how many other shareholders want to exit, but the register shows 310 separate shareholders or nominees on it, many look to be 'friends and family', this stock flies so far under the radar Joe Public doesn't know about it.
The other game changers will be the larger Biomass projects Newry has all permissions, as does Enfield (although at the moment we aren't part of that), Clay Cross due soon and Plymouth struggling against local sentiment.
Interesting to see comments about late stage talks by Grass Roots to authorities and pension funds to set up a portfolio of small CHP projects for care homes and hospitals, that could be a huge positive.
All the parts have real potential but they lacked financial backing with Enfield and Newry bleeding the Company dry, having wiped out 5.7m of debt with an equity swap and attracted new finance partners maybe we can see these parts of the company flourish.
MY own feel is that Grass Door and the Irish wind turbines are worth approximately £3m each and add in the £900k cash could easily substantiate an SP of 11p and subsequent valuation.
Newry, possible Enfield free carry and Clay Cross don't feature in the above but will do if things do start to look positive.
DYOR,
Trout.